Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig predictions, Mar 01, 2026

Feb 23, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

German Bundesliga, on Sunday,

Hamburger SV

RB Leipzig

Score, Highlights

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On March 1, 2026, Hamburger SV will host RB Leipzig in what promises to be a competitive encounter in the German Bundesliga. Recent form reveals that Hamburger SV has secured two victories in their last five matches, suggesting a modest upturn in performance at a crucial juncture in the season. Conversely, RB Leipzig has struggled recently, managing only one win in the same time frame, illustrating potential issues in their consistency.

Tactically, Hamburger SV will aim to exploit their home advantage, relying on a solid defensive setup while looking for swift counter-attacks. They will need to tighten their defense against a Leipzig side known for their aggressive pressing and quick transitions. Leipzig, despite their recent struggles, has the attacking prowess to pose a significant threat, particularly if they can control possession and create space for their forwards.

Bookmakers have installed Hamburger SV as slight underdogs with odds of 3.23 for a home win compared to 2.1 for an away win. Model predictions suggest a 29% chance of a home victory, a 26% chance of a draw, and 45.3% likelihood of an away win, reflecting the expectation of a closely contested match. While a 1:1 final score is a plausible outcome based on odds, the dynamics of the game will ultimately dictate the result.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-22T23:52:02+00:00.

Hamburg
29.2%		 Draw
25.8%		 RB Leipzig
45%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of German Bundesliga RB Leipzig: 0.53%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 3.4 3.85 2.09
betsson 3.2 3.7 2.12
MarathonBet 3.46 3.81 2.16 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 3.1 3.5 2.1
Pinnacle 3.2 3.78 2.1

Latest Results

20.02.26 Mainz 05 – Hamburger SV – 1:1
14.02.26 Hamburger SV – Union Berlin – 3:2
07.02.26 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – Hamburger SV – 0:2
31.01.26 Hamburger SV – Bayern Munich – 2:2
23.01.26 FC St. Pauli – Hamburger SV – 0:0		 21.02.26 RB Leipzig – Borussia Dortmund – 2:2
15.02.26 RB Leipzig – VfL Wolfsburg – 2:2
11.02.26 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig – 2:0
08.02.26 1. FC Köln – RB Leipzig – 1:2
31.01.26 RB Leipzig – Mainz 05 – 1:2

Facts

  • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0.
  • Hamburg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • RB Leipzig‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • RB Leipzig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • RB Leipzig will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.9:2.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).

    Latest Head To Head

    18.10.25 RB Leipzig – Hamburger SV – 2:1
    18.10.22 RB Leipzig – Hamburger SV – 4:0
    23.04.19 Hamburger SV – RB Leipzig – 1:3
    27.01.18 RB Leipzig – Hamburger SV – 1:1
    08.09.17 Hamburger SV – RB Leipzig – 0:2

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bayern Munich 23 19 3 1 85:21 64 60
    2 Dortmund 23 15 7 1 49:22 27 52
    3 Hoffenheim 23 14 4 5 49:30 19 46
    4 Stuttgart 23 13 4 6 44:32 12 43
    5 RB Leipzig 23 12 5 6 44:32 12 41
    6 Bayer Leverkusen 22 12 3 7 43:28 15 39
    7 Freiburg 23 9 6 8 34:37 -3 33
    8 Eintracht Frankfurt 23 8 7 8 46:49 -3 31
    9 Union Berlin 23 7 7 9 29:37 -8 28
    10 Augsburg 23 8 4 11 28:41 -13 28
    11 Hamburger SV 22 6 8 8 25:32 -7 26
    12 FC Koln 23 6 6 11 33:39 -6 24
    13 Mainz 23 5 7 11 26:38 -12 22
    14 B. Monchengladbach 23 5 7 11 26:39 -13 22
    15 Wolfsburg 23 5 5 13 33:49 -16 20
    16 St. Pauli 23 5 5 13 22:40 -18 20
    17 Werder Bremen 23 4 7 12 23:44 -21 19
    18 Heidenheim 23 3 5 15 22:51 -29 14

    German Bundesliga Outrights

    1. Bayern Munich: 1.01 (94.5%)

    2. Dortmund: 41 (2.33%)

    3. Hoffenheim: 110.2 (0.87%)

    4. VfB Stuttgart: 130.2 (0.73%)

    5. RB Leipzig: 180.2 (0.53%)

    6. Bayer Leverkusen: 180.2 (0.53%)

    7. Freiburg: 880.2 (0.11%)

    8. Eintracht Frankfurt: 880.2 (0.11%)

    9. Union Berlin: 980.2 (0.1%)

    10. Augsburg: 980.2 (0.1%)

    11. Hamburger: 980.2 (0.1%)

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