Necaxa vs Chivas Guadalajara predictions, Apr 22, 2026

Apr 16, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Mexican Liga MX, on Wednesday,

Necaxa

Guadalajara

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Club Necaxa prepares to host Chivas Guadalajara in this upcoming Liga MX clash on April 22, 2026, both teams come into the match with contrasting recent forms. Necaxa has managed to secure victories in 2 of their last 5 outings, indicating some resilience, but they face a formidable opponent in Chivas, who has triumphed in 3 of their latest 5 matches, showcasing a more consistent performance.

Tactically, Chivas is known for their structured approach and effective counter-attacks, which can exploit defensive vulnerabilities. In contrast, Necaxa will need to focus on solidifying their backline while capitalizing on set pieces and maintaining possession to create scoring opportunities.

Current bookmakers’ odds support Chivas as favorites with a 1.57 valuation for an away win compared to 4.65 for a home victory, reflecting their strong recent form and overall positioning in the league. Our model assigns a 19.1% probability of a home win for Necaxa, a 22.7% chance for a draw, and a 58.5% likelihood of an away victory.

With both teams vying for crucial points, this matchup promises to be competitive. However, while Chivas appears slightly favored, the outcome remains uncertain and could hinge on key moments and tactical execution.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-16T13:52:03+00:00.

Necaxa
19.4%		 Draw
23%		 Guadalajara
57.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX Necaxa: 2.22%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 4.95 3.95 1.65
MarathonBet 4.8 4.05 1.62 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 4.5 3.6 1.6
Pinnacle 4.83 4.3 1.62

Latest Results

11.04.26 Querétaro FC – Club Necaxa – 3:1
03.04.26 Club Necaxa – Mazatlan FC – 2:1
20.03.26 Club Necaxa – Club Tijuana – 3:0
13.03.26 Puebla FC – Club Necaxa – 0:0
06.03.26 Club Necaxa – UNAM Pumas – 0:1		 11.04.26 Tigres UANL – Chivas Guadalajara – 4:1
05.04.26 Chivas Guadalajara – UNAM Pumas – 2:2
29.03.26 Club Atlas – Chivas Guadalajara – 0:1
21.03.26 CF Monterrey – Chivas Guadalajara – 2:3
18.03.26 Chivas Guadalajara – Club León – 5:0

Facts

  • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
  • Guadalajara is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 2.
  • Recent performances by Necaxa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Guadalajara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • In this match, Guadalajara is considered a favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:39. (average 1.1:2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.1:2.1).

    Latest Head To Head

    23.09.25 Chivas Guadalajara – Club Necaxa – 3:1
    17.01.25 Club Necaxa – Chivas Guadalajara – 3:2
    22.10.24 Chivas Guadalajara – Club Necaxa – 3:2
    20.02.24 Club Necaxa – Chivas Guadalajara – 1:0
    13.07.23 Chivas Guadalajara – Club Necaxa – 2:0

    Standings

    Clausura

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Guadalajara Chivas ✔ 14 10 1 3 28:17 11 31
    2 Cruz Azul 14 8 4 2 25:15 10 28
    3 Pachuca 14 8 4 2 21:13 8 28
    4 UNAM Pumas 14 7 6 1 26:15 11 27
    5 Toluca 14 7 6 1 20:9 11 27
    6 Tigres UANL 14 6 2 6 22:16 6 20
    7 Club America 14 5 4 5 15:13 2 19
    8 Atlas 14 5 4 5 14:18 -4 19
    9 Club Leon 14 6 1 7 16:24 -8 19
    10 Club Tijuana 14 4 6 4 15:15 0 18
    11 Juarez 14 4 4 6 21:24 -3 16
    12 Necaxa 14 5 1 8 17:20 -3 16
    13 Monterrey 14 4 3 7 19:17 2 15
    14 Atl. San Luis 14 4 3 7 21:23 -2 15
    15 Queretaro 14 3 6 5 13:18 -5 15
    16 Puebla 14 3 4 7 11:17 -6 13
    17 Mazatlan FC 14 3 2 9 16:28 -12 11
    18 Santos Laguna 14 2 3 9 17:35 -18 9

    Mexican Liga MX Outrights

    1. Cruz Azul: 4.5 (20.23%)

    2. Toluca: 5 (18.2%)

    3. Pachuca: 9 (10.11%)

    4. Guadalajara: 9.5 (9.58%)

    5. UNAM Pumas: 10 (9.1%)

    6. Club America: 11 (8.27%)

    7. Tigres UANL: 13 (7%)

    8. Monterrey: 26 (3.5%)

    9. Atlas: 26 (3.5%)

    10. Club Leon: 34 (2.68%)

    11. Necaxa: 41 (2.22%)

    12. Club Tijuana: 41 (2.22%)

    13. Juarez: 67 (1.36%)

    14. Atletico San Luis: 101 (0.9%)

    15. Queretaro: 201 (0.45%)

    16. Mazatlan FC: 301 (0.3%)

    17. Santos Laguna: 501 (0.18%)

    18. Puebla: 501 (0.18%)

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