Perugia vs Carpi predictions, Feb 15, 2026

Italian Serie C Group B, on Sunday,

Perugia

Carpi

Score, Highlights

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As Perugia Calcio gears up to face Carpi FC on February 15, 2026, at their home venue, both teams are seeking to improve their fortunes in Serie C Group B. Perugia comes into this matchup struggling for consistency, having secured just one victory in their last five fixtures. This limited success has placed pressure on their tactical approach, as they look to leverage their home advantage.

Conversely, Carpi FC finds themselves in even dire straits, failing to register a win in their last five outings. The away side has battled with offensive creativity, which could be pivotal against a Perugia defense that, while occasionally shaky, may feel emboldened by their home crowd.

Bookmakers favor Perugia with odds of 1.84 for a home win, reflecting their slight edge, while the away side sits at 3.82. Our model suggests a 40.4% probability of a home victory, compared to 21.5% for a draw and 29.4% for an away win. The predicted final score of 1:0 underscores a possible tight contest, emphasizing the importance of tactical discipline and execution in what could be a crucial match for both teams as they navigate the complexities of the season. As with any sport, outcomes remain uncertain, and both teams have the potential to surprise.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-12T15:52:04+00:00.

Perugia
49.7%
Draw
26.4%
Carpi
23.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 1.88 3.35 3.45
betsson 1.88 3.4 3.7
MarathonBet 1.78 3.4 4.06
Pinnacle 1.81 3.61 3.87
Best for US Customers 1.83 3.5 4

Latest Results

08.02.26 Sambenedettese Calcio – Perugia Calcio – 0:1
30.01.26 Perugia Calcio – Ravenna FC – 1:1
25.01.26 Ascoli Calcio – Perugia Calcio – 2:1
18.01.26 Perugia Calcio – AS Gubbio 1910 – 0:1
11.01.26 Perugia Calcio – AC Bra – 1:1
07.02.26 Ravenna FC – Carpi FC – 1:0
31.01.26 Carpi FC – Sambenedettese Calcio – 0:0
24.01.26 Carpi FC – Ternana Calcio – 0:1
17.01.26 Campobasso – Carpi FC – 2:0
11.01.26 Carpi FC – US Pianese ASD – 1:1

Facts

  • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 13).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 2.
  • Recent performances by Perugia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Carpi‘s performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • Carpi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Perugia is seen as the favorite.
  • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1:0.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Perugia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.4:0.4).

    Latest Head To Head

    05.10.25 Carpi FC – Perugia Calcio – 2:0
    10.01.25 Perugia Calcio – Carpi FC – 1:0
    08.09.24 Carpi FC – Perugia Calcio – 2:0
    14.03.21 Perugia Calcio – Carpi FC – 2:0
    15.11.20 Carpi FC – Perugia Calcio – 0:0

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Arezzo 24 17 5 2 44:16 28 56
    2 Ravenna 24 15 4 5 37:23 14 49
    3 Ascoli 24 13 7 4 38:15 23 46
    4 Juventus U23 25 11 6 8 32:27 5 39
    5 Pineto 24 9 9 6 33:29 4 36
    6 Campobasso 24 9 8 7 31:28 3 33
    7 Vis Pesaro 23 7 10 6 24:23 1 31
    8 Pianese 24 7 10 7 25:25 0 31
    9 Ternana 23 9 8 6 25:22 3 30
    10 Guidonia 24 7 9 8 21:22 -1 30
    11 Gubbio 23 6 11 6 19:18 1 29
    12 Forli 24 8 5 11 28:34 -6 29
    13 Carpi 24 7 7 10 22:29 -7 28
    14 Livorno 24 8 4 12 25:36 -11 28
    15 Bra 25 5 10 10 27:35 -8 25
    16 Sambenedettese 25 5 9 11 22:28 -6 24
    17 Perugia 24 5 8 11 24:30 -6 23
    18 Torres 24 3 11 10 18:31 -13 20
    19 Pontedera 24 3 7 14 20:44 -24 16
    20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0

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