TPS vs Lukko predictions, Mar 04, 2026

Mar 01, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Finnish SM-liiga, on Wednesday,

TPS

Lukko

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As TPS prepares to host Lukko in this pivotal SM-liiga clash on March 4, 2026, both teams will look to gain crucial points in their respective campaigns. TPS arrives with a solid recent form, securing victories in 3 of their last 5 matches. Their offensive unit has shown signs of improvement, effectively exploiting opponents’ defensive lapses, which could be key against Lukko.

In contrast, Lukko has had a more challenging run, winning 2 of their last 5 outings. While they possess a resilient defense, they will need to sharpen their attacking strategy to penetrate a TPS side that has occasionally struggled to maintain consistency at the back.

Bookmakers set the odds at 2.84 for a home victory and 2.24 for an away win, reflecting a cautious outlook on TPS’s chances on home ice. Model predictions tilt slightly towards Lukko with a 40.2% probability of an away win, compared to TPS’s 34.1% for a home victory.

As the teams take the ice, tactical discipline and execution will be vital. Fans can expect a closely contested match, though both sides will be eager to seize the opportunity to enhance their standings.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-01T15:52:03+00:00.

TPS
32.9%		 Draw
25.4%		 Lukko
41.7%

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga TPS Turku: 0.88%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Pinnacle 2.84 3.68 2.24

Latest Results

25.02.26 TPS hockey – SaiPa hockey – 1:3
21.02.26 TPS hockey – JYP Hockey – 3:8
14.02.26 Vaasan Sport – TPS hockey – 1:4
13.02.26 TPS hockey – Vaasan Sport – 3:1
10.02.26 TPS hockey – HPK Hockey – 3:1		 28.02.26 Lukko Hockey – Pelicans Hockey – 2:5
25.02.26 Lukko Hockey – Mikkelin Jukurit – 2:1
18.02.26 Kiekko-Espoo – Lukko Hockey – 2:3 OT
17.02.26 Ilves hockey – Lukko Hockey – 3:2
14.02.26 Lukko Hockey – Tappara hockey – 1:4

Facts

  • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Lukko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, TPS has had a series of home games.
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • We predict that TPS will win today’s game, with odds of 2.84.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 41:49. (average 2.1:2.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 2:1.8).

    Latest Head To Head

    06.02.26 Lukko Hockey – TPS hockey – 3:2
    05.12.25 Lukko Hockey – TPS hockey – 4:2
    13.09.25 TPS hockey – Lukko Hockey – 3:0
    01.08.25 Lukko Hockey – TPS hockey – 5:1
    14.03.25 TPS hockey – Lukko Hockey – 1:4

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Tappara 53 33 2 3 15 202:127 106
    2 KooKoo 54 30 7 1 16 195:135 105
    3 SaiPa 55 28 6 7 14 187:146 103
    4 JYP 53 24 10 4 15 180:155 96
    5 Lukko 54 26 7 3 18 164:138 95
    6 Ilves 54 25 7 4 18 164:139 93
    7 KalPa 54 25 6 5 18 160:160 92
    8 Assat 54 23 6 4 21 150:148 85
    9 Kiekko-Espoo 55 20 4 10 21 139:151 78
    10 Pelicans 54 18 8 7 21 123:140 77
    11 IFK Helsinki 53 19 4 5 25 122:170 70
    12 Hameenlinna 54 15 7 8 24 128:150 67
    13 TPS Turku 54 15 7 8 24 127:154 67
    14 Jukurit 54 15 5 7 27 121:147 62
    15 Karpat 54 15 5 5 29 158:176 60
    16 Vaasan Sport 55 9 1 11 34 106:190 40

    Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

    1. Tappara: 2.52 (34.8%)

    2. Ilves Tampere: 4.54 (19.35%)

    3. Lukko Rauman: 9.2 (9.55%)

    4. Saipa: 12.36 (7.11%)

    5. JYP Jyvaskyla: 13 (6.76%)

    6. KooKoo: 13.56 (6.48%)

    7. Kalpa Kuopio: 17.4 (5.05%)

    8. IFK Helsinki: 21 (4.18%)

    9. Karpat Oulu: 58.2 (1.51%)

    10. Assat Pori: 81.4 (1.08%)

    11. Pelicans Lahti: 100.2 (0.88%)

    12. TPS Turku: 100.2 (0.88%)

    13. Hameenlinna: 100.2 (0.88%)

    14. Kiekko-Espoo: 110.2 (0.8%)

    15. Jukurit: 180.2 (0.49%)

    16. Vaasan Sport: 380.2 (0.23%)

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