Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton predictions, Jan 17, 2026

Jan 11, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Scottish Cup, on Saturday,

Stenhousemuir

Greenock Morton

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

In this upcoming Scottish Cup clash, Stenhousemuir will face off against Greenock Morton at their home ground. Stenhousemuir has been in decent form recently, winning three out of their last five matches, while Greenock Morton has struggled, failing to secure a victory in their last five outings.

When looking at the bookmakers’ odds, the home team has been given a slight edge, with Stenhousemuir at 2.89 to win compared to Greenock Morton at 2.31. However, our model prediction suggests a fairly evenly matched game, with a 33.2% chance of a Stenhousemuir victory, a 27.3% chance of a draw, and a 37.9% chance of an away win.

Tactically, Stenhousemuir may look to capitalize on their recent good form and home advantage to secure a win. On the other hand, Greenock Morton will be eager to turn their fortunes around and will likely push for a positive result.

In conclusion, while Stenhousemuir may have a slight advantage, this match is likely to be closely contested and could go either way. Both teams will be determined to come out on top and progress in the competition.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-10T18:52:03+00:00.

Stenhousemuir
32%		 Draw
28.6%		 Greenock
39.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Scottish Cup Morton: 0.71% Stenhousemuir: 0.56%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 2.92 3.25 2.32
MarathonBet 2.93 3.22 2.37
WilliamHill 2.9 3 2.38
Pinnacle 2.84 3.27 2.3
Best for US Customers 2.75 3.25 2.33

Latest Results

10.01.26 Stenhousemuir – East Fife – 5:0
03.01.26 Stenhousemuir – Queen of the South – 2:0
27.12.25 Alloa Athletic – Stenhousemuir – 0:0
20.12.25 Stenhousemuir – Inverness CT – 1:0
13.12.25 Montrose FC – Stenhousemuir – 3:0		 03.01.26 Partick Thistle – Greenock Morton – 3:2
27.12.25 Greenock Morton – Ayr United – 1:1
20.12.25 St. Johnstone FC – Greenock Morton – 5:0
13.12.25 Greenock Morton – Airdrieonians FC – 0:1
09.12.25 Stirling Albion – Greenock Morton – 3:2 penalties

Facts

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 0.
  • Stenhousemuir is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Greenock has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • Greenock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 1:2.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    15.07.25 Greenock Morton – Stenhousemuir – 3:0
    21.07.18 Greenock Morton – Stenhousemuir – 2:0
    01.07.17 Stenhousemuir – Greenock Morton – 0:3
    11.04.15 Greenock Morton – Stenhousemuir – 3:2
    10.01.15 Stenhousemuir – Greenock Morton – 2:3

    Standings

    Draw

    2025/26

    1/128-finals

    1 Kilmarnock Bye
    8 Bye Dundee FC
    9 Dunfermline Bye
    12 Bye Queen of South
    16 Bye Hibernian
    17 Dumbarton Bye
    18 Coldstream Tayport 2 : 3
    19 Auchinleck Talbot Cumnock Juniors 2 : 1
    20 Carluke Rovers Gretna 2008 0 : 4
    24 Bye Celtic
    25 Stenhousemuir Bye
    27 Clachnacuddin Kilwinning Rangers 2 : 1
    28 Inverurie Sauchie 0 : 2
    29 Peterhead Bye
    32 Bye Morton
    33 Kelty Hearts Bye
    35 Lochee United Brechin 1 : 3
    36 Civil Service Strollers Dundonald Bluebell 2 : 3
    37 St Johnstone Bye
    40 Bye Cove Rangers
    41 Aberdeen Bye
    45 Raith Bye
    48 Bye Alloa
    49 Ayr Bye
    51 Berwick Nairn County 0 : 2
    52 Turriff Utd Hill Of Beath 2 : 1
    56 Bye Dundee Utd
    57 Cumbernauld Colts Glasgow University 4 : 0
    58 Bonnyrigg Rose Broxburn Athletic 2 : 1
    59 Spartans Bye
    60 Bye East Kilbride
    61 Tranent Pollok 3 : 0
    62 Strathspey Thistle Dundee North End 1 : 2
    64 Bye Inverness
    65 Airdrieonians Bye
    68 Bye Hamilton
    69 East Fife Bye
    72 Bye Arbroath
    73 Stranraer Bye
    74 Glenafton Invergordon 3 : 2
    75 Jeanfield Swifts Clydebank FC 0 : 4
    76 Newtongrange Star East Stirlingshire 1 : 3
    77 Bo’ness Athletic Keith 2 : 1
    78 Linlithgow Rose Gala Fairydean 2 : 1
    80 Bye Queen’s Park
    81 Rangers Bye
    85 Clyde Bye
    86 Bye Annan
    87 Lossiemouth Formartine Utd 1 : 2
    88 Huntly Buckie Thistle 1 : 3
    89 Musselburgh Bonnyton Thistle 2 : 0
    90 Bye Forfar Athletic
    92 Bye Partick Thistle
    93 Wick Academy Rothes 5 : 0
    94 Cowdenbeath Benburb 1 : 2
    96 Bye Montrose
    97 Livingston Bye
    104 Bye St. Mirren
    105 Hearts Bye
    112 Bye Falkirk
    113 Camelon Juniors Albion Rovers 2 : 1
    114 Johnstone Burgh Threave Rovers 4 : 0
    115 Edinburgh City Bye
    116 Stirling University Burntisland Shipyard 6 : 2
    117 Elgin City Bye
    118 Darvel Deveronvale 1 : 3
    119 Forres Mechanics Caledonian Braves 0 : 2
    120 Bye Stirling
    121 Motherwell Bye
    125 Bo’ness United Banks O’ Dee 0 : 3
    126 Brora Rangers Fraserburgh 0 : 1
    128 Bye Ross County

    1/64-finals

    1 Kilmarnock Bye
    4 Bye Dundee FC
    5 Dunfermline Bye
    6 Bye Queen of South
    8 Bye Hibernian
    9 Dumbarton Tayport 2 : 0
    10 Auchinleck Talbot Gretna 2008 3 : 1
    12 Bye Celtic
    13 Stenhousemuir Bye
    14 Clachnacuddin Sauchie 2 : 0
    15 Peterhead Bye
    16 Bye Morton
    17 Kelty Hearts Bye
    18 Brechin Dundonald Bluebell 3 : 1
    19 St Johnstone Bye
    20 Bye Cove Rangers
    21 Aberdeen Bye
    23 Raith Bye
    24 Bye Alloa
    25 Ayr Bye
    26 Nairn County Turriff Utd 1 : 2
    28 Bye Dundee Utd
    29 Cumbernauld Colts Bonnyrigg Rose 0 : 2
    30 Spartans East Kilbride 2 : 1
    31 Tranent Dundee North End 3 : 0
    32 Bye Inverness
    33 Airdrieonians Bye
    34 Bye Hamilton
    35 East Fife Bye
    36 Bye Arbroath
    37 Stranraer Glenafton 4 : 0
    38 Clydebank FC East Stirlingshire 3 : 1
    39 Bo’ness Athletic Linlithgow Rose 0 : 2
    40 Bye Queen’s Park
    41 Rangers Bye
    43 Clyde Annan 2 : 3
    44 Formartine Utd Buckie Thistle 0 : 2
    45 Musselburgh Forfar Athletic 1 : 2
    46 Bye Partick Thistle
    47 Wick Academy Benburb 1 : 2
    48 Bye Montrose
    49 Livingston Bye
    52 Bye St. Mirren
    53 Hearts Bye
    56 Bye Falkirk
    57 Camelon Juniors Johnstone Burgh 1 : 0
    58 Edinburgh City Stirling University 1 : 0
    59 Elgin City Deveronvale 2 : 1
    60 Caledonian Braves Stirling 3 : 4
    61 Motherwell Bye
    63 Banks O’ Dee Fraserburgh 4 : 0
    64 Bye Ross County

    1/32-finals

    1 Kilmarnock Bye
    2 Bye Dundee FC
    3 Dunfermline Queen of South 2 : 1
    4 Bye Hibernian
    5 Dumbarton Auchinleck Talbot 0 : 4
    6 Bye Celtic
    7 Stenhousemuir Clachnacuddin 4 : 1
    8 Peterhead Morton 2 : 3
    9 Kelty Hearts Brechin 2 : 0
    10 St Johnstone Cove Rangers 1 : 2
    11 Aberdeen Bye
    12 Raith Alloa 1 : 0
    13 Ayr Turriff Utd 3 : 0
    14 Bye Dundee Utd
    15 Bonnyrigg Rose Spartans 1 : 2
    16 Tranent Inverness 1 : 2
    17 Airdrieonians Hamilton 4 : 0
    18 East Fife Arbroath 0 : 2
    19 Stranraer Clydebank FC 2 : 1
    20 Linlithgow Rose Queen’s Park 1 : 3
    21 Rangers Bye
    22 Annan Buckie Thistle 4 : 0
    23 Forfar Athletic Partick Thistle 0 : 2
    24 Benburb Montrose 0 : 3
    25 Livingston Bye
    26 Bye St. Mirren
    27 Hearts Bye
    28 Bye Falkirk
    29 Camelon Juniors Edinburgh City 2 : 1
    30 Elgin City Stirling 4 : 2
    31 Motherwell Bye
    32 Banks O’ Dee Ross County 0 : 2

    1/16-finals

    1 Kilmarnock Dundee FC
    2 Dunfermline Hibernian
    3 Auchinleck Talbot Celtic
    4 Stenhousemuir Morton
    5 Kelty Hearts Cove Rangers
    6 Aberdeen Raith
    7 Ayr Dundee Utd
    8 Spartans Inverness
    9 Airdrieonians Arbroath
    10 Stranraer Queen’s Park
    11 Rangers Annan
    12 Partick Thistle Montrose
    13 Livingston St. Mirren
    14 Hearts Falkirk
    15 Camelon Juniors Elgin City
    16 Motherwell Ross County

    Scottish Cup Outrights

    1. Celtic: 2.95 (26.68%)

    2. Rangers: 4 (19.68%)

    3. Hearts: 5 (15.74%)

    4. Aberdeen: 16.2 (4.86%)

    5. Hibernian: 17 (4.63%)

    6. Dundee Utd: 28.4 (2.77%)

    7. Motherwell: 32.4 (2.43%)

    8. St. Mirren: 34 (2.31%)

    9. Kilmarnock: 35.4 (2.22%)

    10. Partick: 46.2 (1.7%)

    11. Falkirk: 48.4 (1.63%)

    12. Livingston: 50.4 (1.56%)

    13. Dundee FC: 53.6 (1.47%)

    14. Ross County: 53.6 (1.47%)

    15. Ayr: 65.8 (1.2%)

    16. Airdrieonians: 72.6 (1.08%)

    17. Dunfermline: 77.6 (1.01%)

    18. Raith: 77.6 (1.01%)

    19. Arbroath: 100.4 (0.78%)

    20. Inverness: 110.4 (0.71%)

    21. Cove Rangers: 110.4 (0.71%)

    22. Morton: 110.4 (0.71%)

    23. Queen’s Park: 110.4 (0.71%)

    24. Montrose: 140.4 (0.56%)

    25. Kelty Hearts: 140.4 (0.56%)

    26. Stenhousemuir: 140.4 (0.56%)

    27. Spartans: 170.4 (0.46%)

    28. Stranraer: 310.4 (0.25%)

    29. Annan: 310.4 (0.25%)

    30. Elgin City: 310.4 (0.25%)

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