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Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Lorenzo Carboni predictions, May 04, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Roma, on Monday,

Score, Highlights

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As Aleksandar Kovacevic prepares to face Lorenzo Carboni in their upcoming ATP match in Rome, both players arrive with different trajectories in their recent performances. Kovacevic’s current form shows a struggle, having secured only 1 win in his last 5 matches. Despite this, he will benefit from home support, which could boost his confidence on the court. His playing style, known for aggressive baseline rallies, might serve him well if he can maintain his composure and capitalize on Carboni’s weaknesses.

On the other hand, Lorenzo Carboni enters this match after achieving 2 victories in his last 5 outings, indicating a slight edge in momentum. Carboni’s tactical approach emphasizes precise shot placement and tactical variety, which can disrupt opponents’ rhythm if executed effectively.

Bookmakers have set the odds at 1.31 for a home win, reflecting a distinct expectation of Kovacevic’s advantage playing on familiar ground. According to predictive models, there is a 70.3% probability of a home victory, with a predicted final score of 2-0 in favor of Kovacevic. However, in tennis, form can shift rapidly, and both players have the potential to surprise, making it imperative to approach this match with caution.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-03T15:52:04+00:00.

Kovacevic
69.2%		 Carboni
30.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.31 3.15 Watch and Bet
1.37 2.88

Latest Results

30.04.26 Aleksandar Kovacevic – Marcos Giron – 1:2
29.04.26 Luca Potenza – Aleksandar Kovacevic – 0:2
20.04.26 Aleksandar Kovacevic – Moez Echargui – 1:2
31.03.26 Aleksandar Kovacevic – Rinky Hijikata – 0:2
20.03.26 Aleksandar Kovacevic – Rei Sakamoto – 1:2		 29.04.26 Lorenzo Carboni – Gianluca Cadenasso – 0:2
28.04.26 Federico Arnaboldi – Lorenzo Carboni – 2:0
27.04.26 Manuel Mazza – Lorenzo Carboni – 0:2
20.04.26 Jonas Forejtek – Lorenzo Carboni – 2:1
19.04.26 Lorenzo Carboni – Norbert Gombos – 2:1

Facts

  • Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 97. Carboni is ranked ATP: 458.
  • Kovacevic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Carboni‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Carboni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Kovacevic is the team to beat.
  • The players have not played against each other recently.

    • Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Bye
    2 Navone M. Cina F. (WC) 2 : 0
    3 De Jong J. (LL) Shevchenko A. (Q) 2 : 0
    4 Bye Davidovich Fokina A. (25)
    5 Cerundolo F. (17) Bye
    6 Gaston H. Jarry N. 0 : 2
    7 Carballes Baena R. (RET.) Ofner S. (Q) 0 : 1
    8 Bye Tiafoe F. (15)
    9 Shelton B. (12) Bye
    10 Barrios Vera T. (Q) Munar J. 1 : 2
    11 Vukic A. Moreno De Alboran N. (Q) 2 : 0
    12 Bye Korda S. (22)
    13 Berrettini M. (29) Bye
    14 Fearnley J. Fognini F. (WC) 2 : 0
    15 Bublik A. Safiullin R. 2 : 0
    16 Bye Ruud C. (6)
    17 Fritz T. (4) Bye
    18 Diallo G. Giron M. 1 : 2
    19 Bellucci M. Martinez P. 0 : 2
    20 Bye Hurkacz H. (30)
    21 Mensik J. (20) Bye
    22 Rinderknech A. Gigante M. (WC) 0 : 2
    23 Marozsan F. Fonseca J. 2 : 0
    24 Bye Rublev A. (16)
    25 Paul T. (11) Bye
    26 Arnaldi M. Bautista-Agut R. 0 : 2
    27 Tien L. Opelka R. (PR) 2 : 0
    28 Bye Machac T. (19)
    29 Dellien H. (LL) Bye
    30 Borges N. Seyboth Wild T. (Q) 1 : 2
    31 Nardi L. (WC) Cobolli F. 2 : 0
    32 Bye De Minaur A. (7)
    33 Draper J. (5) Bye
    34 Bu Y. Darderi L. 0 : 2
    35 Kopriva V. (Q) Halys Q. 2 : 0
    36 Bye Baez S. (32)
    37 Humbert U. (21) Bye
    38 Hijikata R. Moutet C. 1 : 2
    39 Altmaier D. Comesana F. 0 : 2
    40 Bye Rune H. (9)
    41 Dimitrov G. (14) Bye
    42 Passaro F. (WC) Tseng C. H. (Q) 2 : 1
    43 Sonego L. Burruchaga R. A. (Q) 0 : 2
    44 Bye Khachanov K. (23)
    45 Michelsen A. (31) Bye
    46 Djere L. Etcheverry T. M. 2 : 0
    47 Nishioka Y. Lajovic D. (Q) 0 : 2
    48 Bye Alcaraz C. (3)
    49 Musetti L. (8) Bye
    50 Medjedovic H. Virtanen O. (Q) 0 : 2
    51 Thompson J. Mpetshi Perricard G. 2 : 1
    52 Bye Nakashima B. (28)
    53 Popyrin A. (24) Bye
    54 Taberner C. (Q) Kovacevic A. 2 : 1
    55 O’Connell C. Norrie C. (LL) 0 : 2
    56 Bye Medvedev D. (10)
    57 Fils A. (13) Bye
    58 Griekspoor T. Kecmanovic M. 2 : 1
    59 Lehecka J. Muller A. 1 : 2
    60 Bye Tsitsipas S. (18)
    61 Shapovalov D. (27) Bye
    62 Gaubas V. (Q) Dzumhur D. 2 : 1
    63 Ugo Carabelli C. Carreno-Busta P. (LL) 2 : 1
    64 Bye Zverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Navone M. 2 : 0
    2 De Jong J. Davidovich Fokina A. (25) 2 : 0
    3 Cerundolo F. (17) Jarry N. 2 : 0
    4 Ofner S. Tiafoe F. (15) 2 : 1
    5 Shelton B. (12) Munar J. 0 : 2
    6 Vukic A. Korda S. (22) 0 : 2
    7 Berrettini M. (29) Fearnley J. 2 : 0
    8 Bublik A. Ruud C. (6) 1 : 2
    9 Fritz T. (4) Giron M. 0 : 2
    10 Martinez P. Hurkacz H. (30) 0 : 2
    11 Mensik J. (20) Gigante M. 2 : 0
    12 Marozsan F. Rublev A. (16) 2 : 1
    13 Paul T. (11) Bautista-Agut R. 2 : 0
    14 Tien L. Machac T. (19) 0 : 2
    15 Dellien H. Seyboth Wild T. 2 : 1
    16 Nardi L. De Minaur A. (7) 0 : 2
    17 Draper J. (5) Darderi L. 2 : 0
    18 Kopriva V. Baez S. (32) 2 : 1
    19 Humbert U. (RET.) (21) Moutet C. 0 : 1
    20 Comesana F. Rune H. (9) 1 : 2
    21 Dimitrov G. (14) Passaro F. 0 : 2
    22 Burruchaga R. A. Khachanov K. (23) 1 : 2
    23 Michelsen A. (31) Djere L. 0 : 2
    24 Lajovic D. Alcaraz C. (3) 0 : 2
    25 Musetti L. (8) Virtanen O. 2 : 0
    26 Thompson J. Nakashima B. (WO.) (28)
    27 Popyrin A. (24) Taberner C. 2 : 0
    28 Norrie C. Medvedev D. (10) 0 : 2
    29 Fils A. (13) Griekspoor T. 2 : 0
    30 Muller A. Tsitsipas S. (18) 0 : 2
    31 Shapovalov D. (27) Gaubas V. 0 : 2
    32 Ugo Carabelli C. Zverev A. (2) 0 : 2

    1/16-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) De Jong J. 2 : 0
    2 Cerundolo F. (17) Ofner S. 2 : 0
    3 Munar J. Korda S. (22) 2 : 0
    4 Berrettini M. (RET.) (29) Ruud C. (6) 0 : 1
    5 Giron M. Hurkacz H. (30) 1 : 2
    6 Mensik J. (20) Marozsan F. 2 : 0
    7 Paul T. (11) Machac T. (19) 2 : 1
    8 Dellien H. De Minaur A. (7) 0 : 2
    9 Draper J. (5) Kopriva V. 2 : 0
    10 Moutet C. Rune H. (9) 2 : 1
    11 Passaro F. Khachanov K. (23) 0 : 2
    12 Djere L. Alcaraz C. (3) 0 : 2
    13 Musetti L. (8) Nakashima B. (28) 2 : 0
    14 Popyrin A. (24) Medvedev D. (10) 0 : 2
    15 Fils A. (13) Tsitsipas S. (18) 2 : 1
    16 Gaubas V. Zverev A. (2) 0 : 2

    1/8-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Cerundolo F. (17) 2 : 0
    2 Munar J. Ruud C. (6) 0 : 2
    3 Hurkacz H. (30) Mensik J. (20) 2 : 1
    4 Paul T. (11) De Minaur A. (7) 2 : 0
    5 Draper J. (5) Moutet C. 2 : 1
    6 Khachanov K. (23) Alcaraz C. (3) 1 : 2
    7 Musetti L. (8) Medvedev D. (10) 2 : 0
    8 Fils A. (13) Zverev A. (2) 0 : 2

    Quarter-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Ruud C. (6) 2 : 0
    2 Hurkacz H. (30) Paul T. (11) 0 : 2
    3 Draper J. (5) Alcaraz C. (3) 0 : 2
    4 Musetti L. (8) Zverev A. (2) 2 : 0

    Semi-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Paul T. (11) 2 : 1
    2 Alcaraz C. (3) Musetti L. (8) 2 : 0

    Final

    1 Sinner J. (1) Alcaraz C. (3) 0 : 2

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