ATP Monte Carlo, on Monday,
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As the ATP Monte Carlo event approaches, fans eagerly anticipate the clash between Sebastian Baez and Stanislas Wawrinka on April 6, 2026. The match will take place in a home environment for Baez, which may provide him with a psychological edge.
Recent form suggests that Baez has experienced a slightly favorable run, winning 2 of his last 5 matches. His aggressive baseline play and strong consistency will be critical against Wawrinka, who has struggled with form, securing only 1 win in his last 5 outings. Baez’s tactical approach often relies on powerful groundstrokes and the ability to dictate play, aspects that could pressure Wawrinka into uncharacteristic errors.
Wawrinka, known for his powerful one-handed backhand and ability to perform under pressure, will need to find his rhythm early in the match. While his recent performances have been underwhelming, his experience in high-stakes matches could come into play.
Bookmakers have established Baez as the favorite with odds at 1.41 compared to Wawrinka’s 2.77. According to model predictions, Baez has a 63% probability of securing a home win, while Wawrinka sits at 37%. As the match unfolds, both players will have opportunities to seize control, making this a compelling contest. As always in tennis, outcomes remain unpredictable.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-03T23:52:03+00:00.
| Baez 67.5% |
Wawrinka 32.5% |
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 2.87 |
Latest Results
| 03.04.26 Sebastian Baez – Titouan Droguet – 0:2 31.03.26 Sebastian Baez – Vilius Gaubas – 2:0 20.03.26 Adam Walton – Sebastian Baez – 2:0 09.03.26 Daniil Medvedev – Sebastian Baez – 2:0 07.03.26 Sebastian Baez – Jiri Lehecka – 2:0 |
24.03.26 Stanislas Wawrinka – Matteo Martineau – 1:2 25.02.26 Daniil Medvedev – Stanislas Wawrinka – 2:0 23.02.26 Stanislas Wawrinka – Benjamin Hassan – 2:0 12.02.26 Alex De Minaur – Stanislas Wawrinka – 2:0 11.02.26 Aleksandar Vukic – Stanislas Wawrinka – Canceled |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 07.01.26 Stanislas Wawrinka – Sebastian Baez – 0:2 |
Standings
Draw
Singles – Qualification
Semi-finals
| 1 | Quinn E. (1) | Virtanen O. | |
| 2 | Arneodo R. (WC) | Comesana F. (10) | |
| 3 | Buse I. (2) | Goffin D. (WC) | |
| 4 | Nava E. | Halys Q. (11) | |
| 5 | Cerundolo J. M. (3) | Nys H. (WC) | |
| 6 | Martinez P. | Vukic A. (9) | |
| 7 | Kopriva V. (4) | Arnaldi M. | |
| 8 | Choinski J. | Muller A. (13) | |
| 9 | Dzumhur D. (5) | Budkov Kjaer N. (WC) | |
| 10 | Maestrelli F. | Blockx A. (12) | |
| 11 | Struff J-L. (6) | Basilashvili N. (Alt) | |
| 12 | Garin C. | De Jong J. (14) | |
| 13 | Shevchenko A. (7) | Pellegrino A. (Alt) | |
| 14 | Bonzi B. | Bautista-Agut R. (8) |
Final
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | TBD #10 | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | TBD #14 |
ATP Monte Carlo Outrights
1. Alcaraz Carlos: 1.91 (36.3%)
2. Sinner Jannik: 2.05 (33.82%)
3. Zverev Alexander: 15 (4.62%)
4. Musetti Lorenzo: 41 (1.69%)
5. Medvedev Daniil: 51 (1.36%)
6. Mensik Jakub: 51 (1.36%)
7. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 51 (1.36%)
8. Lehecka Jiri: 51 (1.36%)
9. Khachanov Karen: 51 (1.36%)
10. Fonseca Joao: 51 (1.36%)
11. Vacherot Valentin: 67 (1.03%)
12. Norrie Cameron: 67 (1.03%)
13. Ruud Casper: 67 (1.03%)
14. Bublik Alexander: 81 (0.86%)
15. De Minaur Alex: 81 (0.86%)
16. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 101 (0.69%)
17. Humbert Ugo: 101 (0.69%)
18. Rublev Andrey: 126 (0.55%)
19. Cobolli Flavio: 151 (0.46%)
20. Shapovalov Denis: 151 (0.46%)
21. Darderi Luciano: 151 (0.46%)
22. Hurkacz Hubert: 151 (0.46%)
23. Baez Sebastian: 151 (0.46%)
24. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 201 (0.34%)
25. Cerundolo Francisco: 251 (0.28%)
26. Cilic Marin: 251 (0.28%)
27. Dimitrov Grigor: 251 (0.28%)
28. Tiafoe Frances: 251 (0.28%)
29. Griekspoor Tallon: 251 (0.28%)
30. Berrettini Matteo: 251 (0.28%)
31. Bergs Zizou: 301 (0.23%)
32. Borges Nuno: 301 (0.23%)
33. Diallo Gabriel: 301 (0.23%)
34. Moutet Corentin: 301 (0.23%)
35. Marozsan Fabian: 301 (0.23%)
36. Tabilo Alejandro: 301 (0.23%)
37. Machac Tomas: 301 (0.23%)
38. Rinderknech Arthur: 301 (0.23%)
39. Mannarino Adrian: 301 (0.23%)
40. Kouame Moise: 301 (0.23%)
41. Majchrzak Kamil: 301 (0.23%)
42. Kecmanovic Miomir: 301 (0.23%)
43. Monfils Gael: 301 (0.23%)
44. Mpetshi Perricard Giovanni: 301 (0.23%)
45. Popyrin Alexei: 301 (0.23%)
46. Altmaier Daniel: 301 (0.23%)
47. Fucsovics Marton: 301 (0.23%)
48. Atmane Terence: 301 (0.23%)
49. Wawrinka Stan: 301 (0.23%)
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