Copa Libertadores, on Thursday,
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In an intriguing Copa Libertadores matchup, Deportivo La Guaira hosts Independiente Rivadavia on May 21, 2026. The home side is currently struggling, having failed to secure a victory in their last five matches. Their recent performances suggest defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by more assertive opponents.
Independiente Rivadavia, on the other hand, enters this fixture with a modest resurgence, having secured two wins in their last five outings. This positive trend indicates a team that has begun to find its rhythm, showcasing a more balanced approach both in possession and in their defensive transitions.
Bookmakers have installed Deportivo La Guaira as underdogs at odds of 4.54 for a home win, reflecting the current form disparity. In contrast, Independiente Rivadavia is favored with odds of 1.85 for an away victory, signaling confidence in their capacity to capitalize on La Guaira’s struggles.
Our model suggests a 20.3% chance of a home win, a 27.5% draw probability, and a significant 52.3% likelihood of an away victory. While Deportivo La Guaira may leverage home advantage, the form and tactical capabilities of Independiente Rivadavia suggest they will be the more dangerous side in this encounter. Ultimately, while anything can happen in football, the indications lean towards the visitors coming out on top.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-15T12:52:03+00:00.
| Deportivo La Guaira 20.8% |
Draw 28.2% |
Independiente R 51% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 0:1
Outrights of Copa Libertadores Ind. Rivadavia: 4.01%
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.54 | 3.35 | 1.85 |
Latest Results
| 12.05.26 Universidad Central de Venezuela FC – Deportivo La Guaira – 1:1 09.05.26 Deportivo La Guaira – Portuguesa Acarígua – 1:1 06.05.26 Deportivo La Guaira – Bolívar La Paz – 1:1 02.05.26 Academia Puerto Cabello – Deportivo La Guaira – 1:1 30.04.26 Independiente Rivadavia – Deportivo La Guaira – 4:1 |
09.05.26 Independiente Rivadavia – Unión Santa Fe – 1:2 06.05.26 Independiente Rivadavia – Fluminense RJ – 1:1 03.05.26 CA Aldosivi – Independiente Rivadavia – 1:1 30.04.26 Independiente Rivadavia – Deportivo La Guaira – 4:1 26.04.26 Independiente Rivadavia – Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza – 5:1 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 30.04.26 Independiente Rivadavia – Deportivo La Guaira – 4:1 |
Standings
Group Stage
Group A
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cusco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Group B
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Coquimbo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
Group C
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Group D
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | U. Catolica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
Group E
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Corinthians | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Platense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Penarol | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
Group F
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Junior | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Group G
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Mirassol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Lanus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 6 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
Group H
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Rosario Central | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Copa Libertadores Outrights
1. Flamengo RJ: 3.75 (19.61%)
2. Palmeiras: 5 (14.71%)
3. Corinthians: 9.17 (8.02%)
4. Cruzeiro: 9.17 (8.02%)
5. Rosario Central: 12.5 (5.88%)
6. Boca Juniors: 12.5 (5.88%)
7. Ind. Rivadavia: 18.33 (4.01%)
8. Fluminense: 18.33 (4.01%)
9. Estudiantes L.P.: 33.33 (2.21%)
10. Mirassol: 33.33 (2.21%)
11. Independiente del Valle: 34.17 (2.15%)
12. Deportes Tolima: 40.83 (1.8%)
13. LDU Quito: 40.83 (1.8%)
14. Cerro Porteno: 40.83 (1.8%)
15. U. Catolica: 41 (1.79%)
16. Platense: 42.5 (1.73%)
17. Junior: 50 (1.47%)
18. Junior W: 51 (1.44%)
19. Coquimbo: 51.83 (1.42%)
20. Club Nacional: 52 (1.41%)
21. Ind. Medellin: 54.33 (1.35%)
22. Lanus: 54.33 (1.35%)
23. Bolivar: 54.33 (1.35%)
24. Sporting Cristal: 71.17 (1.03%)
25. Universitario de Deportes: 71.17 (1.03%)
26. Penarol: 71.17 (1.03%)
27. Barcelona SC: 191.83 (0.38%)
28. Santa Fe: 233.5 (0.31%)
29. Always Ready: 316.83 (0.23%)
30. Deportivo La Guaira: 316.83 (0.23%)
31. Universidad Central: 316.83 (0.23%)
32. Cusco: 983.5 (0.07%)
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