Arbroath vs Ayr United predictions, Feb 14, 2026

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As Arbroath prepares to host Ayr United at Gayfield Park on February 14, 2026, both teams will be looking to improve their standing in the Scottish Football Championship. Arbroath enters the match with a challenging recent form, having secured only one win in their last five outings. Their struggles to find the net will be a key concern, especially against a solid Ayr United side.

On the other hand, Ayr United has shown some resilience, winning two of their last five matches. Their attacking play appears more cohesive, which could put pressure on Arbroath’s defense. With bookmakers setting odds at 2.45 for a home win and 2.7 for an away victory, the match is expected to be closely contested.

Statistically, our model suggests a probability of 38.2% for a home win, while Ayr United has a slightly better chance at 32.9% to claim three points. A predicted score of 1:1 reflects the anticipation of a balanced encounter where both teams must capitalize on their scoring opportunities.

Ultimately, while recent performances suggest a tightly matched contest, outcomes in football can be unpredictable, making this a fascinating fixture for fans and bettors alike.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-08T06:52:03+00:00.

Arbroath 39.5%

Draw 29%

Ayr 31.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship Arbroath: 2.34% Ayr: 1.12%

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Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.31	3.19	2.94
	2.35	3.2	2.92
	2.3	3.13	2.9
	2.38	3	2.9
	2.36	3.27	2.94
	2.28	3.14	2.9

Latest Results

03.02.26 Arbroath – Airdrieonians FC – 2:3 penalties 31.01.26 Queens Park FC – Arbroath – 2:1 23.01.26 Arbroath – Greenock Morton – 1:1 17.01.26 Airdrieonians FC – Arbroath – 4:3 penalties 13.01.26 Arbroath – East Fife – 3:0

31.01.26 Ayr United – Raith Rovers – 2:1 24.01.26 Partick Thistle – Ayr United – 2:1 17.01.26 Dundee United – Ayr United – 2:0 13.01.26 Ayr United – Stranraer FC – 4:1 10.01.26 Ayr United – Airdrieonians FC – 1:1

Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 0.

Recent form of Arbroath has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Ayr has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arbroath may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arbroath won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.3:0.6).

Latest Head To Head

15.11.25 Ayr United – Arbroath – 1:1 01.08.25 Arbroath – Ayr United – 1:1 19.07.25 Ayr United – Arbroath – 4:0 13.04.24 Ayr United – Arbroath – 5:0 23.01.24 Ayr United – Arbroath – 2:0

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	23	13	7	3	45:20	25	46
2	Partick Thistle	24	12	8	4	37:28	9	44
3	Arbroath	24	10	7	7	32:30	2	37
4	Ayr	23	7	11	5	30:27	3	32
5	Dunfermline	22	8	5	9	29:24	5	29
6	Raith	24	7	7	10	28:26	2	28
7	Morton	23	5	11	7	23:30	-7	26
8	Airdrieonians	24	5	8	11	20:32	-12	23
9	Ross County	23	5	7	11	23:38	-15	22
10	Queen’s Park	22	4	9	9	23:35	-12	21

Scottish Football Championship Outrights

1. St Johnstone: 1.15 (58.72%)

2. Rangers: 2.92 (23.06%)

3. Partick: 5.18 (12.99%)

4. Arbroath: 28.83 (2.34%)

5. Ayr: 60.17 (1.12%)

6. Dunfermline: 133.5 (0.5%)

7. Raith: 145.33 (0.46%)

8. Morton: 225.33 (0.3%)

9. Queen’s Park: 400.17 (0.17%)

10. Ross County: 400.17 (0.17%)

11. Airdrieonians: 400.17 (0.17%)

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