UNAM vs Toluca predictions, Mar 03, 2026

Mexican Liga MX, on Tuesday,

UNAM

Toluca

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As the UNAM Pumas prepare to host Deportivo Toluca on March 3, 2026, both teams will be vying for essential points in the Liga MX. The Pumas, buoyed by their recent form of three wins in their last five matches, will look to leverage their home advantage at the Estadio Olímpico Universitario. Their attacking tactics have shown promise, suggesting a potential for offensive play, but they must tighten their defense to avert any slip-ups against a potent opponent.

Deportivo Toluca, on the other hand, comes into this match with two victories in their last five outings. While their recent form does not fully reflect their capabilities, they have been effective in capitalizing on opportunities, making them a formidable opponent. With a well-organized defense and quick transitions, Toluca can deflect pressure from the Pumas while creating dangerous counters.

The bookmakers currently favor Toluca with odds of 1.76 for an away win, reflecting a significant perceived advantage. With our model assigning a probability of 52.1% for an away win and a predicted scoreline of 1:2, this match appears to lean towards the visitors, though anything can happen in football. Fans can expect an engaging contest, as both teams look to cement their standings in this critical fixture.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-25T14:52:03+00:00.

UNAM
21.9%
Draw
26.8%
Toluca
51.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 4.15 3.45 1.85
MarathonBet 4.24 3.48 1.82 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 4 3.2 1.75
Pinnacle 4.24 3.64 1.83

Latest Results

22.02.26 UNAM Pumas – CF Monterrey – 2:0
13.02.26 Puebla FC – UNAM Pumas – 2:3
10.02.26 UNAM Pumas – San Diego FC – 1:0
07.02.26 Club Atlas – UNAM Pumas – 2:2
03.02.26 San Diego FC – UNAM Pumas – 4:1
21.02.26 Club Necaxa – Deportivo Toluca – 0:3
13.02.26 Deportivo Toluca – Club Tijuana – 1:0
07.02.26 Deportivo Toluca – Cruz Azul FC – 1:1
30.01.26 Puebla FC – Deportivo Toluca – 0:0
17.01.26 Tigres UANL – Deportivo Toluca – 0:0

Facts

  • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 0.
  • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
  • In this match, Toluca is seen as the favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

    Latest Head To Head

    16.08.25 Deportivo Toluca – UNAM Pumas – 1:1
    29.01.25 UNAM Pumas – Deportivo Toluca – 1:1
    05.10.24 Deportivo Toluca – UNAM Pumas – 1:1
    17.03.24 Deportivo Toluca – UNAM Pumas – 3:0
    18.08.23 UNAM Pumas – Deportivo Toluca – 1:1

    Standings

    Clausura

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Guadalajara Chivas 7 6 0 1 12:6 6 18
    2 Cruz Azul 7 5 1 1 13:8 5 16
    3 UNAM Pumas 7 4 3 0 14:6 8 15
    4 Toluca 7 4 3 0 9:2 7 15
    5 Pachuca 7 4 2 1 9:5 4 14
    6 Atlas 7 4 1 2 9:9 0 13
    7 Club America 7 3 2 2 7:3 4 11
    8 Tigres UANL 7 3 1 3 11:8 3 10
    9 Monterrey 7 3 1 3 10:7 3 10
    10 Necaxa 7 3 0 4 9:11 -2 9
    11 Club Tijuana 7 1 5 1 6:6 0 8
    12 Atl. San Luis 7 2 1 4 12:13 -1 7
    13 Club Leon 7 2 1 4 7:10 -3 7
    14 Queretaro 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
    15 Puebla 7 1 2 4 4:10 -6 5
    16 Juarez 6 1 1 4 8:12 -4 4
    17 Mazatlan FC 7 1 1 5 7:14 -7 4
    18 Santos Laguna 7 0 1 6 7:21 -14 1

    Mexican Liga MX Outrights

    1. Guadalajara: 15 (100%)

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