Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini predictions, May 06, 2026

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Alexei Popyrin is set to face Matteo Berrettini in an intriguing first-round clash at the ATP Roma on May 6, 2026. Popyrin, playing on home soil, aims to capitalize on local support, although his form has been inconsistent lately, winning only 2 of his last 5 matches. His baseline power and aggressive play can challenge opponents, but he may struggle with consistency against seasoned competitors.

On the other hand, Matteo Berrettini, currently favored by bookmakers with odds of 1.45, also holds a similar recent record of 2 wins in his last 5 outings. Berrettini’s strong serve and ability to dictate points from the net make him a formidable rival. His experience on clay and tactical prowess should be put to the test as he looks to impose his game style early in the match.

According to model predictions, Berrettini is given a 63% chance of victory, while Popyrin’s chances sit at 37%. The projected final score suggests a possible 0:2 result in favor of the Italian. With both players seeking to regain form, this match promises to deliver competitive tennis, and while Berrettini is favored, the outcome remains open.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-04T10:52:02+00:00.

Popyrin 35.1%

Berrettini 64.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 0:2

Watch and Bet Popyrin – Berrettini available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.75		1.46
	2.66		1.48	Watch and Bet
	2.64		1.45

Latest Results

23.04.26 Alexei Popyrin – Martin Damm – 0:2 07.04.26 Alexei Popyrin – Casper Ruud – 0:2 03.04.26 Alexei Popyrin – Francis Tiafoe – 1:2 02.04.26 Alex Michelsen – Alexei Popyrin – 1:2 31.03.26 Alexei Popyrin – Patrick Kypson – 2:1

01.05.26 Matteo Berrettini – Hubert Hurkacz – 1:2 30.04.26 Mariano Navone – Matteo Berrettini – 0:2 28.04.26 Patrick Kypson – Matteo Berrettini – 1:2 22.04.26 Dino Prizmic – Matteo Berrettini – 2:0 22.04.26 Raphael Collignon – Matteo Berrettini – Canceled

Facts

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 56. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 92.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Berrettini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Berrettini is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).

Latest Head To Head

22.10.25 Alexei Popyrin – Matteo Berrettini – 0:2 29.10.24 Alexei Popyrin – Matteo Berrettini – 2:0 25.10.21 Alexei Popyrin – Matteo Berrettini – 0:2 05.07.20 Matteo Berrettini – Alexei Popyrin – 4:0 31.08.19 Matteo Berrettini – Alexei Popyrin – 3:1

Standings

Draw

Singles – Qualification

Semi-finals

1	Garin C. (1)	Echargui M.	2 : 0
2	Lajovic D.	Choinski J. (20)	0 : 2
3	Prizmic D. (2)	Rodesch C.
4	Bondioli F. (WC)	Nava E. (18)
5	Kypson P. (3)	Pinnington Jones J.	2 : 1
6	Martin Manzano J. C. (WC)	Droguet T. (16)	1 : 2
7	Carreno-Busta P. (4)	Damm M.	2 : 0
8	Travaglia S.	Wawrinka S. (13)	1 : 2
9	Vallejo D. (5)	Faria J.
10	Llamas Ruiz P. (Alt)	Rocha H. (19)
11	Kovacevic A. (6)	Carboni L. (WC)
12	Mochizuki S.	Fearnley J. (15)	0 : 2
13	van Assche L. (7)	Dellien H.	0 : 2
14	Martinez P.	De Jong J. (14)	0 : 2
15	Landaluce M. (8)	O’Connell C.
16	Pellegrino A.	Gaston H. (17)	2 : 0
17	Hijikata R. (9)	Basile P. (WC)
18	Moller E.	Basilashvili N. (21)
19	Merida Aguilar D. (10)	McDonald M.	2 : 0
20	Vasami J. (WC)	Barrios Vera T. (23)	0 : 2
21	Bonzi B. (11)	Svrcina D.
22	Budkov Kjaer N.	Virtanen O. (22)	2 : 1
23	Comesana F. (12)	Harris B.	2 : 0
24	Riedi L. (PR)	Gaubas V. (24)	2 : 0

Final

1	Garin C. (1)	Choinski J. (20)
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	Kypson P. (3)	Droguet T. (16)
4	Carreno-Busta P. (4)	Wawrinka S. (13)
5	TBD #9	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	Fearnley J. (15)
7	Dellien H.	De Jong J. (14)
8	TBD #15	Pellegrino A.
9	TBD #17	TBD #18
10	Merida Aguilar D. (10)	Barrios Vera T. (23)
11	TBD #21	Budkov Kjaer N.
12	Comesana F. (12)	Riedi L.

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