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### Match Preview: BC Aris Thessaloniki vs. JL Bourg-en-Bresse
#### Event Details
– **Date:** January 15, 2025
– **Venue:** Home court of BC Aris Thessaloniki
#### Team Form
**BC Aris Thessaloniki:**
– Recent Performance: BC Aris has struggled recently, managing to secure only 1 win in their last 5 matches. This poor run may have affected their confidence, and they will be looking to turn their fortunes around at home.
– Playing Style: Known for their defensive grit and physical play, Aris will need to capitalize on their home advantage to disrupt JL Bourg’s rhythm.
**JL Bourg-en-Bresse:**
– Recent Performance: JL Bourg has fared slightly better, achieving 2 wins out of their last 5 games. They enter this match with a more positive momentum and will aim to continue building on this success.
– Playing Style: Bourg is recognized for its fast-paced offense and perimeter shooting. They have the ability to stretch defenses and capture key rebounds, which could be crucial in this matchup.
#### Betting Odds
– **Bookmakers’ Odds:** BC Aris Thessaloniki at 2.55, JL Bourg-en-Bresse at 1.51
– The odds indicate JL Bourg as the favorites to win, reflecting their recent form and overall team dynamics.
#### Probability Estimation
– **Our ML Estimation (Probability in %):**
– BC Aris Thessaloniki: 39.5%
– Draw: N/A (typical in basketball)
– JL Bourg-en-Bresse: 60.5%
The calculated probabilities suggest that JL Bourg-en-Bresse has a significantly higher likelihood of winning this match.
#### Key Factors to Consider
1. **Home Court Advantage:** BC Aris will be playing at home, where they typically perform better. The support from their fans could play a critical role in their performance.
2. **Injury Reports:** It’s essential to check for any key players who might be injured or unavailable, as this could drastically impact the teams’ chances.
3. **Tactical Matchup:** Analyzing how each team’s style of play will align could provide insights. Aris may need to focus on a strong defensive strategy to contain Bourg’s scoring threats.
4. **Motivation and Pressure:** With the current standings in the Eurocup, both teams will have their motivations — Aris to end their losing streak and Bourg to solidify their position in the league.
#### Conclusion
This matchup is set to be an intriguing contest between BC Aris Thessaloniki and JL Bourg-en-Bresse. While JL Bourg seems to have the upper hand based on recent performances and betting odds, BC Aris will be keen to leverage their home court for a much-needed victory. Fans and analysts alike will be watching closely to see if Aris can turn the tide or if Bourg will continue their winning ways.
| Aris 37.2% | JL Bourg-en-Bresse 62.8% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 80:85
Outrights of Eurocup JL Bourg: 2.13% Aris: 0.31%
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2.55 | 1.51 | ||
 |
2.55 | 1.51 |
Latest Results
| 11.01.25 ASP Promitheas Patras – BC Aris Thessaloniki – 106:96 OT 08.01.25 Cedevita Olimpija – BC Aris Thessaloniki – 98:79 04.01.25 BC Aris Thessaloniki – Olympiacos Piraeus BC – 77:88 02.01.25 BC Hapoel Jerusalem – BC Aris Thessaloniki – 90:85 28.12.24 AEK Athens BC – BC Aris Thessaloniki – 102:89 |
12.01.25 Paris Basketball – JL Bourg-en-Bresse – 98:89 07.01.25 JL Bourg-en-Bresse – Lietkabelis Panevezys – 79:66 03.01.25 Türk Telekom BK – JL Bourg-en-Bresse – 98:89 27.12.24 JL Bourg-en-Bresse – Saint-Quentin Basketball – 96:85 22.12.24 SLUC Nancy Basket – JL Bourg-en-Bresse – 84:79 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 30.10.24 JL Bourg-en-Bresse – BC Aris Thessaloniki – 88:91 24.01.24 BC Aris Thessaloniki – JL Bourg-en-Bresse – 68:76 14.11.23 JL Bourg-en-Bresse – BC Aris Thessaloniki – 72:65 |
Standings
2024/25
Group A
| Pl | W | L | PCT | |||
| 1 | Bahcesehir Kol | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1164:1024 | 0.857 |
| 2 | Gran Canaria | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1090:1026 | 0.714 |
| 3 | Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1228:1101 | 0.643 |
| 4 | Ulm | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1219:1220 | 0.643 |
| 5 | Besiktas | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1200:1190 | 0.500 |
| 6 | BC Wolves | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1159:1216 | 0.500 |
| 7 | Buducnost | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1162:1167 | 0.429 |
| 8 | Joventut Badalona | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1109:1165 | 0.357 |
| 9 | Trento | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1082:1178 | 0.286 |
| 10 | Trefl Sopot | 14 | 1 | 13 | 1061:1187 | 0.071 |
Group B
| Pl | W | L | PCT | |||
| 1 | Valencia | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1352:1140 | 0.857 |
| 2 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1197:1115 | 0.643 |
| 3 | Cedevita Olimpija | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1104:1084 | 0.615 |
| 4 | Venezia | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1140:1160 | 0.571 |
| 5 | Turk Telekom | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1129:1154 | 0.571 |
| 6 | JL Bourg | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1216:1170 | 0.500 |
| 7 | Cluj-Napoca | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1240:1242 | 0.500 |
| 8 | Lietkabelis | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1055:1110 | 0.308 |
| 9 | Aris | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1067:1150 | 0.214 |
| 10 | Hamburg | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1087:1262 | 0.214 |
Eurocup Outrights
1. Valencia: 3 (25.74%)
2. Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 4.5 (17.16%)
3. Bahcesehir Koleji: 7 (11.03%)
4. Gran Canaria: 9 (8.58%)
5. Hapoel Jerusalem: 15.67 (4.93%)
6. Ulm: 17.33 (4.46%)
7. Turk Telekom: 18 (4.29%)
8. Cedevita Olimpija: 22.33 (3.46%)
9. Besiktas: 22.33 (3.46%)
10. Venezia: 26 (2.97%)
11. BC Wolves: 27.5 (2.81%)
12. CSU Cluj Napoca: 31.33 (2.46%)
13. Wolves: 32.75 (2.36%)
14. JL Bourg: 36.33 (2.13%)
15. Buducnost: 51 (1.51%)
16. Joventut Badalona: 61 (1.27%)
17. Lietkabelis: 184.33 (0.42%)
18. Trento: 226 (0.34%)
19. Aris: 251 (0.31%)
20. Hamburg Towers: 251 (0.31%)
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