Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina predictions, May 11, 2026

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In an intriguing matchup at the ATP Roma on May 11, 2026, Andrey Rublev takes on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in what promises to be a compelling duel. Rublev, performing well on home soil, boasts a recent record of three wins in his last five matches. His aggressive baseline play, combined with a strong serve, has been pivotal in overcoming opponents, allowing him to take control of many rallies.

On the other hand, Davidovich Fokina, who has seen a slight dip in form with two victories in his last five, will look to capitalize on Rublev’s possible inconsistencies. Known for his versatile playing style and defensive capabilities, Fokina’s ability to mix up shots may challenge Rublev’s rhythm, particularly on clay courts where both players can showcase their tactical depth.

Bookmakers favor Rublev with odds of 1.71 for a home win, reflecting a probability of 52.2%, while Fokina’s chances are set at 47.8% with odds of 2.16 for an away win. While the match leans slightly in Rublev’s favor, the unpredictable nature of tennis and the talent of both players ensure that a tightly contested battle is likely, leaving the outcome uncertain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-09T12:52:02+00:00.

Rublev 55.8%

Davidovich Fokina 44.2%

Watch and Bet Rublev – Davidovich Fokina available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	1.72		2.17	Watch and Bet
	1.70		2.15

Latest Results

09.05.26 Andrey Rublev – Miomir Kecmanovic – 2:0 24.04.26 Andrey Rublev – Vit Kopriva – 0:2 19.04.26 Andrey Rublev – Arthur Fils – 0:2 18.04.26 Andrey Rublev – Hamad Medjedovic – 2:1 17.04.26 Tomas Machac – Andrey Rublev – 0:2

09.05.26 Christian Garin – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – 0:2 27.04.26 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Casper Ruud – 0:2 25.04.26 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Pablo Carreno-Busta – 2:0 21.03.26 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Quentin Halys – 0:2 10.03.26 Learner Tien – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – 2:1

Facts

Rublev is ranked ATP: 14. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 23.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Davidovich Fokina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).

Latest Head To Head

03.08.25 Andrey Rublev – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Davidovich Fokina A. retired 17.04.25 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Andrey Rublev – 2:0 30.09.24 Andrey Rublev – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – 2:0 28.04.24 Andrey Rublev – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – 2:0 15.05.23 Andrey Rublev – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – 2:0

Standings

Draw

Singles – Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bye
2	Ofner S.	Michelsen A.	2 : 0
3	Popyrin A.	Berrettini M.	2 : 0
4	Bye	Mensik J. (26)
5	Tiafoe F. (20)	Bye
6	Sonego L.	Buse I.	0 : 2
7	Pellegrino A. (Q)	Nardi L. (WC)	2 : 1
8	Bye	Fils A. (15)
9	Rublev A. (12)	Bye
10	Svrcina D. (Q)	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 2
11	Garin C. (Q)	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 0
12	Bye	Davidovich Fokina A. (21)
13	Nakashima B. (30)	Bye
14	Bautista-Agut R.	Maestrelli F. (WC)	2 : 0
15	Basilashvili N. (Q)	Merida Aguilar D. (Q)	2 : 1
16	Bye	Shelton B. (5)
17	Auger-Aliassime F. (4)	Bye
18	Shapovalov D.	Navone M.	0 : 2
19	Medjedovic H.	Royer V.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Fonseca J. (27)
21	Etcheverry T. M. (24)	Bye
22	Burruchaga R. A.	Bellucci M.	0 : 2
23	Giron M.	Cilic M.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Landaluce M. (LL)
25	Cobolli F. (10)	Bye
26	Bergs Z.	Atmane T.	0 : 2
27	Tirante T. A.	Cadenasso G. (WC)	2 : 1
28	Bye	Norrie C. (17)
29	Moutet C. (28)	Bye
30	Quinn E.	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	1 : 2
31	Tsitsipas S.	Machac T.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Medvedev D. (7)
33	Musetti L. (8)	Bye
34	Fearnley J. (Q)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	1 : 2
35	Carreno-Busta P. (Q)	Tabilo A.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Cerundolo F. (25)
37	Ruud C. (23)	Bye
38	Trungelliti M.	Svajda Z.	1 : 2
39	Struff J-L.	Comesana F. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Lehecka J. (11)
41	Khachanov K. (13)	Bye
42	Ugo Carabelli C.	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
43	Muller A.	Van De Zandschulp B.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Kovacevic A. (LL)
45	Humbert U. (31)	Bye
46	Marozsan F.	Kopriva V.	0 : 2
47	Fucsovics M.	Prizmic D. (Q)	0 : 2
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (3)
49	De Minaur A. (6)	Bye
50	Arnaldi M. (WC)	Munar J.	2 : 1
51	De Jong J. (Q)	Borges N.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Jodar R. (32)
53	Tien L. (19)	Bye
54	Dzumhur D.	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
55	Brooksby J.	Baez S.	0 : 2
56	Bye	Bublik A. (9)
57	Paul T. (16)	Bye
58	Vukic A.	Kypson P. (Q)	2 : 1
59	Hurkacz H.	Hanfmann Y.	1 : 2
60	Bye	Darderi L. (18)
61	Griekspoor T. (29)	Bye
62	Cina F. (WC)	Blockx A.	1 : 2
63	Zhang Z. (PR)	Altmaier D.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Zverev A. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Ofner S.
2	Popyrin A.	Mensik J. (26)
3	Tiafoe F. (20)	Buse I.
4	Pellegrino A.	Fils A. (15)
5	Rublev A. (12)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 0
6	Garin C.	Davidovich Fokina A. (21)	0 : 2
7	Nakashima B. (30)	Bautista-Agut R.	2 : 0
8	Basilashvili N.	Shelton B. (5)
9	Auger-Aliassime F. (4)	Navone M.	0 : 2
10	Medjedovic H.	Fonseca J. (27)
11	Etcheverry T. M. (24)	Bellucci M.	1 : 2
12	Cilic M.	Landaluce M. (LL)	0 : 2
13	Cobolli F. (10)	Atmane T.
14	Tirante T. A.	Norrie C. (17)	2 : 0
15	Moutet C. (28)	Llamas Ruiz P.	1 : 2
16	Machac T.	Medvedev D. (WO.) (7)
17	Musetti L. (8)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 0
18	Tabilo A.	Cerundolo F. (25)	0 : 2
19	Ruud C. (23)	Svajda Z.	2 : 0
20	Struff J-L.	Lehecka J. (11)	0 : 2
21	Khachanov K. (13)	Shevchenko A.	2 : 0
22	Van De Zandschulp B.	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
23	Humbert U. (31)	Kopriva V.	2 : 0
24	Prizmic D.	Djokovic N. (3)	2 : 1
25	De Minaur A. (6)	Arnaldi M.	1 : 2
26	Borges N.	Jodar R. (32)	0 : 2
27	Tien L. (19)	Dzumhur D.	2 : 0
28	Baez S.	Bublik A. (9)	0 : 2
29	Paul T. (16)	Vukic A.	2 : 0
30	Hanfmann Y.	Darderi L. (18)	0 : 2
31	Griekspoor T. (29)	Blockx A.	1 : 2
32	Altmaier D.	Zverev A. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	Rublev A. (12)	Davidovich Fokina A. (21)
4	Nakashima B. (30)	TBD #8
5	Navone M.	TBD #10
6	Bellucci M.	Landaluce M.
7	TBD #13	Tirante T. A.
8	Llamas Ruiz P.	Medvedev D. (7)
9	Musetti L. (8)	Cerundolo F. (25)
10	Ruud C. (23)	Lehecka J. (11)
11	Khachanov K. (13)	Van De Zandschulp B.
12	Humbert U. (31)	Prizmic D.
13	Arnaldi M.	Jodar R. (32)
14	Tien L. (19)	Bublik A. (9)
15	Paul T. (16)	Darderi L. (18)
16	Blockx A.	Zverev A. (2)

1/8-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8
5	TBD #9	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14
8	TBD #15	TBD #16

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

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