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Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul predictions, Sep 04, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP US Open, on Friday,

Score, Highlights

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As Alexander Bublik prepares to face Tommy Paul at the ATP US Open on September 4, 2026, both players enter with impressive recent form, each having secured victories in 4 of their last 5 matches. Bublik, known for his powerful serve and aggressive style, will be eager to leverage his home advantage, aiming to dictate play from the onset. Conversely, Tommy Paul, a tactician with strong baseline play and excellent court coverage, has showcased his ability to adapt under pressure, making him a formidable opponent.

The bookmakers’ odds reflect a significant lean towards Paul, with odds of 1.44 for the away win compared to Bublik’s 2.74 as the home favorite. Our model suggests a 34.9% chance of a home victory, highlighting Bublik’s potential to cause an upset, although Paul’s statistical favorability makes him the likely candidate to advance. The predicted final score of 0:3 indicates a dominant performance from the American.

In conclusion, while Bublik holds the home-court advantage, Paul’s consistent form and tactical acumen position him strongly for this matchup. Fans can expect a closely contested battle, though Paul remains the favorite to triumph.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-09-03T00:52:03+00:00.

Bublik
34.4%		 Paul
65.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 0:3

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.73 1.44

Latest Results

02.09.26 Alexander Bublik – Adrian Mannarino – 3:0
30.08.26 Alexander Bublik – Jeffrey John Wolf – 3:1
25.07.26 Alexander Bublik – Quentin Halys – 0:2
24.07.26 Alexander Bublik – Tomas Martin Etcheverry – 2:0
23.07.26 Alexander Bublik – Alex Molcan – 2:0		 02.09.26 Dino Prizmic – Tommy Paul – 1:3
30.08.26 Chak Lam Coleman Wong – Tommy Paul – 1:3
20.08.26 Tommy Paul – Flavio Cobolli – 1:2
19.08.26 Alexander Zverev – Tommy Paul – 1:2
17.08.26 Tommy Paul – Daniel Vallejo – 2:1

Facts

  • Bublik is ranked ATP: 16. Paul is ranked ATP: 21.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 1.
  • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
  • Paul could have a small edge in this match.
  • We predict that Paul will win today’s game, with odds of 1.44.
  • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    30.08.25 Alexander Bublik – Tommy Paul – 3:2
    21.03.25 Alexander Bublik – Tommy Paul – 1:2
    05.07.24 Tommy Paul – Alexander Bublik – 3:0
    04.03.21 Alexander Bublik – Tommy Paul – 1:2
    20.09.20 Alexander Bublik – Tommy Paul – 0:2

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Zverev A. (1) Sonego L. 3 : 2
    2 Halys Q. Diaz Acosta F. 3 : 1
    3 Dimitrov G. (Q) Popyrin A. 1 : 3
    4 Hanfmann Y. Tabilo A. (25) 1 : 3
    5 Darderi L. (21) Wendelken H. (Q) 3 : 1
    6 Svrcina D. (Q) Royer V. 3 : 2
    7 Sweeny D. (WC) Moutet C. (RET.) 2 : 0
    8 Fery A. Musetti L. (13) 0 : 3
    9 Jodar R. (12) Bu Y. (LL) 0 : 3
    10 Marozsan F. Zheng M. (WC) 0 : 3
    11 Svajda Z. Altmaier D. 3 : 1
    12 Cerundolo J. M. Gea A. (LL) 2 : 3
    13 Bergs Z. (31) Taberner C. 3 : 1
    14 De Jong J. Passaro F. (Q) 3 : 2
    15 Choinski J. Van De Zandschulp B. 0 : 3
    16 Guerrieri A. (Q) De Minaur A. (6) 0 : 3
    17 Auger-Aliassime F. (3) Hijikata R. 3 : 1
    18 Burruchaga R. A. Khachanov K. 0 : 3
    19 Molcan A. Bonzi B. 1 : 3
    20 Giron M. Buse I. (32) 2 : 3
    21 Mensik J. (17) Mochizuki S. (LL) 3 : 0
    22 Rodionov J. (Q) Mpetshi Perricard G. 3 : 0
    23 Vallejo D. Monfils G. (WC) 1 : 3
    24 Borges N. Tien L. (14) 0 : 3
    25 Fritz T. (9) Blanch Dar. (WC) 3 : 0
    26 Bellucci M. Piros Z. (Q) 3 : 0
    27 Ugo Carabelli C. Struff J-L. 0 : 3
    28 Misolic F. Cerundolo F. (24) 0 : 3
    29 Blockx A. (28) Barrios Vera T. (Q) 3 : 0
    30 Shang J. Trungelliti M. 2 : 3
    31 Basavareddy N. (Q) Schoolkate T. (Q) 1 : 3
    32 Comesana F. Cobolli F. (5) 2 : 3
    33 Medvedev D. (7) Gaston H. (Q) 3 : 0
    34 Gorzny S. (WC) Collignon R. 3 : 2
    35 Munar J. Atmane T. 3 : 2
    36 Shimabukuro S. Rinderknech A. (26) 1 : 3
    37 Vacherot V. (22) Kovacevic A. 3 : 0
    38 Majchrzak K. Medjedovic H. 3 : 0
    39 Vukic A. Sakamoto R. (Q) 2 : 3
    40 Damm M. Tiafoe F. (11) 2 : 3
    41 Nakashima B. (16) Baez S. 3 : 0
    42 Michelsen A. Cina F. (Q) 3 : 0
    43 Merida Aguilar D. Fucsovics M. 3 : 0
    44 Virtanen O. (LL) Rublev A. (23) 2 : 3
    45 Etcheverry T. M. (27) Kopriva V. 3 : 0
    46 Landaluce M. Fearnley J. (LL) 2 : 3
    47 Berrettini M. Wawrinka S. (WC) 3 : 0
    48 Navone M. Djokovic N. (4) 3 : 2
    49 Shelton B. (8) Griekspoor T. 3 : 1
    50 Dzumhur D. Hurkacz H. 1 : 3
    51 Kecmanovic M. Shapovalov D. 1 : 3
    52 van Assche L. Norrie C. (29) 3 : 1
    53 Lehecka J. (18) Carreno-Busta P. 3 : 1
    54 Samuel T. (Q) Machac T. 3 : 0
    55 Harris L. (Q) Kennedy J. (WC) 3 : 0
    56 Tsitsipas S. Fils A. (10) 3 : 1
    57 Bublik A. (15) Wolf J.J. (WC) 3 : 1
    58 Tirante T. A. Mannarino A. 2 : 3
    59 Prizmic D. Shevchenko A. 3 : 2
    60 Wong C. (Q) Paul T. (20) 1 : 3
    61 Arnaldi M. (30) Duckworth J. 1 : 3
    62 Wu Y. Walton A. 3 : 0
    63 Faria J. Brooksby J. 3 : 2
    64 Safiullin R. Alcaraz C. (2) 0 : 3

    1/32-finals

    1 Zverev A. (1) Halys Q.
    2 Popyrin A. Tabilo A. (25)
    3 Darderi L. (21) Svrcina D.
    4 Sweeny D. Musetti L. (13)
    5 Bu Y. Zheng M.
    6 Svajda Z. Gea A.
    7 Bergs Z. (31) De Jong J.
    8 Van De Zandschulp B. De Minaur A. (6)
    9 Auger-Aliassime F. (3) Khachanov K.
    10 Bonzi B. Buse I. (32)
    11 Mensik J. (17) Rodionov J.
    12 Monfils G. Tien L. (14)
    13 Fritz T. (9) Bellucci M.
    14 Struff J-L. Cerundolo F. (24)
    15 Blockx A. (28) Trungelliti M.
    16 Schoolkate T. Cobolli F. (5)
    17 Medvedev D. (7) Gorzny S. 3 : 0
    18 Munar J. Rinderknech A. (26) 0 : 3
    19 Vacherot V. (22) Majchrzak K. 3 : 1
    20 Sakamoto R. Tiafoe F. (11) 0 : 3
    21 Nakashima B. (16) Michelsen A. 0 : 3
    22 Merida Aguilar D. Rublev A. (23) 3 : 1
    23 Etcheverry T. M. (27) Fearnley J. 3 : 1
    24 Berrettini M. Navone M. 1 : 3
    25 Shelton B. (8) Hurkacz H. 3 : 1
    26 Shapovalov D. van Assche L. 3 : 0
    27 Lehecka J. (18) Samuel T. 3 : 0
    28 Harris L. Tsitsipas S. 1 : 3
    29 Bublik A. (15) Mannarino A. 3 : 0
    30 Prizmic D. Paul T. (20) 1 : 3
    31 Duckworth J. Wu Y. 0 : 3
    32 Faria J. Alcaraz C. (2) 1 : 3

    1/16-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16
    9 Medvedev D. (7) Rinderknech A. (26)
    10 Vacherot V. (22) Tiafoe F. (11)
    11 Michelsen A. Merida Aguilar D.
    12 Etcheverry T. M. (27) Navone M.
    13 Shelton B. (8) Shapovalov D.
    14 Lehecka J. (18) Tsitsipas S.
    15 Bublik A. (15) Paul T. (20)
    16 Wu Y. Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/8-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    ATP US Open Outrights

    1. Alcaraz Carlos: 2.39 (28.15%)

    2. Zverev Alexander: 3.55 (18.95%)

    3. Shelton Ben: 7 (9.61%)

    4. Fritz Taylor: 9.25 (7.27%)

    5. Medvedev Daniil: 18 (3.74%)

    6. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 21.5 (3.13%)

    7. Cobolli Flavio: 28.5 (2.36%)

    8. Musetti Lorenzo: 28.5 (2.36%)

    9. Tiafoe Frances: 33.5 (2.01%)

    10. Mensik Jakub: 33.5 (2.01%)

    11. De Minaur Alex: 37 (1.82%)

    12. Lehecka Jiri: 40.5 (1.66%)

    13. Paul Tommy: 40.5 (1.66%)

    14. Tien Learner: 40.5 (1.66%)

    15. Berrettini Matteo: 50.5 (1.33%)

    16. Bublik Alexander: 50.5 (1.33%)

    17. Michelsen Alex: 66 (1.02%)

    18. Ruud Casper: 67 (1%)

    19. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 73 (0.92%)

    20. Vacherot Valentin: 125.5 (0.54%)

    21. Shapovalov Denis: 150.5 (0.45%)

    22. Merida Aguilar Daniel: 175.5 (0.38%)

    23. Cerundolo Francisco: 175.5 (0.38%)

    24. Rinderknech Arthur: 200.5 (0.34%)

    25. Navone Mariano: 200.5 (0.34%)

    26. Bergs Zizou: 225.5 (0.3%)

    27. Blockx Alexander: 250.5 (0.27%)

    28. Khachanov Karen: 250.5 (0.27%)

    29. Buse Ignacio: 275.5 (0.24%)

    30. Darderi Luciano: 275.5 (0.24%)

    31. Tabilo Alejandro: 275.5 (0.24%)

    32. Wu Yibing: 275.5 (0.24%)

    33. Bu Yunchaokete: 301 (0.22%)

    34. Struff Jan-Lennard: 375.5 (0.18%)

    35. Svajda Zachary: 375.5 (0.18%)

    36. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 375.5 (0.18%)

    37. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 375.5 (0.18%)

    38. Zheng Michael: 375.5 (0.18%)

    39. Monfils Gael: 375.5 (0.18%)

    40. Popyrin Alexei: 375.5 (0.18%)

    41. Halys Quentin: 375.5 (0.18%)

    42. Majchrzak Kamil: 375.5 (0.18%)

    43. Bellucci Mattia: 375.5 (0.18%)

    44. Bonzi Benjamin: 375.5 (0.18%)

    45. Sweeny Dane: 375.5 (0.18%)

    46. Svrcina Dalibor: 375.5 (0.18%)

    47. Sakamoto Rei: 375.5 (0.18%)

    48. Schoolkate Tristan: 375.5 (0.18%)

    49. Faria Jaime: 401 (0.17%)

    50. Gea Arthur: 451 (0.15%)

    51. Prizmic Dino: 501 (0.13%)

    52. Trungelliti Marco: 501 (0.13%)

    53. De Jong Jesper: 501 (0.13%)

    54. Rodionov Jurij: 501 (0.13%)

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