Lithuania vs Japan predictions, May 05, 2026

IIHF World Championship IA, on Tuesday,

Lithuania

Japan

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Lithuania prepares to take on Japan in the IIHF World Championship IA on May 5, 2026, fans can expect an intriguing matchup featuring two teams with contrasting recent performances. Lithuania enters the contest having secured victory in two of their last five matches, reflecting their competitive spirit but also raising questions about consistency. The home ice advantage may bolster their confidence, as they aim to capitalize on familiar surroundings.

Japan, on the other hand, comes off a stronger performance with three wins in their last five games. Their current form suggests a solid momentum and tactical cohesion, potentially providing a challenge for the Lithuanian squad. Japan’s speed and agility on the ice could be pivotal, particularly if they seek to exploit counter-attacking opportunities.

Bookmaker odds favor Japan, reflecting an away victory at 1.67 compared to Lithuania’s odds of 3.5. Our model predicts a probability distribution of 28.4% for a home win, 22.1% for a draw, and a strong 49.2% likelihood of an away victory. As such, while Lithuania can draw on home support, Japan’s sharp form and tactical advantages position them as frontrunners in this encounter. Nonetheless, in a sport as unpredictable as hockey, the outcome remains open-ended.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-03T23:52:02+00:00.

Lithuania
25.8%
Draw
20.1%
Japan
54.1%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Best for US Customers 3.5 4.5 1.67

Latest Results

03.05.26 Ukraine hockey – Lithuania hockey – 2:1
02.05.26 Lithuania hockey – Kazakhstan hockey – 1:4
19.04.26 Lithuania hockey – Estonia hockey – 3:1
18.04.26 Lithuania hockey – Estonia hockey – 4:0
11.04.26 Lithuania hockey – Poland hockey – 0:3
03.05.26 Kazakhstan hockey – Japan hockey – 6:0
02.05.26 Japan hockey – France hockey – 3:4
25.04.26 Hungary hockey – Japan hockey – 2:4
24.04.26 Hungary hockey – Japan hockey – 3:4
19.04.26 Japan hockey – South Korea hockey – 6:2

Facts

  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Japan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Japan is the team to beat.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 3:3.8).

    Latest Head To Head

    08.02.24 Lithuania hockey – Japan hockey – 4:6
    07.02.20 Japan hockey – Lithuania hockey – 4:0
    08.11.18 Lithuania hockey – Japan hockey – 3:2 penalties
    25.04.18 Japan hockey – Lithuania hockey – 1:6
    28.04.17 Lithuania hockey – Japan hockey – 2:6

    Standings

    2025

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Great Britain 5 2 3 0 0 19:9 12
    2 Italy 5 3 0 1 1 18:11 10
    3 Ukraine 5 2 1 1 1 16:10 9
    4 Japan 5 2 0 1 2 14:16 7
    5 Poland 5 2 0 0 3 8:13 6
    6 Romania ✔ 5 0 0 1 4 6:22 1

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