Tondela vs Moreirense predictions, May 10, 2026

Liga Portugal, on Sunday,

Tondela

Moreirense

Score, Highlights

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On May 10, 2026, CD Tondela will host Moreirense FC in what promises to be an intriguing Liga Portugal encounter. Tondela enters this match on a challenging note, having secured only one victory in their last five matches, which may raise concerns over their current form. Despite being at home, they will need to leverage their home advantage effectively to turn around their recent performances.

Moreirense, on the other hand, has shown a slightly more promising trend with two wins in their last five outings. This trend suggests a better level of confidence and cohesion among the Moreirense squad, which could be key on the road.

Bookmakers have priced Tondela as the marginal favorites at 2.3, while Moreirense is not far behind at 3.17, reflecting the perceived competitiveness of the matchup. According to model predictions, there is a 42.1% chance of a home win, indicating Tondela’s potential to reclaim form, but the probabilities for a draw (29.8%) and an away victory (29.1%) suggest that the match could easily tilt in either direction.

Ultimately, both teams have stakes in this matchup, and while Tondela will hope to capitalize on home turf, Moreirense’s recent form could make for a closely contested clash.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-03T20:52:02+00:00.

Tondela
44.9%
Draw
27.8%
Moreirense
27.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Watch Watch and Bet Tondela – Moreirense available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 2.01 3.51 3.72
betsson 2.08 3.45 3.35
MarathonBet 2.23 3.43 3.43 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 2.1 3.2 3.4
Pinnacle 2.12 3.41 3.4

Latest Results

03.05.26 Casa Pia – CD Tondela – 0:1
29.04.26 Sporting Lisbon – CD Tondela – 2:2
25.04.26 CD Tondela – Atletico Nacional – 0:2
19.04.26 FC Porto – CD Tondela – 2:0
13.04.26 CD Tondela – Gil Vicente – 2:2
02.05.26 Moreirense FC – Estrela da Amadora – 3:2
25.04.26 SL Benfica – Moreirense FC – 4:1
20.04.26 Moreirense FC – Estoril Praia – 1:0
10.04.26 FC Famalicão – Moreirense FC – 1:1
04.04.26 Moreirense FC – SC Braga – 0:1

Facts

  • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 8).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 1.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Tondela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Tondela is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    11.01.26 Moreirense FC – CD Tondela – 1:0
    29.04.23 Moreirense FC – CD Tondela – 2:1
    14.11.22 CD Tondela – Moreirense FC – 1:1
    16.04.22 Moreirense FC – CD Tondela – 2:0
    03.01.22 CD Tondela – Moreirense FC – 2:1

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 FC Porto ✔ 32 27 4 1 64:15 49 85
    2 Benfica 32 22 10 0 69:22 47 76
    3 Sporting CP 31 22 7 2 77:22 55 73
    4 Braga 32 16 9 7 60:32 28 57
    5 Famalicao 32 14 10 8 41:29 12 52
    6 Gil Vicente 32 13 11 8 46:32 14 50
    7 Vitoria Guimaraes 31 12 6 13 38:43 -5 42
    8 Moreirense 32 12 6 14 37:47 -10 42
    9 Estoril 32 10 8 14 52:53 -1 38
    10 Alverca 32 10 8 14 34:50 -16 38
    11 Arouca 32 10 6 16 41:62 -21 36
    12 Rio Ave 32 8 11 13 33:52 -19 35
    13 Santa Clara 32 8 9 15 30:40 -10 33
    14 Nacional 32 8 7 17 35:43 -8 31
    15 Estrela 32 6 10 16 36:54 -18 28
    16 Casa Pia 32 5 11 16 29:56 -27 26
    17 Tondela 32 5 10 17 24:52 -28 25
    18 AFS ✔ 32 2 11 19 24:66 -42 17

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