Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Tommy Paul predictions, Jan 24, 2026

Jan 23, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Australian Open, on Saturday,

Alcaraz Garfia

Tommy Paul

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As the ATP Australian Open approaches, the highly anticipated clash between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia and Tommy Paul is set to captivate tennis fans on January 24, 2026. Alcaraz, competing on home soil, enters the match in exceptional form, having secured victories in all of his last five outings. His aggressive baseline game, characterized by powerful groundstrokes and remarkable footwork, has proven to be a formidable challenge for opponents.

In contrast, Tommy Paul has shown resilience, winning three of his last five matches. While his court coverage and tactical intelligence are commendable, he will face a significant uphill battle against the reigning star. Paul’s ability to adapt and utilize effective serves could play a crucial role, but he must elevate his level to match Alcaraz’s intensity.

Bookmakers have installed Alcaraz as a strong favorite with odds of 1.08 for a home victory, while Paul sits at 8.09 as the away challenger. While Alcaraz’s recent form suggests a dominant performance may be in the cards, surprises in tennis are not uncommon. As both players prepare for this exciting encounter, fans can expect a display of elite tennis, with the outcome remaining uncertain until the final point is played.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-23T04:52:02+00:00.

Alcaraz Garfia
88.3%		 Paul
11.7%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 1.09 7.95 Watch Watch and Bet
Pinnacle 1.08 7.83
Best for US Customers 1.06 8.5

Latest Results

22.01.26 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Corentin Moutet – 3:0
20.01.26 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Yannick Hanfmann – 3:0
18.01.26 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Adam Walton – 3:0
10.01.26 Jannik Sinner – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 0:2
08.12.25 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Joao Fonseca – 2:1		 22.01.26 Tommy Paul – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Davidovich Fokina A. retired
20.01.26 Tommy Paul – Thiago Augustin Tirante – 3:0
18.01.26 Tommy Paul – Aleksandar Kovacevic – 3:0
15.01.26 Tomas Machac – Tommy Paul – 2:1
15.01.26 Aleksandar Vukic – Tommy Paul – 0:2

Facts

  • Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Paul is ranked ATP: 20.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 4.
  • Alcaraz Garfia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Paul is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Paul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undeniable favorite.
  • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).

    Latest Head To Head

    03.06.25 Tommy Paul – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 0:3
    01.08.24 Tommy Paul – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 0:2
    09.07.24 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Tommy Paul – 3:1
    17.08.23 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Tommy Paul – 2:1
    11.08.23 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Tommy Paul – 1:2

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Alcaraz C. (1) Walton A. 3 : 0
    2 Hanfmann Y. Svajda Z. (Q) 3 : 1
    3 Zheng M. (Q) Korda S. 3 : 2
    4 Schoolkate T. Moutet C. (32) 0 : 3
    5 Paul T. (19) Kovacevic A. 3 : 0
    6 Tirante T. A. Vukic A. 3 : 0
    7 Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) Opelka R. 0 : 3
    8 Misolic F. Davidovich Fokina A. (14) 0 : 3
    9 Bublik A. (10) Brooksby J. 3 : 0
    10 Ugo Carabelli C. Fucsovics M. 0 : 3
    11 Kecmanovic M. Etcheverry T. M. 2 : 3
    12 Fery A. (Q) Cobolli F. (20) 3 : 0
    13 Tiafoe F. (29) Kubler J. (Q) 3 : 0
    14 Kypson P. (WC) Comesana F. 1 : 3
    15 Navone M. Medjedovic H. 1 : 3
    16 McDonald M. (LL) De Minaur A. (6) 0 : 3
    17 Zverev A. (3) Diallo G. 3 : 1
    18 Popyrin A. Muller A. 2 : 3
    19 Nava E. Jacquet K. (WC) 3 : 2
    20 Bonzi B. Norrie C. (26) 2 : 3
    21 Cerundolo F. (18) Zhang Z. 3 : 0
    22 Draxl L. (Q) Dzumhur D. 0 : 3
    23 Blockx A. (LL) Faria J. (Q) 1 : 3
    24 Arnaldi M. Rublev A. (13) 0 : 3
    25 Medvedev D. (11) De Jong J. 3 : 0
    26 Halys Q. Tabilo A. 3 : 0
    27 Majchrzak K. Fearnley J. 3 : 1
    28 Marozsan F. Rinderknech A. (24) 3 : 1
    29 Tien L. (25) Giron M. 3 : 2
    30 Ymer E. (Q) Shevchenko A. 1 : 3
    31 Cerundolo J. M. Thompson J. (WC) 1 : 3
    32 Borges N. Auger-Aliassime F. (RET.) (7) 2 : 1
    33 Musetti L. (5) Collignon R. (RET.) 2 : 1
    34 Sonego L. Taberner C. 3 : 0
    35 Dimitrov G. Machac T. 0 : 3
    36 Mochizuki S. Tsitsipas S. (31) 1 : 3
    37 Lehecka J. (17) Gea A. (Q) 0 : 3
    38 Djere L. Wawrinka S. (WC) 1 : 3
    39 Kopriva V. Struff J-L. 3 : 2
    40 Royer V. Fritz T. (9) 1 : 3
    41 Mensik J. (16) Carreno-Busta P. 3 : 2
    42 Sakamoto R. (Q) Jodar R. (Q) 2 : 3
    43 Hurkacz H. Bergs Z. 3 : 1
    44 Quinn E. Griekspoor T. (23) 3 : 0
    45 Nakashima B. (27) Van De Zandschulp B. 1 : 3
    46 Shang J. Bautista-Agut R. 3 : 1
    47 Atmane T. Maestrelli F. (Q) 2 : 3
    48 Martinez P. Djokovic N. (4) 0 : 3
    49 Shelton B. (8) Humbert U. 3 : 0
    50 Sweeny D. (Q) Monfils G. 3 : 1
    51 Mannarino A. Hijikata R. (WC) 0 : 3
    52 Damm M. (Q) Vacherot V. (30) 0 : 3
    53 Shapovalov D. (21) Bu Y. (WC) 3 : 0
    54 Altmaier D. Cilic M. 0 : 3
    55 Munar J. Svrcina D. 3 : 2
    56 Bellucci M. Ruud C. (12) 0 : 3
    57 Khachanov K. (15) Michelsen A. 3 : 2
    58 O’Connell C. (WC) Basavareddy N. (Q) 2 : 3
    59 Mpetshi Perricard G. Baez S. 2 : 3
    60 Garin C. Darderi L. (22) 0 : 3
    61 Fonseca J. (28) Spizzirri E. 1 : 3
    62 Nardi L. Wu Y. (Q) 1 : 3
    63 Duckworth J. (WC) Prizmic D. (LL) 3 : 2
    64 Gaston H. (RET.) Sinner J. (2) 0 : 2

    1/32-finals

    1 Alcaraz C. (1) Hanfmann Y. 3 : 0
    2 Zheng M. (RET.) Moutet C. (32) 1 : 2
    3 Paul T. (19) Tirante T. A. 3 : 0
    4 Opelka R. Davidovich Fokina A. (14) 2 : 3
    5 Bublik A. (10) Fucsovics M. 3 : 0
    6 Etcheverry T. M. Fery A. 3 : 0
    7 Tiafoe F. (29) Comesana F. 3 : 1
    8 Medjedovic H. De Minaur A. (6) 1 : 3
    9 Zverev A. (3) Muller A. 3 : 1
    10 Nava E. Norrie C. (26) 1 : 3
    11 Cerundolo F. (18) Dzumhur D. 3 : 0
    12 Faria J. Rublev A. (13) 1 : 3
    13 Medvedev D. (11) Halys Q. 3 : 1
    14 Majchrzak K. Marozsan F. 0 : 3
    15 Tien L. (25) Shevchenko A. 3 : 1
    16 Thompson J. Borges N. 1 : 3
    17 Musetti L. (5) Sonego L. 3 : 0
    18 Machac T. Tsitsipas S. (31) 3 : 1
    19 Gea A. Wawrinka S. 2 : 3
    20 Kopriva V. Fritz T. (9) 0 : 3
    21 Mensik J. (16) Jodar R. 3 : 0
    22 Hurkacz H. Quinn E. 0 : 3
    23 Van De Zandschulp B. Shang J. 3 : 0
    24 Maestrelli F. Djokovic N. (4) 0 : 3
    25 Shelton B. (8) Sweeny D. 3 : 0
    26 Hijikata R. Vacherot V. (30) 1 : 3
    27 Shapovalov D. (21) Cilic M. 0 : 3
    28 Munar J. Ruud C. (12) 0 : 3
    29 Khachanov K. (15) Basavareddy N. 3 : 0
    30 Baez S. Darderi L. (22) 1 : 3
    31 Spizzirri E. Wu Y. 3 : 2
    32 Duckworth J. Sinner J. (2) 0 : 3

    1/16-finals

    1 Alcaraz C. (1) Moutet C. (32) 3 : 0
    2 Paul T. (19) Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (14) 2 : 0
    3 Bublik A. (10) Etcheverry T. M.
    4 Tiafoe F. (29) De Minaur A. (6)
    5 Zverev A. (3) Norrie C. (26)
    6 Cerundolo F. (18) Rublev A. (13) 3 : 0
    7 Medvedev D. (11) Marozsan F. 3 : 2
    8 Tien L. (25) Borges N. 3 : 0
    9 Musetti L. (5) Machac T.
    10 Wawrinka S. Fritz T. (9)
    11 Mensik J. (16) Quinn E.
    12 Van De Zandschulp B. Djokovic N. (4)
    13 Shelton B. (8) Vacherot V. (30)
    14 Cilic M. Ruud C. (12)
    15 Khachanov K. (15) Darderi L. (22)
    16 Spizzirri E. Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals

    1 Alcaraz C. (1) Paul T. (19)
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 Cerundolo F. (18)
    4 Medvedev D. (11) Tien L. (25)
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    ATP Australian Open Outrights

    1. Sinner Jannik: 1.77 (43.28%)

    2. Alcaraz Carlos: 2.63 (29.05%)

    3. Djokovic Novak: 12 (6.37%)

    4. Medvedev Daniil: 17 (4.49%)

    5. Zverev Alexander: 24.5 (3.12%)

    6. Bublik Alexander: 41 (1.86%)

    7. Fritz Taylor: 46 (1.66%)

    8. De Minaur Alex: 51 (1.5%)

    9. Shelton Ben: 59 (1.29%)

    10. Musetti Lorenzo: 96.5 (0.79%)

    11. Mensik Jakub: 116 (0.66%)

    12. Tien Learner: 138.5 (0.55%)

    13. Rublev Andrey: 138.5 (0.55%)

    14. Paul Tommy: 151 (0.51%)

    15. Machac Tomas: 151 (0.51%)

    16. Khachanov Karen: 163.5 (0.47%)

    17. Ruud Casper: 176 (0.43%)

    18. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 201 (0.38%)

    19. Cerundolo Francisco: 301 (0.25%)

    20. Tiafoe Frances: 376 (0.2%)

    21. Vacherot Valentin: 376 (0.2%)

    22. Norrie Cameron: 426 (0.18%)

    23. Marozsan Fabian: 476 (0.16%)

    24. Darderi Luciano: 501 (0.15%)

    25. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 501 (0.15%)

    26. Cilic Marin: 501 (0.15%)

    27. Shevchenko Alexander: 501 (0.15%)

    28. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 501 (0.15%)

    29. Spizzirri Eliot: 501 (0.15%)

    30. Quinn Ethan: 501 (0.15%)

    31. Wawrinka Stan: 501 (0.15%)

    32. Moutet Corentin: 501 (0.15%)

    33. Borges Nuno: 501 (0.15%)

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