ATP Australian Open, on Monday,
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As the ATP Australian Open approaches, an intriguing first-round match features Lorenzo Giustino facing off against Francesco Maestrelli. Scheduled for January 12, 2026, this encounter will see Giustino perform on familiar home turf, yet he faces a formidable opponent in Maestrelli.
Recent form indicates a slight edge for Maestrelli, who has secured 4 victories in his last 5 matches, showcasing effective baseline play and strategic shot selection. Conversely, Giustino has managed to triumph in 3 of his recent 5 outings, demonstrating resilience and strong service games, particularly on his home court.
Betting odds reflect this momentum, with Giustino favored at 2.18 and Maestrelli at 1.64. Our model gives Giustino a 43.7% chance of winning, suggesting he will need to leverage home advantage and capitalize on Maestrelli’s potential overconfidence.
The match promises a compelling tactical battle, with Giustino aiming to disrupt Maestrelli’s rhythm and control the pace, while Maestrelli will likely seek to exploit any weaknesses in Giustino’s game. As this clash of styles unfolds, both players have a path to victory, making this an unpredictable yet highly anticipated match.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-11T10:52:03+00:00.
| Giustino 42.9% |
Maestrelli 57.1% |
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.18 | 1.64 |
Latest Results
| 07.01.26 Joel Schwaerzler – Lorenzo Giustino – Schwaerzler J. J. walkover 06.01.26 Akira Santillan – Lorenzo Giustino – 0:2 05.01.26 Matthew Dellavedova – Lorenzo Giustino – 0:2 27.11.25 Lorenzo Giustino – Andrej Martin – Giustino L. retired 25.11.25 Lorenzo Giustino – Cezar Cretu – 2:0 |
03.01.26 Yi Zhou – Francesco Maestrelli – 2:0 23.11.25 Marko Topo – Francesco Maestrelli – 1:2 22.11.25 Francesco Maestrelli – Justin Engel – 2:0 21.11.25 Francesco Maestrelli – Stefano Napolitano – 2:0 20.11.25 Francesco Maestrelli – Buvaysar Gadamauri – 2:0 |
Facts
Standings
Draw
2026
Quarter-finals
| 1 | Hanfmann Y. (1) | Hassan B. | |
| 2 | Faria J. | Mikrut L. | |
| 3 | Reis Da Silva J. | Rocha H. | |
| 4 | Sekulic P. (WC) | Trungelliti M. (18) | |
| 5 | Burruchaga R. A. (2) | Peniston R. | |
| 6 | Kolar Z. | Gea A. | |
| 7 | Harris L. | Cina F. | |
| 8 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Vallejo D. (30) | |
| 9 | Basilashvili N. (3) | Bueno G. | |
| 10 | Herbert P. | Den Ouden G. | |
| 11 | Marinkov P. (WC) | McCabe J. | |
| 12 | Watanuki Y. | Budkov Kjaer N. (23) | |
| 13 | Barrios Vera T. (4) | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | |
| 14 | Hewitt C. (WC) | Zheng M. | |
| 15 | Crawford O. | Merida Aguilar D. | |
| 16 | Piros Z. | Klein L. (28) | |
| 17 | Holt B. (5) | Neumayer L. | |
| 18 | Zeppieri G. | Added D. | |
| 19 | Sakamoto R. | Evans D. | |
| 20 | Pavlovic L. | Smith C. (32) | |
| 21 | McDonald M. (6) | Popko D. | |
| 22 | Galan D. E. | Grenier H. | |
| 23 | Sachko V. | Mmoh M. | |
| 24 | Bouzige M. (WC) | Draxl L. (20) | |
| 25 | Blockx A. (7) | Cecchinato M. | |
| 26 | Shimabukuro S. | Molcan A. | |
| 27 | Kubler J. | Mayot H. | |
| 28 | Moreno De Alboran N. | Gaubas V. (17) | |
| 29 | Nishioka Y. (8) | Fatic N. | |
| 30 | Engel J. | Loffhagen G. | |
| 31 | Galarneau A. | Basavareddy N. | |
| 32 | Holmgren A. | Ofner S. (19) | |
| 33 | Moller E. (9) | Polmans M. (WC) | |
| 34 | Bolt A. | Ymer E. | |
| 35 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Bernet H. (WC) | |
| 36 | Wong C. | Blanchet U. (31) | |
| 37 | Tseng C. H. (10) | Landaluce M. | |
| 38 | Ellis B. (WC) | Travaglia S. | |
| 39 | Kym J. | Prado Angelo J. C. | |
| 40 | Sweeny D. | Pellegrino A. (26) | |
| 41 | Choinski J. (11) | Riedi L. | |
| 42 | Coppejans K. | Nishikori K. | |
| 43 | Ficovich J. P. | Rodionov J. | |
| 44 | Habib H. | Svajda Z. (29) | |
| 45 | Virtanen O. (12) | Mejia N. | |
| 46 | Wu Y. | Krueger M. | |
| 47 | Boyer T. | Barrena A. | |
| 48 | Lajal M. | Passaro F. (27) | |
| 49 | Lajovic D. (13) | Diaz Acosta F. | |
| 50 | Cassone M. | Hsu Y. H. | |
| 51 | Guillen Meza A. | Seyboth Wild T. | |
| 52 | Giustino L. | Maestrelli F. (24) | |
| 53 | Prizmic D. (14) | Olivieri G. A. | |
| 54 | Heide G. | Clarke J. | |
| 55 | Fery A. | Winter E. (WC) | |
| 56 | Tomic B. | Dellien H. (25) | |
| 57 | Harris B. (15) | Rodesch C. | |
| 58 | Tu L. (WC) | Jodar R. | |
| 59 | Glinka D. | Tabur C. | |
| 60 | van Assche L. | Echargui M. (22) | |
| 61 | Carballes Baena R. (16) | Bouquier A. | |
| 62 | Pinnington Jones J. | Bailly G. A. | |
| 63 | Damm M. | Onclin G. | |
| 64 | Droguet T. | Jarry N. (21) |
Semi-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | TBD #10 | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | TBD #14 | |
| 8 | TBD #15 | TBD #16 | |
| 9 | TBD #17 | TBD #18 | |
| 10 | TBD #19 | TBD #20 | |
| 11 | TBD #21 | TBD #22 | |
| 12 | TBD #23 | TBD #24 | |
| 13 | TBD #25 | TBD #26 | |
| 14 | TBD #27 | TBD #28 | |
| 15 | TBD #29 | TBD #30 | |
| 16 | TBD #31 | TBD #32 | |
| 17 | TBD #33 | TBD #34 | |
| 18 | TBD #35 | TBD #36 | |
| 19 | TBD #37 | TBD #38 | |
| 20 | TBD #39 | TBD #40 | |
| 21 | TBD #41 | TBD #42 | |
| 22 | TBD #43 | TBD #44 | |
| 23 | TBD #45 | TBD #46 | |
| 24 | TBD #47 | TBD #48 | |
| 25 | TBD #49 | TBD #50 | |
| 26 | TBD #51 | TBD #52 | |
| 27 | TBD #53 | TBD #54 | |
| 28 | TBD #55 | TBD #56 | |
| 29 | TBD #57 | TBD #58 | |
| 30 | TBD #59 | TBD #60 | |
| 31 | TBD #61 | TBD #62 | |
| 32 | TBD #63 | TBD #64 |
Final
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | TBD #10 | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | TBD #14 | |
| 8 | TBD #15 | TBD #16 | |
| 9 | TBD #17 | TBD #18 | |
| 10 | TBD #19 | TBD #20 | |
| 11 | TBD #21 | TBD #22 | |
| 12 | TBD #23 | TBD #24 | |
| 13 | TBD #25 | TBD #26 | |
| 14 | TBD #27 | TBD #28 | |
| 15 | TBD #29 | TBD #30 | |
| 16 | TBD #31 | TBD #32 |
ATP Australian Open Outrights
1. Sinner Jannik: 1.96 (29.15%)
2. Alcaraz Carlos: 2.5 (22.8%)
3. Djokovic Novak: 9.75 (5.85%)
4. Zverev Alexander: 17 (3.35%)
5. Medvedev Daniil: 19.25 (2.96%)
6. Fritz Taylor: 33.75 (1.69%)
7. Shelton Ben: 39 (1.46%)
8. Fonseca Joao: 41.25 (1.38%)
9. De Minaur Alex: 41.5 (1.37%)
10. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 59 (0.97%)
11. Bublik Alexander: 62 (0.92%)
12. Musetti Lorenzo: 65 (0.88%)
13. Mpetshi Perricard Giovanni: 67.5 (0.84%)
14. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 67.5 (0.84%)
15. Rublev Andrey: 68.25 (0.84%)
16. Mensik Jakub: 76 (0.75%)
17. Dimitrov Grigor: 82.5 (0.69%)
18. Korda Sebastian: 85 (0.67%)
19. Hurkacz Hubert: 85 (0.67%)
20. Kyrgios Nick: 90 (0.63%)
21. Paul Tommy: 90 (0.63%)
22. Berrettini Matteo: 92.5 (0.62%)
23. Ruud Casper: 95.5 (0.6%)
24. Seyboth Wild Thiago: 100 (0.57%)
25. Tiafoe Frances: 102.5 (0.56%)
26. Machac Tomas: 102.5 (0.56%)
27. Lehecka Jiri: 117 (0.49%)
28. Tien Learner: 124 (0.46%)
29. Humbert Ugo: 124 (0.46%)
30. Sonego Lorenzo: 125.5 (0.45%)
31. Khachanov Karen: 127.5 (0.45%)
32. Cobolli Flavio: 128 (0.45%)
33. Popyrin Alexei: 135.5 (0.42%)
34. Zhang Zhizhen: 138 (0.41%)
35. Shapovalov Denis: 138 (0.41%)
36. Michelsen Alex: 145.5 (0.39%)
37. Cerundolo Francisco: 163 (0.35%)
38. Cazaux Arthur: 163 (0.35%)
39. Thompson Jordan: 175.5 (0.32%)
40. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 175.5 (0.32%)
41. Vacherot Valentin: 193 (0.3%)
42. Diallo Gabriel: 200.5 (0.28%)
43. Royer Valentin: 200.5 (0.28%)
44. Norrie Cameron: 201 (0.28%)
45. Nakashima Brandon: 201 (0.28%)
46. Rinderknech Arthur: 201 (0.28%)
47. Altmaier Daniel: 201 (0.28%)
48. Monfils Gael: 201 (0.28%)
49. Kokkinakis Thanasi: 207 (0.28%)
50. Fearnley Jacob: 213 (0.27%)
51. Nishikori Kei: 261 (0.22%)
52. Cerundolo Juan Manuel: 300.5 (0.19%)
53. Munar Jaume: 301 (0.19%)
54. Griekspoor Tallon: 301 (0.19%)
55. Comesana Francisco: 301 (0.19%)
56. Brooksby Jenson: 301 (0.19%)
57. Giron Marcos: 301 (0.19%)
58. Bonzi Benjamin: 301 (0.19%)
59. Collignon Raphael: 301 (0.19%)
60. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 301 (0.19%)
61. Struff Jan-Lennard: 301 (0.19%)
62. Cilic Marin: 301 (0.19%)
63. Arnaldi Matteo: 301 (0.19%)
64. Mannarino Adrian: 301 (0.19%)
65. Fucsovics Marton: 301 (0.19%)
66. Bautista-Agut Roberto: 301 (0.19%)
67. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 301 (0.19%)
68. Kecmanovic Miomir: 301 (0.19%)
69. Tabilo Alejandro: 301 (0.19%)
70. Vukic Aleksandar: 301 (0.19%)
71. Muller Alexandre: 301 (0.19%)
72. Spizzirri Eliot: 301 (0.19%)
73. Opelka Reilly: 301 (0.19%)
74. Medjedovic Hamad: 301 (0.19%)
75. Majchrzak Kamil: 301 (0.19%)
76. Marozsan Fabian: 301 (0.19%)
77. Wawrinka Stan: 301 (0.19%)
78. O’Connell Christopher: 301 (0.19%)
79. Darderi Luciano: 501 (0.11%)
80. Bergs Zizou: 501 (0.11%)
81. Kovacevic Aleksandar: 501 (0.11%)
82. De Jong Jesper: 501 (0.11%)
83. Kopriva Vit: 501 (0.11%)
84. Djere Laslo: 501 (0.11%)
85. Nardi Luca: 501 (0.11%)
86. Halys Quentin: 501 (0.11%)
87. Mochizuki Shintaro: 501 (0.11%)
88. Ruusuvuori Emil: 501 (0.11%)
89. Bellucci Mattia: 501 (0.11%)
90. Martinez Pedro: 501 (0.11%)
91. Bu Yunchaokete: 501 (0.11%)
92. Shevchenko Alexander: 501 (0.11%)
93. Nava Emilio: 501 (0.11%)
94. Baez Sebastian: 501 (0.11%)
95. Taberner Carlos: 501 (0.11%)
96. Svrcina Dalibor: 501 (0.11%)
97. Gaston Hugo: 501 (0.11%)
98. Duckworth James: 501 (0.11%)
99. Jacquet Kyrian: 501 (0.11%)
100. Ugo Carabelli Camilo: 501 (0.11%)
101. Carreno-Busta Pablo: 501 (0.11%)
102. Atmane Terence: 501 (0.11%)
103. Navone Mariano: 501 (0.11%)
104. Kypson Patrick: 501 (0.11%)
105. Hijikata Rinky: 501 (0.11%)
106. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 501 (0.11%)
107. Schoolkate Tristan: 501 (0.11%)
108. Buse Ignacio: 501 (0.11%)
109. Dzumhur Damir: 501 (0.11%)
110. Quinn Ethan: 501 (0.11%)
111. Walton Adam: 501 (0.11%)
112. Garin Cristian: 501 (0.11%)
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