Arouca vs Tondela predictions, May 16, 2026

Score, Highlights

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The upcoming Liga Portugal clash between FC Arouca and CD Tondela on May 17, 2026, promises to be a competitive encounter at Arouca’s home ground. Both teams enter this match with a mixed bag of results, each securing two victories in their last five outings, indicating a level of inconsistency that could play a crucial role in the outcome.

FC Arouca will aim to leverage their home advantage, where they traditionally perform better. Their recent form, while not stellar, suggests they are capable of pulling off a win if they can capitalize on their attacking opportunities and maintain solid defensive organization. The home side’s tactical approach will likely focus on pressing high and creating chances from set pieces.

On the other hand, CD Tondela has shown resilience and an ability to secure points on the road. With slightly better odds at 2.16, they will look to exploit Arouca’s vulnerabilities, particularly in quick transitions and counter-attacks.

According to the predictive model, Arouca holds a 34.3% chance of winning, compared to Tondela’s 43.2% probability of securing victory. As both teams are vying for crucial points, fans can expect an engaging match, though no outcome is certain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-12T08:52:02+00:00.

Arouca 33.3%

Draw 24.5%

Tondela 42.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Watch and Bet Arouca – Tondela available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.89	3.94	2.19
	2.92	3.7	2.18
	2.88	3.87	2.35	Watch and Bet
	2.7	3.6	2.3
	2.8	4.2	2.16

Latest Results

11.05.26 Gil Vicente – FC Arouca – 1:3 02.05.26 FC Arouca – CD Santa Clara – 2:2 24.04.26 FC Alverca – FC Arouca – 2:1 19.04.26 FC Arouca – Estrela da Amadora – 1:0 12.04.26 SC Braga – FC Arouca – 1:0

11.05.26 CD Tondela – Moreirense FC – 2:0 03.05.26 Casa Pia – CD Tondela – 0:1 29.04.26 Sporting Lisbon – CD Tondela – 2:2 25.04.26 CD Tondela – Atletico Nacional – 0:2 19.04.26 FC Porto – CD Tondela – 2:0

Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).

Latest Head To Head

03.01.26 CD Tondela – FC Arouca – 3:1 19.03.22 CD Tondela – FC Arouca – 2:2 29.10.21 FC Arouca – CD Tondela – 2:0 13.05.17 FC Arouca – CD Tondela – 1:2 08.01.17 CD Tondela – FC Arouca – 1:2

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Porto ✔	33	27	4	2	65:18	47	85
2	Sporting CP	33	24	7	2	86:24	62	79
3	Benfica	33	22	11	0	71:24	47	77
4	Braga ✔	33	16	10	7	62:34	28	58
5	Famalicao	33	14	11	8	41:29	12	53
6	Gil Vicente	33	13	11	9	47:35	12	50
7	Moreirense	33	12	6	15	37:49	-12	42
8	Vitoria Guimaraes	33	12	6	15	39:49	-10	42
9	Estoril	33	10	9	14	53:54	-1	39
10	Arouca	33	11	6	16	44:63	-19	39
11	Alverca	33	10	9	14	35:51	-16	39
12	Santa Clara	33	9	9	15	32:40	-8	36
13	Rio Ave	33	8	11	14	34:56	-22	35
14	Nacional	33	8	7	18	35:45	-10	31
15	Estrela	33	6	11	16	36:54	-18	29
16	Casa Pia	33	6	11	16	30:56	-26	29
17	Tondela	33	6	10	17	26:52	-26	28
18	AFS ✔	33	3	11	19	27:67	-40	20

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