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Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic predictions, Feb 21, 2026

Scottish Football Championship, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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As Arbroath prepares to host Dunfermline Athletic on February 21, 2026, the match promises to be a compelling clash in the Scottish Football Championship. Recent form heavily favors the visitors, with Dunfermline Athletic securing four victories in their last five matches, reflecting a solid progression in both defense and attack. Arbroath, on the other hand, has struggled recently, managing only one win in their last five outings.

Tactically, Arbroath will need to focus on improving their defensive organization while also enhancing their offensive output to compete effectively. They have shown moments of resilience at home, which could prove pivotal, especially against a confident Dunfermline side that has demonstrated clinical finishing and strong ball retention recently.

Bookmakers have priced the home win at 2.4, with the away victory slightly favored at 2.79, indicating a competitive matchup. Probability models suggest a 38.9% chance of an Arbroath win, a 29.7% chance of a draw, and a 32.1% probability of Dunfermline coming away with all three points. With both teams having distinct tactical strengths, this fixture could swing in any direction. A draw could be the most likely outcome, with a predicted final score of 1:1 reflecting the tight nature of the contest.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-15T04:52:04+00:00.

Arbroath
37.7%
Draw
29.2%
Dunfermline
33.1%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship Arbroath: 2.18% Dunfermline: 0.74%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.48 3.15 2.78
2.41 3.1 2.69
2.5 3 2.8
2.45 3.27 2.8
2.36 3.2 2.75

Latest Results

03.02.26 Arbroath – Airdrieonians FC – 2:3 penalties
31.01.26 Queens Park FC – Arbroath – 2:1
23.01.26 Arbroath – Greenock Morton – 1:1
17.01.26 Airdrieonians FC – Arbroath – 4:3 penalties
13.01.26 Arbroath – East Fife – 3:0
07.02.26 Dunfermline Athletic – Kelty Hearts – 2:0
31.01.26 Dunfermline Athletic – Airdrieonians FC – 0:2
24.01.26 St. Johnstone FC – Dunfermline Athletic – 0:1
17.01.26 Dunfermline Athletic – Hibernian FC – 1:0
27.12.25 Raith Rovers – Dunfermline Athletic – 1:2

Facts

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 1.
  • Arbroath has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Dunfermline is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Dunfermline may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 1.3:1.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Arbroath won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.3:1.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    06.12.25 Dunfermline Athletic – Arbroath – 1:2
    13.09.25 Arbroath – Dunfermline Athletic – 0:5
    30.03.24 Arbroath – Dunfermline Athletic – 2:3
    17.02.24 Dunfermline Athletic – Arbroath – 1:1
    23.12.23 Arbroath – Dunfermline Athletic – 1:1

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 St Johnstone 24 14 7 3 46:20 26 49
    2 Partick Thistle 24 12 8 4 37:28 9 44
    3 Arbroath 24 10 7 7 32:30 2 37
    4 Ayr 23 7 11 5 30:27 3 32
    5 Dunfermline 22 8 5 9 29:24 5 29
    6 Raith 25 7 8 10 28:26 2 29
    7 Morton 24 5 12 7 23:30 -7 27
    8 Queen’s Park 23 5 9 9 24:35 -11 24
    9 Airdrieonians 25 5 8 12 20:33 -13 23
    10 Ross County 24 5 7 12 23:39 -16 22

    Scottish Football Championship Outrights

    1. St Johnstone: 1.1 (81.39%)

    2. Partick: 7 (12.79%)

    3. Arbroath: 41 (2.18%)

    4. Ayr: 100.2 (0.89%)

    5. Dunfermline: 120.2 (0.74%)

    6. Raith: 130.2 (0.69%)

    7. Morton: 180.2 (0.5%)

    8. Queen’s Park: 230.2 (0.39%)

    9. Ross County: 380.2 (0.24%)

    10. Airdrieonians: 480.2 (0.19%)

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