ATP Bastad, on Friday,
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In an intriguing ATP Bastad encounter, Andrey Rublev will face Sebastian Baez on home soil, presenting a compelling clash of styles and recent form. Rublev, known for his aggressive baseline play and powerful groundstrokes, will look to capitalize on the support of his home crowd. However, his recent performance shows some inconsistency, with only 2 wins in his last 5 matches, which may raise questions about his form heading into this matchup.
On the other side of the court, Sebastian Baez has demonstrated a robust fighting spirit, securing 3 victories in his last 5 outings. His tactical game, characterized by versatility and an ability to adapt to various surfaces, might pose challenges for Rublev. Baez’s proficiency in constructing points and strong defensive skills could be pivotal in countering Rublev’s power.
Bookmakers have installed Rublev as the favorite with odds of 1.58 for a home win, while Baez offers decent value at 2.27 for an upset. According to predictive models, there’s a 61.6% likelihood of a home win compared to 38.4% for Baez. While Rublev’s home advantage and crowd support favor him, the match remains finely balanced, and anything can happen on the day.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-07-16T18:52:02+00:00.
| Rublev 58.9% |
Baez 41.1% |
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1.60 | 2.29 | ||
 |
1.56 | 2.22 | ||
 |
1.58 | 2.20 | ||
 |
1.58 | 2.37 | ||
 |
1.59 | 2.27 |
Latest Results
| 16.07.26 Andrey Rublev – Andrea Pellegrino – 2:1 29.06.26 Andrey Rublev – Roman Safiullin – 2:3 24.06.26 Andrey Rublev – Thanasi Kokkinakis – 1:2 23.06.26 Andrey Rublev – Alexander Shevchenko – 2:1 16.06.26 Andrey Rublev – Hubert Hurkacz – 0:2 |
16.07.26 Jesper De Jong – Sebastian Baez – 0:2 14.07.26 Max Dahlin – Sebastian Baez – 1:2 29.06.26 Jan-Lennard Struff – Sebastian Baez – 3:2 25.06.26 Sebastian Baez – Alexander Shevchenko – 2:0 24.06.26 Hubert Hurkacz – Sebastian Baez – 2:0 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 16.07.22 Sebastian Baez – Andrey Rublev – 2:0 |
Standings
Draw
Singles – Main
1/16-finals
| 1 | Rublev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Pellegrino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | De Jong J. | Gaubas V. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Dahlin M. (WC) | Baez S. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Tabilo A. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Diaz Acosta F. | Midon L. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Choinski J. | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ofner S. | Tirante T. A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Van De Zandschulp B. (6) | Daniel T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Vallejo D. | Damas M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Travaglia S. | Krumich M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Navone M. (4) | |
| 13 | Borges N. (5) | Kouame M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Svrcina D. | Dimitrov G. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Altmaier D. | Gaston H. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) |
1/8-finals
| 1 | Rublev A. (1) | Pellegrino A. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | De Jong J. | Baez S. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. (3) | Midon L. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Basilashvili N. | Tirante T. A. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Van De Zandschulp B. (6) | Vallejo D. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Travaglia S. | Navone M. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Borges N. (5) | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals
| 1 | Rublev A. (1) | Baez S. (8) | |
| 2 | Tabilo A. (3) | Tirante T. A. (7) | |
| 3 | Vallejo D. | Travaglia S. | |
| 4 | Borges N. (5) | Darderi L. (2) |
Semi-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 |
Final
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 |
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