Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar predictions, Feb 14, 2026

Dutch Eredivisie, on Saturday,

Excelsior

AZ

Score, Highlights

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In the upcoming Dutch Eredivisie clash on February 14, 2026, Excelsior Rotterdam hosts AZ Alkmaar at home. Recent form indicates a stark contrast between the two sides. Excelsior has struggled significantly, failing to secure a win in their last five matches, which reflects their current difficulties in finding the back of the net and maintaining defensive stability.

Conversely, AZ Alkmaar has shown a degree of resilience, clinching two victories in their last five outings. Their attacking prowess, coupled with a solid defensive setup, positions them as favorites for this encounter. The bookmakers reflect this sentiment with odds favoring the visitors at 1.74, compared to Excelsior’s 4.23 for a home win.

Tactically, AZ Alkmaar tends to dominate possession and capitalize on counter-attacks, while Excelsior will likely need to tighten their defense and press effectively to disrupt the visitors’ rhythm. The statistical model assigns a probability of 21.9% for a home win, a 23.8% chance of a draw, and a solid 54.4% likelihood of an away victory.

As both teams take the field, the outcome remains uncertain, but AZ Alkmaar’s form suggests they will be a formidable opponent for the struggling Excelsior.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-07T23:52:02+00:00.

Excelsior
21.2%
Draw
24%
AZ
54.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar: 4.19% Excelsior: 0.93%

Watch Watch and Bet Excelsior – AZ available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 4.45 3.95 1.75
MarathonBet 4.78 4.01 1.71 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 4.5 3.7 1.67
Pinnacle 4.6 4.02 1.69
Best for US Customers 4.2 4 1.66

Latest Results

06.02.26 NAC Breda – Excelsior Rotterdam – 0:2
01.02.26 Excelsior Rotterdam – Ajax Amsterdam – 2:2
24.01.26 FC Twente – Excelsior Rotterdam – 0:0
21.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior Rotterdam – 1:1
17.01.26 Excelsior Rotterdam – SC Telstar – 2:2
03.02.26 AZ Alkmaar – FC Twente – 2:1 ET
31.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – NEC Nijmegen – 1:3
25.01.26 SC Telstar – AZ Alkmaar – 0:1
21.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior Rotterdam – 1:1
17.01.26 PEC Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar – 3:1

Facts

  • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • In this match, AZ is seen as the favorite.
  • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:49. (average 1.4:2.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.9:2.4).

    Latest Head To Head

    21.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior Rotterdam – 1:1
    13.07.24 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior Rotterdam – 8:0
    10.03.24 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior Rotterdam – 4:0
    04.11.23 Excelsior Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar – 1:1
    10.02.23 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior Rotterdam – 5:0

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 PSV 21 18 2 1 64:25 39 56
    2 Nijmegen 21 12 5 4 56:35 21 41
    3 Feyenoord 21 12 3 6 51:32 19 39
    4 Ajax 21 10 8 3 41:28 13 38
    5 Sparta Rotterdam 22 11 3 8 29:36 -7 36
    6 Twente 22 8 10 4 36:24 12 34
    7 AZ Alkmaar 21 9 5 7 36:35 1 32
    8 Groningen 21 9 4 8 28:26 2 31
    9 Sittard 22 7 5 10 33:38 -5 26
    10 Excelsior 22 7 5 10 24:37 -13 26
    11 Zwolle 22 7 5 10 31:45 -14 26
    12 Heerenveen 21 6 7 8 32:36 -4 25
    13 Utrecht 20 6 6 8 30:27 3 24
    14 G.A. Eagles 20 4 10 6 31:34 -3 22
    15 FC Volendam 22 5 6 11 24:37 -13 21
    16 Heracles 22 5 2 15 31:57 -26 17
    17 Telstar 21 3 7 11 25:37 -12 16
    18 NAC Breda 22 3 7 12 23:36 -13 16

    Dutch Eredivisie Outrights

    1. Feyenoord: 126 (33.26%)

    2. Ajax: 151 (27.75%)

    3. Nijmegen: 251 (16.69%)

    4. Twente: 751 (5.58%)

    5. AZ Alkmaar: 1001 (4.19%)

    6. Sparta Rotterdam: 2001 (2.09%)

    7. Groningen: 2501 (1.68%)

    8. Utrecht: 3001 (1.4%)

    9. Heerenveen: 3001 (1.4%)

    10. Sittard: 3501 (1.2%)

    11. G.A. Eagles: 4001 (1.05%)

    12. Heracles: 4501 (0.93%)

    13. FC Volendam: 4501 (0.93%)

    14. Excelsior: 4501 (0.93%)

    15. Zwolle: 4501 (0.93%)

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