Daniil Medvedev vs Francis Tiafoe predictions, Sep 06, 2026

Sep 05, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP US Open, on Sunday,

Daniil Medvedev

Francis Tiafoe

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As the ATP US Open approaches, the clash between Daniil Medvedev and Francis Tiafoe promises to be a thrilling encounter. Set to take place on September 6, 2026, at Medvedev’s home venue, this match has significant implications for both players as they look to solidify their standings in the tournament.

Recent form favors Tiafoe, who has secured victories in 4 of his last 5 matches, showcasing his strong baseline game and improved service reliability. Meanwhile, Medvedev, with 3 wins in his last 5 outings, has demonstrated his signature defensive skills and ability to counterattack effectively, although he has faced some inconsistent periods.

Bookmakers currently favor Medvedev with odds of 1.73 for a home win compared to Tiafoe’s odds of 2.1. This aligns with our model prediction, which indicates a 54.4% probability of a Medvedev victory. However, considering Tiafoe’s recent form and aggressiveness on court, he cannot be overlooked, presenting a formidable challenge for the Russian.

The anticipated tactical battle will center around Medvedev’s strategic play versus Tiafoe’s aggressive approach. Fans can expect an engaging match, but as always in tennis, the outcome remains uncertain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-09-05T02:52:02+00:00.

Medvedev
56.1%		 Tiafoe
43.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:1

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Bwin 1.70 2.10
bet_at_home 1.75 2.19
betsson 1.66 2.17
MarathonBet 1.73 2.15
WilliamHill 1.71 2.14
Pinnacle 1.71 2.11
Best for US Customers 1.64 2.13

Latest Results

04.09.26 Daniil Medvedev – Arthur Rinderknech – 3:0
02.09.26 Daniil Medvedev – Sebastian Gorzny – 3:0
30.08.26 Daniil Medvedev – Hugo Gaston – 3:0
25.08.26 Daniil Medvedev – Martin Damm – 0:2
18.08.26 Brandon Nakashima – Daniil Medvedev – 2:1		 04.09.26 Valentin Vacherot – Francis Tiafoe – 0:3
02.09.26 Rei Sakamoto – Francis Tiafoe – 0:3
31.08.26 Martin Damm – Francis Tiafoe – 2:3
23.08.26 Arthur Fils – Francis Tiafoe – 2:1
22.08.26 Brandon Nakashima – Francis Tiafoe – 0:2

Facts

  • Medvedev is ranked ATP: 8. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 12.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 4.
  • Medvedev has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Tiafoe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
  • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 2.1:0.4).

    Latest Head To Head

    06.01.26 Daniil Medvedev – Francis Tiafoe – 2:0
    21.09.24 Daniil Medvedev – Francis Tiafoe – 1:2
    18.03.23 Daniil Medvedev – Francis Tiafoe – 2:0
    30.03.21 Daniil Medvedev – Francis Tiafoe – 2:0
    07.09.20 Francis Tiafoe – Daniil Medvedev – 0:3

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Zverev A. (1) Sonego L. 3 : 2
    2 Halys Q. Diaz Acosta F. 3 : 1
    3 Dimitrov G. (Q) Popyrin A. 1 : 3
    4 Hanfmann Y. Tabilo A. (25) 1 : 3
    5 Darderi L. (21) Wendelken H. (Q) 3 : 1
    6 Svrcina D. (Q) Royer V. 3 : 2
    7 Sweeny D. (WC) Moutet C. (RET.) 2 : 0
    8 Fery A. Musetti L. (13) 0 : 3
    9 Jodar R. (12) Bu Y. (LL) 0 : 3
    10 Marozsan F. Zheng M. (WC) 0 : 3
    11 Svajda Z. Altmaier D. 3 : 1
    12 Cerundolo J. M. Gea A. (LL) 2 : 3
    13 Bergs Z. (31) Taberner C. 3 : 1
    14 De Jong J. Passaro F. (Q) 3 : 2
    15 Choinski J. Van De Zandschulp B. 0 : 3
    16 Guerrieri A. (Q) De Minaur A. (6) 0 : 3
    17 Auger-Aliassime F. (3) Hijikata R. 3 : 1
    18 Burruchaga R. A. Khachanov K. 0 : 3
    19 Molcan A. Bonzi B. 1 : 3
    20 Giron M. Buse I. (32) 2 : 3
    21 Mensik J. (17) Mochizuki S. (LL) 3 : 0
    22 Rodionov J. (Q) Mpetshi Perricard G. 3 : 0
    23 Vallejo D. Monfils G. (WC) 1 : 3
    24 Borges N. Tien L. (14) 0 : 3
    25 Fritz T. (9) Blanch Dar. (WC) 3 : 0
    26 Bellucci M. Piros Z. (Q) 3 : 0
    27 Ugo Carabelli C. Struff J-L. 0 : 3
    28 Misolic F. Cerundolo F. (24) 0 : 3
    29 Blockx A. (28) Barrios Vera T. (Q) 3 : 0
    30 Shang J. Trungelliti M. 2 : 3
    31 Basavareddy N. (Q) Schoolkate T. (Q) 1 : 3
    32 Comesana F. Cobolli F. (5) 2 : 3
    33 Medvedev D. (7) Gaston H. (Q) 3 : 0
    34 Gorzny S. (WC) Collignon R. 3 : 2
    35 Munar J. Atmane T. 3 : 2
    36 Shimabukuro S. Rinderknech A. (26) 1 : 3
    37 Vacherot V. (22) Kovacevic A. 3 : 0
    38 Majchrzak K. Medjedovic H. 3 : 0
    39 Vukic A. Sakamoto R. (Q) 2 : 3
    40 Damm M. Tiafoe F. (11) 2 : 3
    41 Nakashima B. (16) Baez S. 3 : 0
    42 Michelsen A. Cina F. (Q) 3 : 0
    43 Merida Aguilar D. Fucsovics M. 3 : 0
    44 Virtanen O. (LL) Rublev A. (23) 2 : 3
    45 Etcheverry T. M. (27) Kopriva V. 3 : 0
    46 Landaluce M. Fearnley J. (LL) 2 : 3
    47 Berrettini M. Wawrinka S. (WC) 3 : 0
    48 Navone M. Djokovic N. (4) 3 : 2
    49 Shelton B. (8) Griekspoor T. 3 : 1
    50 Dzumhur D. Hurkacz H. 1 : 3
    51 Kecmanovic M. Shapovalov D. 1 : 3
    52 van Assche L. Norrie C. (29) 3 : 1
    53 Lehecka J. (18) Carreno-Busta P. 3 : 1
    54 Samuel T. (Q) Machac T. 3 : 0
    55 Harris L. (Q) Kennedy J. (WC) 3 : 0
    56 Tsitsipas S. Fils A. (10) 3 : 1
    57 Bublik A. (15) Wolf J.J. (WC) 3 : 1
    58 Tirante T. A. Mannarino A. 2 : 3
    59 Prizmic D. Shevchenko A. 3 : 2
    60 Wong C. (Q) Paul T. (20) 1 : 3
    61 Arnaldi M. (30) Duckworth J. 1 : 3
    62 Wu Y. Walton A. 3 : 0
    63 Faria J. Brooksby J. 3 : 2
    64 Safiullin R. Alcaraz C. (2) 0 : 3

    1/32-finals

    1 Zverev A. (1) Halys Q. 3 : 2
    2 Popyrin A. Tabilo A. (25) 1 : 3
    3 Darderi L. (21) Svrcina D. 3 : 1
    4 Sweeny D. Musetti L. (13) 3 : 1
    5 Bu Y. Zheng M. 1 : 3
    6 Svajda Z. Gea A. 1 : 3
    7 Bergs Z. (31) De Jong J. 3 : 1
    8 Van De Zandschulp B. De Minaur A. (6) 3 : 0
    9 Auger-Aliassime F. (3) Khachanov K. 1 : 3
    10 Bonzi B. Buse I. (32) 3 : 0
    11 Mensik J. (17) Rodionov J. 3 : 1
    12 Monfils G. Tien L. (14) 0 : 3
    13 Fritz T. (9) Bellucci M. 3 : 0
    14 Struff J-L. Cerundolo F. (24) 2 : 3
    15 Blockx A. (28) Trungelliti M. 3 : 1
    16 Schoolkate T. Cobolli F. (5) 1 : 3
    17 Medvedev D. (7) Gorzny S. 3 : 0
    18 Munar J. Rinderknech A. (26) 0 : 3
    19 Vacherot V. (22) Majchrzak K. 3 : 1
    20 Sakamoto R. Tiafoe F. (11) 0 : 3
    21 Nakashima B. (16) Michelsen A. 0 : 3
    22 Merida Aguilar D. Rublev A. (23) 3 : 1
    23 Etcheverry T. M. (27) Fearnley J. 3 : 1
    24 Berrettini M. Navone M. 1 : 3
    25 Shelton B. (8) Hurkacz H. 3 : 1
    26 Shapovalov D. van Assche L. 3 : 0
    27 Lehecka J. (18) Samuel T. 3 : 0
    28 Harris L. Tsitsipas S. 1 : 3
    29 Bublik A. (15) Mannarino A. 3 : 0
    30 Prizmic D. Paul T. (20) 1 : 3
    31 Duckworth J. Wu Y. 0 : 3
    32 Faria J. Alcaraz C. (2) 1 : 3

    1/16-finals

    1 Zverev A. (1) Tabilo A. (25)
    2 Darderi L. (21) Sweeny D.
    3 Zheng M. Gea A.
    4 Bergs Z. (31) Van De Zandschulp B.
    5 Khachanov K. Bonzi B.
    6 Mensik J. (17) Tien L. (14)
    7 Fritz T. (9) Cerundolo F. (24)
    8 Blockx A. (28) Cobolli F. (5)
    9 Medvedev D. (7) Rinderknech A. (26) 3 : 0
    10 Vacherot V. (22) Tiafoe F. (11) 0 : 3
    11 Michelsen A. Merida Aguilar D. 3 : 0
    12 Etcheverry T. M. (27) Navone M. 3 : 0
    13 Shelton B. (8) Shapovalov D. 3 : 1
    14 Lehecka J. (18) Tsitsipas S. 1 : 3
    15 Bublik A. (15) Paul T. (20) 2 : 3
    16 Wu Y. Alcaraz C. (2) 0 : 3

    1/8-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 Medvedev D. (7) Tiafoe F. (11)
    6 Michelsen A. Etcheverry T. M. (27)
    7 Shelton B. (8) Tsitsipas S.
    8 Paul T. (20) Alcaraz C. (2)

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    ATP US Open Outrights

    1. Alcaraz Carlos: 1.94 (35.36%)

    2. Zverev Alexander: 4 (17.15%)

    3. Fritz Taylor: 7 (9.8%)

    4. Shelton Ben: 8.5 (8.07%)

    5. Medvedev Daniil: 15.5 (4.43%)

    6. Tien Learner: 26 (2.64%)

    7. Mensik Jakub: 26.75 (2.56%)

    8. Tiafoe Frances: 30.25 (2.27%)

    9. Paul Tommy: 38 (1.81%)

    10. Lehecka Jiri: 41 (1.67%)

    11. Cobolli Flavio: 41 (1.67%)

    12. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 57.25 (1.2%)

    13. Michelsen Alex: 59 (1.16%)

    14. Ruud Casper: 67 (1.02%)

    15. Khachanov Karen: 80.25 (0.85%)

    16. Shapovalov Denis: 85.25 (0.8%)

    17. Merida Aguilar Daniel: 100 (0.69%)

    18. Vacherot Valentin: 100 (0.69%)

    19. Navone Mariano: 100 (0.69%)

    20. Darderi Luciano: 106.5 (0.64%)

    21. Cerundolo Francisco: 112.75 (0.61%)

    22. Blockx Alexander: 125.25 (0.55%)

    23. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 125.25 (0.55%)

    24. Tabilo Alejandro: 125.25 (0.55%)

    25. Bergs Zizou: 125.25 (0.55%)

    26. Gea Arthur: 125.25 (0.55%)

    27. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 150.25 (0.46%)

    28. Zheng Michael: 200.25 (0.34%)

    29. Bonzi Benjamin: 200.25 (0.34%)

    30. Sweeny Dane: 200.25 (0.34%)

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