Liga Portugal, on Saturday,
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As Casa Pia prepares to host FC Arouca in their upcoming Liga Portugal clash on February 14, 2026, both teams bring distinct narratives into the match. Casa Pia has struggled recently, securing only one victory in their last five outings, which may impact their confidence on home soil. In contrast, Arouca appears to be in better form, having won three of their last five matches, suggesting a stronger momentum that they will look to capitalize on.
The bookmakers have set narrow odds for this matchup, with Casa Pia at 2.74 and Arouca slightly favored at 2.69, underscoring the competitive balance anticipated in the fixture. With model predictions indicating a 34.6% probability of a home win and an identical 34.6% chance for an away victory, a draw is also plausible with a 31.1% likelihood.
Tactically, Casa Pia will need to shore up their defense to counter Arouca’s attacking strategies, especially as they look to exploit any weaknesses in their opponent’s backline. While both teams have their strengths, this encounter promises to be closely contested, and as with all matches, no outcome can be guaranteed.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-09T00:52:02+00:00.
| Casa Pia 34.6% |
Draw 30.3% |
Arouca 35% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1
Watch and Bet Casa Pia – Arouca available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)
Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2.79 | 3.25 | 2.73 | |
 |
2.72 | 3.05 | 2.68 | |
 |
2.81 | 3.16 | 2.79 | Watch and Bet |
 |
2.63 | 3 | 2.63 | |
 |
2.75 | 3.09 | 2.7 | |
 |
2.62 | 3 | 2.66 |
Latest Results
| 08.02.26 Atletico Nacional – Casa Pia – 0:0 02.02.26 Casa Pia – FC Porto – 2:1 23.01.26 Casa Pia – AVS Futebol SAD – 3:3 16.01.26 Sporting Lisbon – Casa Pia – 3:0 04.01.26 Rio Ave FC – Casa Pia – 3:1 |
07.02.26 FC Arouca – Vitoria Guimarães – 3:2 31.01.26 Rio Ave FC – FC Arouca – 0:3 24.01.26 FC Arouca – Sporting Lisbon – 1:2 17.01.26 AVS Futebol SAD – FC Arouca – 0:1 03.01.26 CD Tondela – FC Arouca – 3:1 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 14.09.25 FC Arouca – Casa Pia – 0:2 04.05.25 FC Arouca – Casa Pia – 0:0 20.12.24 Casa Pia – FC Arouca – 3:1 18.02.24 Casa Pia – FC Arouca – 1:0 17.09.23 FC Arouca – Casa Pia – 0:1 |
Standings
2025/26
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | FC Porto | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 41:6 | 35 | 55 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 51 |
| 3 | Benfica | 21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 44:12 | 32 | 49 |
| 4 | Braga | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 44:18 | 26 | 39 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Estoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 43:35 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 8 | Famalicao | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:19 | 5 | 29 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | Alverca | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 24 |
| 11 | Estrela | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 25:37 | -12 | 23 |
| 12 | Arouca | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:46 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Nacional | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:30 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:41 | -19 | 20 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22:39 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Tondela | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:35 | -21 | 14 |
| 18 | AFS | 20 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 14:51 | -37 | 5 |
Liga Portugal Outrights
1. FC Porto: 1.22 (72.38%)
2. Sporting CP: 4.55 (19.41%)
3. Benfica: 13.7 (6.45%)
4. Gil Vicente: 100 (0.88%)
5. Braga: 100 (0.88%)
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