Alianza Lima vs Boca Juniors predictions, Feb 18, 2025

Copa Libertadores, on Tuesday,

Alianza Lima

Boca Juniors

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

### Match Preview: Alianza Lima vs. Boca Juniors

**Date:** February 18, 2025
**Competition:** Copa Libertadores
**Venue:** Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Home of Alianza Lima)

#### Context
As the Copa Libertadores heats up, the clash between Peruvian side Alianza Lima and Argentine giants Boca Juniors promises to be an exciting encounter filled with passion, strategy, and crucial implications for both teams in their quest for continental glory.

#### Recent Form
**Alianza Lima** enters this match with a solid run of form, winning 3 out of their last 5 matches. Their recent performances suggest a team that is gaining confidence, particularly in front of their home crowd. The combination of local support and a string of positive results could provide a significant advantage as they face one of South America’s most storied clubs.

**Boca Juniors**, on the other hand, has won just 2 of their last 5 matches. While still a formidable opponent with a rich history in the tournament, Boca has shown some inconsistencies lately, which could be a concern as they prepare to take on a competitive Alianza Lima side.

#### Betting Odds
The bookmakers have set the coefficients at 3.01 for Alianza Lima, 2.47 for a draw, and 2.47 for Boca Juniors, reflecting a competitive matchup. The odds indicate that Boca Juniors is slightly favored to win this match, which is corroborated by their stronger historical presence in the tournament.

#### Probability Estimates
The estimated probabilities based on machine learning analysis suggest a close contest:
– **Alianza Lima to win:** 29.3%
– **Draw:** 31.9%
– **Boca Juniors to win:** 42.4%

These figures show that while Boca Juniors is viewed as the slightly more likely winner, Alianza Lima’s home advantage makes this match more unpredictable.

#### Likely Result
According to bookmakers, the most likely result is 0:1 in favor of Boca Juniors. This aligns with their overall standing and historical performance, especially considering Boca’s defensive strengths. However, Alianza Lima will be looking to leverage their home advantage to disrupt this prediction.

#### Key Players to Watch
– **Alianza Lima:** Keep an eye on their attacking players, who will need to capitalize on any chances created, especially in front of their home fans.
– **Boca Juniors:** Their star players are crucial in maintaining control of the midfield and converting scoring opportunities.

#### Conclusion
This match is set to be a thrilling encounter as Alianza Lima welcomes Boca Juniors to their fortress. Both teams have much to prove, and with the stakes high in the Copa Libertadores, fans can expect an intense and emotional battle on the pitch. With Alianza Lima’s current form and home advantage, they could spring a surprise, but Boca Juniors will aim to assert their dominance and secure a vital away victory.

Alianza Lima 31.4% Draw 29.8% Boca Juniors 38.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 0:1

Outrights of Copa Libertadores Boca Juniors: 4.44%

Watch Watch and Bet Alianza Lima – Boca Juniors available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 3 3.1 2.4
MarathonBet 3.01 3.28 2.47 Watch Watch and Bet
Best for US Customers 3 3.1 2.4

Latest Results

12.02.25 Alianza Lima – Nacional Asuncion – 3:1
08.02.25 Alianza Lima – Cusco FC – 3:0
05.02.25 Nacional Asuncion – Alianza Lima – 1:1
30.01.25 Alianza Lima – SD Aucas – 2:0
25.01.25 LDU Quito – Alianza Lima – 1:1
11.02.25 Boca Juniors – Independiente Rivadavia – 2:0
08.02.25 Racing Club de Avellaneda – Boca Juniors – 2:0
02.02.25 Boca Juniors – Huracán Buenos Aires – 2:1
29.01.25 Unión Santa Fe – Boca Juniors – 1:1
26.01.25 Boca Juniors – Argentinos Juniors – 0:0

Facts

  • 1st leg.
  • Alianza Lima is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins – 3).
  • Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins – 2).
  • Alianza Lima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent – last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
  • Last 2 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Lima won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

    Latest Head To Head

    16.05.18 Boca Juniors – Alianza Lima – 5:0
    01.03.18 Alianza Lima – Boca Juniors – 0:0

    Standings

    Draw

    2025

    Quarter-finals

    1 Deportes Iquique Bye
    2 Bye Santa Fe
    3 Nacional Asuncion Alianza Lima 1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4 Bye Boca Juniors
    5 The Strongest Bye
    6 Bye Bahia
    7 Boston River Bye
    8 Bye Nublense
    9 Monagas Defensor Sp. 2 : 0, 2 : 0
    10 Bye Cerro Porteno
    11 Deportes Tolima Bye
    12 Bye FBC Melgar
    13 Blooming EL Nacional 1 : 3, 3 : 2
    14 Bye Barcelona SC
    15 Universidad Central Bye
    16 Bye Corinthians

    Semi-finals

    1 Deportes Iquique Santa Fe
    2 Alianza Lima Boca Juniors
    3 The Strongest Bahia
    4 Boston River Nublense
    5 Monagas Cerro Porteno
    6 Deportes Tolima FBC Melgar
    7 EL Nacional Barcelona SC
    8 Universidad Central Corinthians

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Copa Libertadores Outrights

    1. Flamengo RJ: 5 (15.08%)

    2. Palmeiras: 5.5 (13.71%)

    3. Botafogo RJ: 6.5 (11.6%)

    4. River Plate: 8 (9.42%)

    5. Internacional: 11 (6.85%)

    6. Sao Paulo: 12 (6.28%)

    7. Corinthians: 13 (5.8%)

    8. Boca Juniors: 17 (4.44%)

    9. Racing Club: 26 (2.9%)

    10. Estudiantes L.P.: 41 (1.84%)

    11. Penarol: 41 (1.84%)

    12. Fortaleza: 41 (1.84%)

    13. Independiente del Valle: 51 (1.48%)

    14. LDU Quito: 51 (1.48%)

    15. Colo Colo: 51 (1.48%)

    16. Atl. Nacional: 51 (1.48%)

    17. Velez Sarsfield: 51 (1.48%)

    18. Libertad Asuncion: 67 (1.13%)

    19. Olimpia Asuncion: 67 (1.13%)

    20. Bahia: 67 (1.13%)

    21. Club Nacional: 67 (1.13%)

    22. Talleres Cordoba: 81 (0.93%)

    23. Cerro Porteno: 101 (0.75%)

    24. U. De Chile: 101 (0.75%)

    25. Bolivar: 101 (0.75%)

    26. Santa Fe: 126 (0.6%)

    27. The Strongest: 151 (0.5%)

    28. A. Lima: 151 (0.5%)

    29. Barcelona SC: 151 (0.5%)

    30. Universitario de Deportes: 251 (0.3%)

    31. Sporting Cristal: 501 (0.15%)

    32. Deportes Tolima: 751 (0.1%)

    33. Monagas: 1001 (0.08%)

    34. FBC Melgar: 1001 (0.08%)

    35. Dep. Tachira: 1001 (0.08%)

    36. Bucaramanga: 1251 (0.06%)

    37. Blooming: 1501 (0.05%)

    38. Deportes Iquique: 1501 (0.05%)

    39. Universidad Central: 1751 (0.04%)

    40. San Antonio Bulo Bulo: 1751 (0.04%)

    41. Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero): 1751 (0.04%)

    42. Boston River: 1751 (0.04%)

    43. EL Nacional: 1751 (0.04%)

    44. Nublense: 1751 (0.04%)

    45. Carabobo: 1751 (0.04%)

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