AEL Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis predictions, May 09, 2026

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As AEL Larissa prepares to host Asteras Tripolis on May 9, 2026, fans can anticipate a crucial showdown in the Greek Super League. AEL Larissa has struggled recently, failing to secure a win in their last five matches. This poor run might affect their morale as they look to turn their fortunes around on home soil.

In contrast, Asteras Tripolis enters this encounter with a more favorable outlook, having won two of their last five fixtures. Their recent form has showcased a resilient side, capable of capitalizing on their opponents’ mistakes. Asteras’ tactical flexibility, combined with a more potent attack, is likely to pose a challenge for the struggling Larissa defense.

The bookmakers currently price AEL Larissa at 2.4 for a home victory, with Asteras Tripolis at 3.18 for an away win. Probability models reflect this discrepancy, predicting a 39.2% chance of a home win for Larissa, a 31.9% chance of a draw, and a 29.2% likelihood of an away win for Asteras.

As both teams approach this match with differing objectives, the outcome remains uncertain, but the form trends suggest that Asteras Tripolis may hold the edge going into this fixture.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-02T20:52:02+00:00.

Larissa 36.9%

Draw 31.7%

Asteras Tripolis 31.4%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Watch and Bet Larissa – Asteras Tripolis available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.56	3.02	3
	2.49	3	3
	2.53	3.04	2.96	Watch and Bet
	2.5	2.8	2.9
	2.57	2.88	3

Latest Results

02.05.26 Panserraikos FC – AEL Larissa – 1:1 26.04.26 AEL Larissa – Panserraikos FC – 0:1 22.04.26 AEL Larissa – AE Kifisia FC – 1:1 18.04.26 Atromitos Athens – AEL Larissa – 3:2 08.04.26 AEL Larissa – Panetolikos – 1:2

02.05.26 Asteras Tripolis – Atromitos Athens – 4:2 26.04.26 Atromitos Athens – Asteras Tripolis – 2:1 22.04.26 Asteras Tripolis – Panetolikos – 2:1 18.04.26 AE Kifisia FC – Asteras Tripolis – 0:0 08.04.26 Panserraikos FC – Asteras Tripolis – 0:0

Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 0.

Larissa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Asteras Tripolis‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:38. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).

Latest Head To Head

04.04.26 Asteras Tripolis – AEL Larissa – 3:1 14.03.26 AEL Larissa – Asteras Tripolis – 1:1 14.09.25 Asteras Tripolis – AEL Larissa – 2:2 23.01.21 Asteras Tripolis – AEL Larissa – 1:0 18.10.20 AEL Larissa – Asteras Tripolis – 1:3

Standings

Relegation Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Atromitos	32	10	10	12	38:38	0	40
10	Kifisia	32	7	13	12	35:45	-10	34
11	Panetolikos	32	8	7	17	30:46	-16	31
12	Panserraikos	32	7	7	18	23:63	-40	28
13	Asteras Tripolis	32	6	10	16	32:47	-15	28
14	AEL Larissa	32	4	13	15	28:50	-22	25

Greek Super League Outrights

1. AEK: 1.24 (77.7%)

2. Olympiacos Piraeus: 4.82 (19.91%)

3. PAOK: 40.14 (2.39%)

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