Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Denis Shapovalov predictions, Feb 24, 2026

Feb 22, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Dubai, on Tuesday,

Carreno Busta

Denis Shapovalov

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

In an intriguing clash at the ATP Dubai, Pablo Carreno-Busta is set to host Denis Shapovalov on February 24, 2026. Both players enter the match with identical records in their last five outings, each securing three victories. This suggests a competitive encounter, although the odds heavily favor Shapovalov, who is currently priced at 1.35 compared to Carreno-Busta’s 3.14.

Carreno-Busta, known for his solid baseline game and strategic shot placement, will be looking to leverage his home advantage. However, his recent performances, while commendable, have featured inconsistencies that could hinder his effectiveness against a player of Shapovalov’s caliber.

Shapovalov, on the other hand, brings a powerful serve and aggressive baseline play, posing a significant threat with his ability to dictate points. His recent form indicates a player in good rhythm, suggesting a readiness to capitalize on any lapses from Carreno-Busta.

Bookmaker predictions give Carreno-Busta a 30.4% chance of victory and a staggering 69.6% for Shapovalov, indicating a strong belief in the Canadian’s capacity to prevail. While a straight-set win for Shapovalov (predicted score 0:2) seems likely, the match promises to deliver exciting tennis, with no outcomes guaranteed.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-22T13:52:02+00:00.

Carreno Busta
30.1%		 Shapovalov
69.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 0:2

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 3.15 1.35
MarathonBet 3.13 1.36 Watch Watch and Bet
Pinnacle 3.09 1.34

Latest Results

22.02.26 Pablo Carreno-Busta – Luca Nardi – 2:1
21.02.26 Botic Van De Zandschulp – Pablo Carreno-Busta – 0:2
17.02.26 Pablo Carreno-Busta – Quentin Halys – 1:2
17.02.26 Pablo Carreno-Busta – Alexander Bublik – Canceled
15.02.26 Pablo Carreno-Busta – Billy Harris – 2:0		 14.02.26 Denis Shapovalov – Ben Shelton – 1:2
13.02.26 Denis Shapovalov – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – 2:1
12.02.26 Denis Shapovalov – Aleksandar Kovacevic – 2:0
10.02.26 Denis Shapovalov – Rafael Jodar – 2:0
22.01.26 Denis Shapovalov – Marin Cilic – 0:3

Facts

  • Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 123. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 35.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carreno Busta won 4.
  • Carreno Busta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Shapovalov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Carreno Busta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Shapovalov is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Carreno Busta won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    02.11.22 Pablo Carreno-Busta – Denis Shapovalov – 2:1
    09.01.22 Pablo Carreno-Busta – Denis Shapovalov – 0:2
    08.09.20 Pablo Carreno-Busta – Denis Shapovalov – 3:2
    23.10.19 Pablo Carreno-Busta – Denis Shapovalov – 2:0
    28.09.19 Denis Shapovalov – Pablo Carreno-Busta – 0:2

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Qualification

    Semi-finals

    1 Van De Zandschulp B. (1) Carreno-Busta P. 0 : 2
    2 Trungelliti M. (WC) Nardi L. (8) 1 : 2
    3 Mpetshi Perricard G. (2) Mochizuki S. 2 : 0
    4 Choinski J. De Jong J. (6) 2 : 0
    5 Halys Q. (3) O’Connell C. 2 : 0
    6 Basilashvili N. (WC) Shevchenko A. (5) 0 : 2
    7 Struff J-L. (4) Al Janahi A. (WC) 2 : 0
    8 Virtanen O. Vukic A. (7) 2 : 0

    Final

    1 Carreno-Busta P. Nardi L. (8) 2 : 1
    2 Mpetshi Perricard G. (2) Choinski J. 2 : 1
    3 Halys Q. (3) Shevchenko A. (5) 2 : 0
    4 Struff J-L. (4) Virtanen O. 1 : 2

    ATP Dubai Outrights

    1. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 5.94 (11.99%)

    2. Bublik Alexander: 7.08 (10.06%)

    3. Medvedev Daniil: 7.58 (9.4%)

    4. Draper Jack: 12 (5.94%)

    5. Mensik Jakub: 12.8 (5.57%)

    6. Rublev Andrey: 13 (5.48%)

    7. Fils Arthur: 13 (5.48%)

    8. Lehecka Jiri: 15 (4.75%)

    9. Humbert Ugo: 17.4 (4.09%)

    10. Khachanov Karen: 19 (3.75%)

    11. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 21 (3.39%)

    12. Hurkacz Hubert: 21 (3.39%)

    13. Machac Tomas: 29 (2.46%)

    14. Wawrinka Stan: 29 (2.46%)

    15. Majchrzak Kamil: 30 (2.37%)

    16. Brooksby Jenson: 30 (2.37%)

    17. Shapovalov Denis: 34 (2.1%)

    18. Marozsan Fabian: 34 (2.1%)

    19. Bergs Zizou: 34 (2.1%)

    20. Griekspoor Tallon: 34 (2.1%)

    21. Rinderknech Arthur: 41 (1.74%)

    22. Popyrin Alexei: 41 (1.74%)

    23. Shang Juncheng: 50.2 (1.42%)

    24. Zhang Zhizhen: 50.2 (1.42%)

    25. Royer Valentin: 65.4 (1.09%)

    26. Echargui Moez: 100.2 (0.71%)

    27. Hassan Benjamin: 130.2 (0.55%)

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