Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar predictions, Aug 05, 2026

ATP Montreal, on Wednesday,

Ugo Humbert

Merida Aguilar

Score, Highlights

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As Ugo Humbert prepares to face Daniel Merida Aguilar in their upcoming ATP match in Montreal on August 5, 2026, the stage is set for an intriguing clash between two players with contrasting recent performances. Humbert, playing on home soil, has secured victories in 2 of his last 5 matches, indicating a slight dip in form but still providing a solid foundation in terms of experience and crowd support. His strong baseline gameplay and ability to serve effectively will be crucial as he looks to dominate the court.

On the other hand, Daniel Merida Aguilar has demonstrated a more favorable recent record, winning 3 of his last 5 encounters. With his agile movement and strategic shot selection, Aguilar may seek to exploit any vulnerabilities in Humbert’s game. The odds heavily favor Humbert at 1.36 for a home win compared to Merida Aguilar’s 3.2, reflecting Humbert’s advantage of playing at home and the model prediction which assigns a 71.2% probability of victory to the local favorite.

In conclusion, while Humbert is favored to emerge victorious owing to home advantage and overall experience, Merida Aguilar’s recent form suggests that an upset is within the realm of possibility, making this matchup particularly compelling for fans and bettors alike.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-08-04T18:52:02+00:00.

Humbert
70.2%
Merida Aguilar
29.8%

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Latest Results

30.07.26 Ugo Humbert – Ben Shelton – 1:2
28.07.26 Ugo Humbert – Andres Martin – 2:0
30.06.26 Ugo Humbert – Zizou Bergs – 2:3
28.06.26 Zizou Bergs – Ugo Humbert – 2:1
26.06.26 Jack Draper – Ugo Humbert – 0:2
04.08.26 Daniel Merida Aguilar – Liam Draxl – 2:1
21.07.26 Daniel Merida Aguilar – Kyrian Jacquet – 1:2
21.07.26 Daniel Merida Aguilar – Taro Daniel – Canceled
18.07.26 Daniel Merida Aguilar – Damir Dzumhur – 2:1
17.07.26 Roman Andres Burruchaga – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 0:2

Facts

  • Humbert is ranked ATP: 29. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 61.
  • Humbert has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Merida Aguilar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Humbert is a strong favorite.
  • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
  • Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Zverev A. (1) Bye
    2 Sonego L. Griekspoor T. 0 : 2
    3 Mochizuki S. (Q) Marozsan F. 0 : 2
    4 Bye Arnaldi M. (30)
    5 Humbert U. (24) Bye
    6 Merida Aguilar D. Draxl L. (WC) 2 : 1
    7 Michelsen A. Struff J-L. 2 : 1
    8 Bye Cerundolo F. (16)
    9 Tien L. (12) Bye
    10 Majchrzak K. Monfils G. (WC) 0 : 2
    11 Carreno-Busta P. Royer V. 1 : 2
    12 Bye Paul T. (17)
    13 Collignon R. (32) Bye
    14 Popyrin A. (Q) Burruchaga R. A. 2 : 1
    15 Chan D. (Q) Tirante T. A. 1 : 2
    16 Bye Fritz T. (7)
    17 Medvedev D. (4) Bye
    18 Mpetshi Perricard G. Van De Zandschulp B. 1 : 2
    19 Hurkacz H. (PR) Giron M. (Q) 2 : 1
    20 Bye Tabilo A. (25)
    21 Khachanov K. (21) Bye
    22 Atmane T. Draper J. (WC) 2 : 1
    23 Fearnley J. (Q) Mannarino A. 2 : 0
    24 Bye Mensik J. (13)
    25 Ruud C. (9) Bye
    26 Cerundolo J. M. Medjedovic H. 2 : 0
    27 Damm M. (Q) Tsitsipas S. (Q) 0 : 2
    28 Bye Fonseca J. (22)
    29 Bergs Z. (31) Bye
    30 Baez S. Bellucci M. 2 : 0
    31 Walton A. (Q) Brooksby J. 0 : 2
    32 Bye Shelton B. (5)
    33 Lehecka J. (8) Bye
    34 Galarneau A. (WC) Kopriva V. 0 : 2
    35 Munar J. Hijikata R. 2 : 0
    36 Bye Blockx A. (27)
    37 Jodar R. (20) Bye
    38 Fucsovics M. Moutet C. 0 : 2
    39 Mejia N. (Q) Landaluce M. 2 : 1
    40 Bye Musetti L. (11)
    41 Vacherot V. (14) Bye
    42 Berrettini M. Navone M. 1 : 2
    43 Svajda Z. Shapovalov D. (RET.) 1 : 1
    44 Bye Fils A. (18)
    45 Buse I. (29) Bye
    46 Ugo Carabelli C. Norrie C. 0 : 2
    47 Duckworth J. O’Connell C. (Q) 2 : 0
    48 Bye De Minaur A. (3)
    49 Cobolli F. (6) Bye
    50 Bonzi B. (Q) Hanfmann Y. 1 : 2
    51 Kovacevic A. Borges N. 1 : 2
    52 Bye Etcheverry T. M. (26)
    53 Darderi L. (19) Bye
    54 Diallo G. (WC) Jacquet K. (Q) 2 : 1
    55 Vallejo D. Shang J. (PR) 0 : 2
    56 Bye Rublev A. (10)
    57 Tiafoe F. (15) Bye
    58 Shimabukuro S. (Q) Cilic M. 0 : 2
    59 Zheng M. (Q) Kecmanovic M. 1 : 2
    60 Bye Rinderknech A. (23)
    61 Nakashima B. (28) Bye
    62 Vukic A. (Q) Altmaier D. 1 : 2
    63 van Assche L. Droguet T. (Q) 1 : 2
    64 Bye Auger-Aliassime F. (2)

    1/32-finals

    1 Zverev A. (1) Griekspoor T.
    2 Marozsan F. Arnaldi M. (30)
    3 Humbert U. (24) Merida Aguilar D.
    4 Michelsen A. Cerundolo F. (16)
    5 Tien L. (12) Monfils G.
    6 Royer V. Paul T. (17)
    7 Collignon R. (32) Popyrin A.
    8 Tirante T. A. Fritz T. (7)
    9 Medvedev D. (4) Van De Zandschulp B.
    10 Hurkacz H. Tabilo A. (25)
    11 Khachanov K. (21) Atmane T.
    12 Fearnley J. Mensik J. (13)
    13 Ruud C. (9) Cerundolo J. M.
    14 TBD #27 Fonseca J. (22)
    15 Bergs Z. (31) Baez S.
    16 Brooksby J. Shelton B. (5)
    17 Lehecka J. (8) Kopriva V.
    18 Munar J. Blockx A. (WO.) (27)
    19 Jodar R. (20) Moutet C.
    20 Mejia N. Musetti L. (11)
    21 Vacherot V. (14) Navone M.
    22 Svajda Z. Fils A. (18)
    23 Buse I. (29) Norrie C.
    24 Duckworth J. De Minaur A. (3)
    25 Cobolli F. (6) Hanfmann Y.
    26 Borges N. Etcheverry T. M. (26)
    27 Darderi L. (19) Diallo G.
    28 Shang J. Rublev A. (10)
    29 Tiafoe F. (15) Cilic M.
    30 Kecmanovic M. Rinderknech A. (23)
    31 Nakashima B. (28) Altmaier D.
    32 Droguet T. Auger-Aliassime F. (2)

    1/16-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16
    9 TBD #17 Blockx A. (27)
    10 TBD #19 TBD #20
    11 TBD #21 TBD #22
    12 TBD #23 TBD #24
    13 TBD #25 TBD #26
    14 TBD #27 TBD #28
    15 TBD #29 TBD #30
    16 TBD #31 TBD #32

    1/8-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    ATP Montreal Outrights

    1. Zverev Alexander: 3.85 (17.26%)

    2. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 10.13 (6.56%)

    3. Fritz Taylor: 11.67 (5.7%)

    4. Shelton Ben: 16.33 (4.07%)

    5. Jodar Rafael: 18 (3.69%)

    6. Medvedev Daniil: 19.33 (3.44%)

    7. Fils Arthur: 24.5 (2.71%)

    8. De Minaur Alex: 24.67 (2.69%)

    9. Rublev Andrey: 27 (2.46%)

    10. Lehecka Jiri: 30 (2.22%)

    11. Tiafoe Frances: 31.33 (2.12%)

    12. Fonseca Joao: 37.83 (1.76%)

    13. Mensik Jakub: 38.67 (1.72%)

    14. Cobolli Flavio: 40 (1.66%)

    15. Musetti Lorenzo: 47 (1.41%)

    16. Draper Jack: 48 (1.38%)

    17. Paul Tommy: 48.67 (1.37%)

    18. Ruud Casper: 50.33 (1.32%)

    19. Tien Learner: 50.33 (1.32%)

    20. Humbert Ugo: 53 (1.25%)

    21. Hurkacz Hubert: 53.67 (1.24%)

    22. Nakashima Brandon: 53.67 (1.24%)

    23. Norrie Cameron: 60.33 (1.1%)

    24. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 60.33 (1.1%)

    25. Michelsen Alex: 73 (0.91%)

    26. Vacherot Valentin: 75.33 (0.88%)

    27. Blockx Alexander: 80.33 (0.83%)

    28. Borges Nuno: 80.33 (0.83%)

    29. Brooksby Jenson: 83.67 (0.79%)

    30. Khachanov Karen: 84.67 (0.78%)

    31. Shapovalov Denis: 84.67 (0.78%)

    32. Cerundolo Francisco: 91.17 (0.73%)

    33. Collignon Raphael: 100.33 (0.66%)

    34. Tabilo Alejandro: 100.33 (0.66%)

    35. Kecmanovic Miomir: 100.33 (0.66%)

    36. Rinderknech Arthur: 112.83 (0.59%)

    37. Cilic Marin: 112.83 (0.59%)

    38. Navone Mariano: 113.67 (0.58%)

    39. Moutet Corentin: 117 (0.57%)

    40. Bergs Zizou: 117 (0.57%)

    41. Arnaldi Matteo: 117 (0.57%)

    42. Diallo Gabriel: 117 (0.57%)

    43. Svajda Zachary: 117 (0.57%)

    44. Carreno-Busta Pablo: 117 (0.57%)

    45. Popyrin Alexei: 117 (0.57%)

    46. Darderi Luciano: 125.33 (0.53%)

    47. Munar Jaume: 125.33 (0.53%)

    48. Monfils Gael: 125.33 (0.53%)

    49. Mpetshi Perricard Giovanni: 125.33 (0.53%)

    50. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 125.33 (0.53%)

    51. Marozsan Fabian: 125.33 (0.53%)

    52. Medjedovic Hamad: 125.33 (0.53%)

    53. Hanfmann Yannick: 125.33 (0.53%)

    54. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 125.33 (0.53%)

    55. Atmane Terence: 133.67 (0.5%)

    56. Shang Juncheng: 133.67 (0.5%)

    57. Griekspoor Tallon: 133.67 (0.5%)

    58. Altmaier Daniel: 133.67 (0.5%)

    59. Cerundolo Juan Manuel: 142 (0.47%)

    60. Kopriva Vit: 142 (0.47%)

    61. Sonego Lorenzo: 142 (0.47%)

    62. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 142 (0.47%)

    63. Bellucci Mattia: 142 (0.47%)

    64. Giron Marcos: 150.33 (0.44%)

    65. Buse Ignacio: 158.67 (0.42%)

    66. Mannarino Adrian: 158.67 (0.42%)

    67. Mochizuki Shintaro: 167 (0.4%)

    68. Damm Martin (2003): 175.33 (0.38%)

    69. Fearnley Jacob: 175.33 (0.38%)

    70. Royer Valentin: 183.67 (0.36%)

    71. Merida Aguilar Daniel: 183.67 (0.36%)

    72. Walton Adam: 183.67 (0.36%)

    73. Droguet Titouan: 183.67 (0.36%)

    74. Baez Sebastian: 192 (0.35%)

    75. Burruchaga Roman Andres: 192 (0.35%)

    76. Duckworth James: 192 (0.35%)

    77. Draxl Liam: 192 (0.35%)

    78. Mejia Nicolas: 233.67 (0.28%)

    79. Chan Duncan: 233.67 (0.28%)

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