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Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas predictions, Apr 25, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Madrid, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

In the upcoming ATP Madrid clash on April 25, 2026, Alexander Bublik will face Stefanos Tsitsipas in a highly anticipated showdown. Bublik, playing on home soil, brings a recent track record that showcases his competitive edge, having secured victories in 3 of his last 5 matches. Known for his unpredictable serve and aggressive play, he has the ability to unsettle opponents with his variety and quick net approaches.

On the other hand, Tsitsipas, also in winning form with 3 victories in his last 5 encounters, will aim to leverage his strong baseline game and exceptional shot-making ability. Tsitsipas’ proficiency at constructing points and maintaining consistency under pressure could play a crucial role against Bublik’s more erratic style.

Bookmakers currently favor Bublik with odds of 1.65 for a home win, reflecting a 55.9% probability according to model predictions. Meanwhile, Tsitsipas features odds of 2.21, representing a 44.1% chance of success. As both players are performing at a similar level recently, this matchup is poised to be highly competitive, and while Bublik’s home advantage may tilt the scales, the outcome remains uncertain, making it an intriguing prospect for bettors.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-23T21:52:02+00:00.

Bublik
56.4%		 Tsitsipas
43.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

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Watch and Bet Bublik – Tsitsipas available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.71 2.15
1.7 2.26 Watch and Bet
1.63 2.25

Latest Results

14.04.26 Alex Molcan – Alexander Bublik – 2:0
13.04.26 Hubert Hurkacz – Alexander Bublik – 1:2
10.04.26 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Alexander Bublik – 2:0
09.04.26 Jiri Lehecka – Alexander Bublik – 0:2
07.04.26 Gael Monfils – Alexander Bublik – 0:2		 23.04.26 Patrick Kypson – Stefanos Tsitsipas – 1:2
15.04.26 Fabian Marozsan – Stefanos Tsitsipas – 2:1
06.04.26 Francisco Cerundolo – Stefanos Tsitsipas – 2:0
04.04.26 Ugo Humbert – Stefanos Tsitsipas – 1:3
03.04.26 Andrey Rublev – Stefanos Tsitsipas – 0:2

Facts

  • Bublik is ranked ATP: 11. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 80.
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

    Latest Head To Head

    26.02.20 Alexander Bublik – Stefanos Tsitsipas – 0:2
    22.02.20 Alexander Bublik – Stefanos Tsitsipas – 0:2

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Bye
    2 Bonzi B. (Q) Droguet T. (Q) 2 : 1
    3 Moller E. (Q) Cina F. (WC) 2 : 0
    4 Bye Diallo G. (32)
    5 Norrie C. (19) Bye
    6 Machac T. Comesana F. 2 : 1
    7 Bautista-Agut R. Tirante T. A. 0 : 2
    8 Bye Paul T. (15)
    9 Rublev A. (9) Bye
    10 Zhang Z. (PR) Kopriva V. 0 : 2
    11 Sonego L. Lajovic D. (Q) 0 : 2
    12 Bye Rinderknech A. (22)
    13 Fonseca J. (27) Bye
    14 Bergs Z. Cilic M. 1 : 2
    15 Jodar R. (WC) De Jong J. 2 : 1
    16 Bye De Minaur A. (5)
    17 Shelton B. (4) Bye
    18 Prizmic D. (Q) Berrettini M. 2 : 0
    19 Basilashvili N. (Q) Ofner S. 0 : 2
    20 Bye Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    21 Fils A. (21) Bye
    22 Buse I. Mannarino A. 2 : 0
    23 Brooksby J. Nava E. 0 : 2
    24 Bye Vacherot V. (14)
    25 Lehecka J. (11) Bye
    26 Tabilo A. Royer V. 2 : 0
    27 Muller A. Struff J-L. 0 : 2
    28 Bye Michelsen A. (33)
    29 Griekspoor T. (29) Bye
    30 Dzumhur D. Bellucci M. 2 : 0
    31 Faria J. (Q) Hurkacz H. 0 : 2
    32 Bye Musetti L. (6)
    33 Bublik A. (8) Bye
    34 Kypson P. (LL) Tsitsipas S. 1 : 2
    35 Trungelliti M. (LL) Merida Aguilar D. (Q) 1 : 2
    36 Bye Moutet C. (26)
    37 Davidovich Fokina A. (20) Bye
    38 Carreno-Busta P. (WC) Fucsovics M. 2 : 1
    39 Munar J. Shevchenko A. 2 : 0
    40 Bye Ruud C. (12)
    41 Cerundolo F. (16) Bye
    42 Hanfmann Y. Giron M. 2 : 1
    43 Altmaier D. Cerundolo J. M. 0 : 2
    44 Bye Darderi L. (18)
    45 Nakashima B. (28) Bye
    46 Garin C. (LL) Blockx A. 1 : 2
    47 Gaubas V. (Q) Baez S. 2 : 0
    48 Bye Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49 Medvedev D. (7) Bye
    50 Marozsan F. Quinn E. 2 : 0
    51 Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) Opelka R. (RET.) 0 : 0
    52 Bye Shapovalov D. (31)
    53 Tien L. (17) Bye
    54 Vallejo D. (Q) Dimitrov G. 2 : 0
    55 Ugo Carabelli C. Monfils G. (WC) 2 : 0
    56 Bye Cobolli F. (10)
    57 Khachanov K. (13) Bye
    58 Landaluce M. (WC) Walton A. 0 : 2
    59 Popyrin A. Damm M. (Q) 0 : 2
    60 Bye Mensik J. (23)
    61 Humbert U. (30) Bye
    62 Atmane T. Kecmanovic M. 2 : 0
    63 Borges N. Navone M. 0 : 2
    64 Bye Zverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Bonzi B. (Q)
    2 Moller E. (Q) Diallo G. (32)
    3 Norrie C. (19) Machac T.
    4 Tirante T. A. Paul T. (15)
    5 Rublev A. (9) Kopriva V.
    6 Lajovic D. Rinderknech A. (22)
    7 Fonseca J. (27) Cilic M.
    8 Jodar R. De Minaur A. (5)
    9 Shelton B. (4) Prizmic D.
    10 Ofner S. Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    11 Fils A. (21) Buse I.
    12 Nava E. Vacherot V. (14)
    13 Lehecka J. (11) Tabilo A.
    14 Struff J-L. Michelsen A. (33)
    15 Griekspoor T. (29) Dzumhur D.
    16 Hurkacz H. Musetti L. (6)
    17 Bublik A. (8) Tsitsipas S.
    18 Merida Aguilar D. Moutet C. (26)
    19 Davidovich Fokina A. (20) Carreno-Busta P.
    20 Munar J. Ruud C. (12)
    21 Cerundolo F. (16) Hanfmann Y.
    22 Cerundolo J. M. Darderi L. (18)
    23 Nakashima B. (28) Blockx A.
    24 Gaubas V. Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    25 Medvedev D. (7) Marozsan F.
    26 Budkov Kjaer N. Shapovalov D. (31)
    27 Tien L. (17) Vallejo D.
    28 Ugo Carabelli C. Cobolli F. (10)
    29 Khachanov K. (13) Walton A.
    30 Damm M. Mensik J. (23)
    31 Humbert U. (30) Atmane T.
    32 Navone M. Zverev A. (2)

    1/16-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16
    9 TBD #17 TBD #18
    10 TBD #19 TBD #20
    11 TBD #21 TBD #22
    12 TBD #23 TBD #24
    13 TBD #25 TBD #26
    14 TBD #27 TBD #28
    15 TBD #29 TBD #30
    16 TBD #31 TBD #32

    1/8-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    ATP Madrid Outrights

    1. Sinner Jannik: 1.54 (44.04%)

    2. Zverev Alexander: 9.58 (7.06%)

    3. Shelton Ben: 22 (3.08%)

    4. Fils Arthur: 25.33 (2.67%)

    5. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 29.17 (2.32%)

    6. Medvedev Daniil: 30.33 (2.23%)

    7. Musetti Lorenzo: 35.17 (1.92%)

    8. Fonseca Joao: 36.67 (1.85%)

    9. Bublik Alexander: 41 (1.65%)

    10. Ruud Casper: 50.33 (1.34%)

    11. Mensik Jakub: 50.33 (1.34%)

    12. Rublev Andrey: 50.33 (1.34%)

    13. Cobolli Flavio: 51.33 (1.32%)

    14. Cerundolo Francisco: 52.5 (1.29%)

    15. Humbert Ugo: 53 (1.28%)

    16. Khachanov Karen: 59.67 (1.13%)

    17. Jodar Rafael: 62.33 (1.09%)

    18. Lehecka Jiri: 67 (1.01%)

    19. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 67 (1.01%)

    20. De Minaur Alex: 67 (1.01%)

    21. Darderi Luciano: 73.67 (0.92%)

    22. Tien Learner: 87.83 (0.77%)

    23. Ofner Sebastian: 100.33 (0.67%)

    24. Vacherot Valentin: 104.5 (0.65%)

    25. Hurkacz Hubert: 104.5 (0.65%)

    26. Buse Ignacio: 108.67 (0.62%)

    27. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 108.67 (0.62%)

    28. Shapovalov Denis: 108.67 (0.62%)

    29. Moutet Corentin: 117 (0.58%)

    30. Machac Tomas: 117 (0.58%)

    31. Blockx Alexander: 117 (0.58%)

    32. Paul Tommy: 117 (0.58%)

    33. Marozsan Fabian: 125.33 (0.54%)

    34. Ugo Carabelli Camilo: 133.67 (0.51%)

    35. Griekspoor Tallon: 133.67 (0.51%)

    36. Hanfmann Yannick: 133.67 (0.51%)

    37. Merida Aguilar Daniel: 133.67 (0.51%)

    38. Budkov Kjaer Nicolai: 142 (0.48%)

    39. Munar Jaume: 150.33 (0.45%)

    40. Nakashima Brandon: 150.33 (0.45%)

    41. Tabilo Alejandro: 150.33 (0.45%)

    42. Cilic Marin: 167 (0.41%)

    43. Rinderknech Arthur: 167 (0.41%)

    44. Damm Martin (2003): 171.17 (0.4%)

    45. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 175.33 (0.39%)

    46. Atmane Terence: 175.33 (0.39%)

    47. Michelsen Alex: 175.33 (0.39%)

    48. Diallo Gabriel: 175.33 (0.39%)

    49. Carreno-Busta Pablo: 175.33 (0.39%)

    50. Norrie Cameron: 183.67 (0.37%)

    51. Navone Mariano: 192 (0.35%)

    52. Gaubas Vilius: 200.33 (0.34%)

    53. Nava Emilio: 208.67 (0.32%)

    54. Moller Elmer: 208.67 (0.32%)

    55. Cerundolo Juan Manuel: 217 (0.31%)

    56. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 217 (0.31%)

    57. Kopriva Vit: 233.67 (0.29%)

    58. Lajovic Dusan: 233.67 (0.29%)

    59. Dzumhur Damir: 233.67 (0.29%)

    60. Walton Adam: 233.67 (0.29%)

    61. Struff Jan-Lennard: 233.67 (0.29%)

    62. Bonzi Benjamin: 233.67 (0.29%)

    63. Vallejo Adolfo Daniel: 233.67 (0.29%)

    64. Prizmic Dino: 233.67 (0.29%)

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