Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina predictions, Sep 12, 2026

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In an eagerly anticipated clash at the WTA US Open, Aryna Sabalenka will face off against Elena Rybakina on September 12, 2026. Both players enter the match in exceptional form, each boasting a perfect record with five consecutive victories leading up to this encounter, setting the stage for a highly competitive showdown.

Sabalenka, playing at home, has a significant advantage, with bookmakers favoring her at odds of 1.67 compared to Rybakina’s 2.18. Known for her powerful serve and aggressive baseline game, Sabalenka’s ability to dictate play will be pivotal against Rybakina, who counters with her own impressive shot-making skills and tactical intelligence. Rybakina has shown remarkable resilience, often navigating through challenging situations with composure.

The matchup promises exciting exchanges, as both athletes are adept at creating scoring opportunities. According to model predictions, there is a 60.5% likelihood of a home win for Sabalenka versus a 39.5% chance for Rybakina. While the odds and recent performances suggest a slight edge for Sabalenka, tennis is unpredictable, and any outcome remains possible in this high-stakes duel.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-09-11T03:52:02+00:00.

Sabalenka 56.3%

Rybakina 43.7%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

Watch and Bet Sabalenka – Rybakina available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	1.70		2.20
	1.74		2.21
	1.67		2.16
	1.74		2.28	Watch and Bet
	1.7		2.16
	1.68		2.22
	1.65		2.12

Latest Results

10.09.26 Aryna Sabalenka – Jessica Pegula – 2:0 08.09.26 Aryna Sabalenka – Linda Noskova – 2:1 06.09.26 Aryna Sabalenka – Taylor Townsend – 2:0 04.09.26 Aryna Sabalenka – Kamilla Rakhimova – 2:0 02.09.26 Aryna Sabalenka – Polina Iatcenko – 2:0

10.09.26 Cori Gauff – Elena Rybakina – 1:2 09.09.26 Qinwen Zheng – Elena Rybakina – 1:2 07.09.26 Naomi Osaka – Elena Rybakina – 0:2 05.09.26 Yulia Starodubtseva – Elena Rybakina – 0:2 03.09.26 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro – Elena Rybakina – 0:2

Facts

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 2.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 3.

Both players have triumphed in their latest matches.

Sabalenka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Sabalenka will win today’s game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.3:1.3).

Latest Head To Head

26.03.26 Aryna Sabalenka – Elena Rybakina – 2:0 15.03.26 Aryna Sabalenka – Elena Rybakina – 2:1 31.01.26 Aryna Sabalenka – Elena Rybakina – 1:2 08.11.25 Aryna Sabalenka – Elena Rybakina – 0:2 10.10.25 Aryna Sabalenka – Elena Rybakina – 2:0

Standings

Draw

Singles – Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Osorio C.	2 : 0
2	Zarazua R.	Iatcenko P. (Q)	1 : 2
3	Ito A.	Selekhmeteva O.	0 : 2
4	Rakhimova K.	Krejcikova B. (27)	2 : 0
5	Chwalinska M. (20)	Townsend T.	0 : 2
6	Preston T. (WC)	Parks A.	2 : 0
7	Vandewinkel H.	Pliskova Ka.	1 : 2
8	Snigur D.	Shnaider D. (15)	0 : 2
9	Kostyuk M. (11)	Hunter S. (Q)	2 : 0
10	Stephens S. (WC)	Tauson C.	2 : 0
11	Birrell K.	Marcinko P.	2 : 1
12	Kessler M.	Alexandrova E. (18)	0 : 2
13	Li A. (29)	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
14	Gibson T.	Vekic D.	1 : 2
15	Kalieva E. (Q)	Tararudee L.	1 : 2
16	Volynets K.	Noskova L. (6)	0 : 2
17	Pegula J. (3)	Ruse G.	2 : 0
18	Williams V. (WC)	Kenin S. (WC)	0 : 2
19	Sawangkaew M.	Udvardy P.	2 : 0
20	Zhang S.	Fernandez L. (31)	0 : 2
21	Paolini J. (19)	Erjavec V.	2 : 1
22	Stefanini L. (Q)	Yastremska D.	2 : 1
23	Golubic V.	Parry D.	0 : 2
24	Grabher J.	Cirstea S. (16)	0 : 2
25	Svitolina E. (9)	Sierra S.	2 : 0
26	Joint M.	Samsonova L.	2 : 1
27	Arango E.	Wang Xin.	0 : 2
28	Blinkova A.	Kalinskaya A. (21)	0 : 2
29	Navarro E. (26)	Boisson L.	2 : 1
30	Koevermans A. (Q)	McNally C.	0 : 2
31	Lee C. Y. (WC)	Boulter K.	1 : 2
32	Kraus S.	Muchova K. (7)	0 : 2
33	Andreeva M. (5)	Tjen J.	2 : 0
34	Knutson G. (Q)	Lys E.	0 : 2
35	Bartunkova N.	Sherif M.	2 : 0
36	Maria T.	Ostapenko J. (30)	2 : 1
37	Potapova A. (24)	Semenistaja D. (LL)	2 : 0
38	Rus A. (Q)	Jeanjean L. (WC)	0 : 2
39	Tagger L.	Korpatsch T.	2 : 0
40	Krueger A.	Anisimova A. (10)	0 : 2
41	Jovic I. (14)	Frech M.	2 : 0
42	Linette M.	Jones F. (Q)	1 : 2
43	Oliynykova O.	Brantmeier R. (WC)	2 : 0
44	Stoiana M. (Q)	Eala A. (17)	0 : 2
45	Bejlek S. (28)	Bucsa C.	1 : 2
46	Kalinina A.	Sakatsume H. (Q)	0 : 2
47	Kasatkina D.	Badosa P.	0 : 2
48	Sonmez Z.	Gauff C. (4)	0 : 2
49	Swiatek I. (8)	Wang Xiy.	2 : 0
50	Podoroska N.	Waltert S.	2 : 1
51	Dart H. (Q)	Stearns P.	2 : 1
52	Jacquemot E.	Bouzkova M. (25)	0 : 2
53	Keys M. (22)	Korneeva A.	2 : 0
54	Havlickova L. (Q)	Bondar A.	0 : 2
55	Zheng Q. (Q)	Liutova K. (Q)	2 : 1
56	Putintseva Y.	Bencic B. (12)	2 : 1
57	Osaka N. (13)	Zakharova A.	2 : 0
58	Cocciaretto E.	Siniakova K.	0 : 2
59	Zidansek T. (Q)	Timofeeva M.	0 : 2
60	Quevedo K.	Mertens E. (23)	0 : 2
61	Sakkari M. (32)	Montgomery R. (Q)	2 : 1
62	Starodubtseva Y.	Seidel E.	2 : 0
63	Vidmanova D.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	0 : 2
64	Frodin T. (WC)	Rybakina E. (2)	0 : 2

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Iatcenko P.	2 : 0
2	Selekhmeteva O.	Rakhimova K.	0 : 2
3	Townsend T.	Preston T.	2 : 0
4	Pliskova Ka.	Shnaider D. (15)	0 : 2
5	Kostyuk M. (11)	Stephens S.	2 : 0
6	Birrell K.	Alexandrova E. (18)	1 : 2
7	Li A. (29)	Vekic D.	2 : 1
8	Tararudee L.	Noskova L. (6)	0 : 2
9	Pegula J. (3)	Kenin S.	2 : 0
10	Sawangkaew M.	Fernandez L. (31)	0 : 2
11	Paolini J. (19)	Stefanini L.	2 : 0
12	Parry D.	Cirstea S. (16)	0 : 2
13	Svitolina E. (9)	Joint M.	2 : 1
14	Wang Xin.	Kalinskaya A. (21)	1 : 2
15	Navarro E. (26)	McNally C.	2 : 1
16	Boulter K.	Muchova K. (7)	0 : 2
17	Andreeva M. (5)	Lys E.	2 : 0
18	Bartunkova N.	Maria T.	2 : 1
19	Potapova A. (24)	Jeanjean L.	2 : 1
20	Tagger L.	Anisimova A. (10)	1 : 2
21	Jovic I. (14)	Jones F.	2 : 0
22	Oliynykova O.	Eala A. (17)	0 : 2
23	Bucsa C.	Sakatsume H.	2 : 1
24	Badosa P.	Gauff C. (4)	0 : 2
25	Swiatek I. (8)	Podoroska N.	2 : 0
26	Dart H.	Bouzkova M. (25)	0 : 2
27	Keys M. (22)	Bondar A.	2 : 1
28	Zheng Q.	Putintseva Y.	2 : 1
29	Osaka N. (13)	Siniakova K.	2 : 1
30	Timofeeva M.	Mertens E. (23)	0 : 2
31	Sakkari M. (32)	Starodubtseva Y.	1 : 2
32	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Rybakina E. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 0
2	Townsend T.	Shnaider D. (15)	2 : 1
3	Kostyuk M. (11)	Alexandrova E. (18)	2 : 0
4	Li A. (29)	Noskova L. (6)	1 : 2
5	Pegula J. (3)	Fernandez L. (31)	2 : 1
6	Paolini J. (19)	Cirstea S. (16)	0 : 2
7	Svitolina E. (9)	Kalinskaya A. (21)	1 : 2
8	Navarro E. (26)	Muchova K. (7)	2 : 0
9	Andreeva M. (5)	Bartunkova N.	2 : 0
10	Potapova A. (24)	Anisimova A. (10)	2 : 0
11	Jovic I. (14)	Eala A. (17)	2 : 1
12	Bucsa C.	Gauff C. (4)	0 : 2
13	Swiatek I. (8)	Bouzkova M. (25)	2 : 0
14	Keys M. (22)	Zheng Q.	1 : 2
15	Osaka N. (13)	Mertens E. (23)	2 : 1
16	Starodubtseva Y.	Rybakina E. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Townsend T.	2 : 0
2	Kostyuk M. (11)	Noskova L. (6)	1 : 2
3	Pegula J. (3)	Cirstea S. (16)	2 : 0
4	Kalinskaya A. (21)	Navarro E. (26)	0 : 2
5	Andreeva M. (5)	Potapova A. (24)	2 : 1
6	Jovic I. (14)	Gauff C. (4)	0 : 2
7	Swiatek I. (8)	Zheng Q.	0 : 2
8	Osaka N. (13)	Rybakina E. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Noskova L. (6)	2 : 1
2	Pegula J. (3)	Navarro E. (26)	2 : 1
3	Andreeva M. (5)	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
4	Zheng Q.	Rybakina E. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Pegula J. (3)	2 : 0
2	Gauff C. (4)	Rybakina E. (2)	1 : 2

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Rybakina E. (2)

WTA US Open Outrights

1. Sabalenka Aryna: 1.62 (57.81%)

2. Gauff Coco: 3.25 (28.81%)

3. Rybakina Elena: 7 (13.38%)

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