Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions, Mar 05, 2026

NHL, on Thursday,

Winnipeg Jets

Tampa Bay Lightning

Score, Highlights

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As the Winnipeg Jets prepare to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning on March 5, 2026, the matchup promises to be an intriguing clash. Both teams arrive with contrasting recent form; the Jets have struggled, winning only 1 of their last 5 games, while the Lightning have seen more success, securing victories in 3 of their last 5 encounters.

Winnipeg will need to leverage their home-ice advantage in an effort to reverse their fortunes. Historically, the Jets are known for their strong puck control and aggressive forechecking—but their recent performances suggest a need for improvement in defensive consistency. Conversely, Tampa Bay has showcased a potent offensive lineup capable of capitalizing on opponents’ mistakes. Their ability to generate scoring opportunities, particularly on the power play, could pose significant challenges for Winnipeg’s defense.

Bookmaker odds reflect the sentiments surrounding the game, with the Jets at 3.06 to the Lightning’s 2.12, indicating a lean towards an away victory, supported by a 47.7% predicted probability. Although the model suggests a final score of 2:3 in favor of Tampa Bay, the unpredictable nature of hockey means outcomes remain uncertain. Both teams will aim to assert dominance as they vie for crucial points in the NHL standings.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-03T09:52:03+00:00.

Winnipeg
31.4%
Draw
22.6%
Tampa Bay
46%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:3

Outrights of NHL Tampa Bay Lightning: 15.98% Winnipeg Jets: 0.38%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 3.06 4.31 2.12
Pinnacle 3.04 4.18 2.04

Latest Results

01.03.26 San Jose Sharks – Winnipeg Jets – 2:1 OT
27.02.26 Anaheim Ducks – Winnipeg Jets – 5:4 OT
25.02.26 Vancouver Canucks – Winnipeg Jets – 2:3 OT
04.02.26 Winnipeg Jets – Montreal Canadiens – 1:5
02.02.26 Dallas Stars – Winnipeg Jets – 4:3 OT
28.02.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Buffalo Sabres – 2:6
26.02.26 Carolina Hurricanes – Tampa Bay Lightning – 5:4
25.02.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Toronto Maple Leafs – 4:2
05.02.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Florida Panthers – 6:1
03.02.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Buffalo Sabres – 4:3 OT

Facts

  • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 3.
  • Winnipeg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Tampa Bay has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Recently, Winnipeg has had a series of away games.
  • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
  • Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 69:74. (average 3.5:3.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Winnipeg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 3.9:3.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    29.01.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Winnipeg Jets – 4:1
    14.11.24 Tampa Bay Lightning – Winnipeg Jets – 4:1
    03.11.24 Winnipeg Jets – Tampa Bay Lightning – 7:4
    02.01.24 Winnipeg Jets – Tampa Bay Lightning – 4:2
    22.11.23 Tampa Bay Lightning – Winnipeg Jets – 2:3 OT

    Standings

    Main

    Western Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Colorado Avalanche 59 37 3 9 10 225:148 89
    2 Dallas Stars 60 30 7 9 14 206:164 83
    3 Minnesota Wild 61 22 13 10 16 204:179 80
    4 Vegas Golden Knights 60 21 7 14 18 199:191 70
    5 Anaheim Ducks 59 19 14 3 23 199:206 69
    6 Seattle Kraken 60 23 6 9 22 171:176 67
    7 Utah Mammoth 60 24 7 4 25 190:167 66
    8 Edmonton Oilers 61 22 7 8 24 215:206 66
    9 San Jose Sharks 58 17 12 4 25 179:202 62
    10 Nashville Predators 60 20 7 8 25 177:207 62
    11 Los Angeles Kings 60 15 9 14 22 155:179 62
    12 Winnipeg Jets 59 20 3 10 26 168:184 56
    13 Calgary Flames 59 20 4 7 28 148:175 55
    14 Chicago Blackhawks 60 18 5 9 28 161:192 55
    15 St. Louis Blues 60 21 1 9 29 156:208 53
    16 Vancouver Canucks 60 12 6 7 35 153:224 43

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Carolina Hurricanes 60 28 10 6 16 208:171 82
    2 Tampa Bay Lightning 58 29 9 4 16 209:153 80
    3 Buffalo Sabres 60 29 6 6 19 206:181 76
    4 Detroit Red Wings 61 24 11 6 20 182:183 76
    5 Montreal Canadiens 59 22 11 9 17 208:193 75
    6 Pittsburgh Penguins 59 27 4 13 15 203:173 75
    7 New York Islanders 61 23 12 5 21 182:172 75
    8 Boston Bruins 59 25 8 5 21 200:187 71
    9 Washington Capitals 62 26 5 7 24 197:186 69
    10 Columbus Blue Jackets 59 20 10 8 21 189:189 68
    11 Philadelphia Flyers 60 19 9 11 21 177:188 67
    12 Ottawa Senators 59 23 6 8 22 197:188 66
    13 Toronto Maple Leafs 61 19 8 10 24 195:211 64
    14 Florida Panthers 60 24 6 3 27 185:200 63
    15 New Jersey Devils 60 19 10 2 29 151:182 60
    16 New York Rangers 60 14 9 8 29 160:190 54

    NHL Outrights

    1. Colorado Avalanche: 3.96 (20.35%)

    2. Tampa Bay Lightning: 5.04 (15.98%)

    3. Carolina Hurricanes: 6.75 (11.93%)

    4. Vegas Golden Knights: 9.33 (8.63%)

    5. Edmonton Oilers: 11.33 (7.11%)

    6. Dallas Stars: 15.83 (5.09%)

    7. Minnesota Wild: 18.33 (4.39%)

    8. Montreal Canadiens: 29.67 (2.72%)

    9. Florida Panthers: 32.17 (2.5%)

    10. Utah Mammoth: 32.17 (2.5%)

    11. Buffalo Sabres: 32.5 (2.48%)

    12. Los Angeles Kings: 37.33 (2.16%)

    13. Washington Capitals: 49.33 (1.63%)

    14. Detroit Red Wings: 49.33 (1.63%)

    15. Pittsburgh Penguins: 51 (1.58%)

    16. New York Islanders: 57 (1.41%)

    17. Ottawa Senators: 62 (1.3%)

    18. Anaheim Ducks: 68.67 (1.17%)

    19. Columbus Blue Jackets: 77 (1.05%)

    20. Toronto Maple Leafs: 88.67 (0.91%)

    21. Boston Bruins: 134.33 (0.6%)

    22. Nashville Predators: 192.67 (0.42%)

    23. New Jersey Devils: 197.67 (0.41%)

    24. Philadelphia Flyers: 201 (0.4%)

    25. Winnipeg Jets: 209.33 (0.38%)

    26. Seattle Kraken: 234.33 (0.34%)

    27. San Jose Sharks: 251 (0.32%)

    28. Calgary Flames: 634.33 (0.13%)

    29. St. Louis Blues: 634.33 (0.13%)

    30. Chicago Blackhawks: 634.33 (0.13%)

    31. New York Rangers: 634.33 (0.13%)

    32. Vancouver Canucks: 884.33 (0.09%)

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