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### Match Preview: Athletic Bilbao vs. CD Leganés
**Date:** January 26, 2025
**Competition:** LaLiga
**Venue:** San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao, Spain
#### Team Form
**Athletic Bilbao:**
Athletic Bilbao enters this match after a mixed run of form in their last five fixtures, securing two victories. Known for their storied history and strong home advantage, they will look to capitalize on the support of their passionate fans. Despite their recent inconsistency, Bilbao retains a solid squad capable of challenging for points against most opponents in LaLiga.
**CD Leganés:**
CD Leganés, on the other hand, has enjoyed a more successful patch recently, winning three of their last five matches. This trend signifies a resurgence in form, and they will arrive in Bilbao with confidence. Leganés is known for their organized defense and could pose a threat on the counter-attack, especially with momentum on their side.
#### Head-to-Head Record
Historically, matches between these two teams have often been competitive. Athletic Bilbao generally has the edge at home, where they have the advantage of familiar surroundings. However, Leganés will be eager to upset that dynamic, especially considering their improved form.
#### Predictions and Odds
According to bookmakers, the odds for this match are set at 1.36 for a home win for Athletic Bilbao, while the odds for a draw and an away win for Leganés are significantly higher, reflecting the perceived imbalance in favor of the home side.
**Match Probabilities (According to ML Estimation):**
– Athletic Bilbao Win: 55.3%
– Draw: 16.4%
– CD Leganés Win: 12%
The most likely outcome projected by bookmakers is a narrow victory for Athletic Bilbao, with a suggested scoreline of 1:0. This reflects their capability to edge out matches with disciplined defense and a penchant for capitalizing on limited chances.
#### Key Players to Watch
– **Athletic Bilbao:** Look out for the experienced striker who has been pivotal in providing crucial goals. Also, their defensive linchpin will play a significant role in maintaining a clean sheet.
– **CD Leganés:** The standout player for Leganés has been instrumental in their recent successes, providing both goals and assists. His ability to link up the attack will be crucial against a resilient Bilbao defense.
#### Conclusion
This matchup promises to be an intriguing contest between a traditionally strong Athletic Bilbao side and a confident CD Leganés team looking to maintain their positive momentum. With both teams eyeing maximum points, expect a tactical battle that could hinge on set pieces and individual brilliance. As the kickoff approaches, fans will be eager to see if Bilbao can fortify their home advantage or if Leganés can pull off a surprising result.
| Athletic 68.5% | Draw 20.8% | Leganés 10.7% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0
Outrights of Spanish LaLiga Ath Bilbao: 0.87% Leganes: 0.06%
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | 4.4 | 8.75 | ||
| 1.38 | 4.75 | 9.5 | ||
| 1.43 | 4.69 | 9.65 | ||
| 1.4 | 4.4 | 9 | ||
| 1.4 | 4.5 | 9.34 | ||
| 1.38 | 4.75 | 9.5 |
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Latest Results
| 19.01.25 Celta de Vigo – Athletic Bilbao – 1:2 16.01.25 Athletic Bilbao – Osasuna – 2:3 08.01.25 Athletic Bilbao – FC Barcelona – 0:2 04.01.25 UD Logroñés – Athletic Bilbao – 0:1 penalties 21.12.24 Osasuna – Athletic Bilbao – 1:2 |
18.01.25 CD Leganés – Atlético Madrid – 1:0 15.01.25 UD Almería – CD Leganés – 2:3 11.01.25 RCD Espanyol – CD Leganés – 1:1 05.01.25 FC Cartagena – CD Leganés – 1:2 22.12.24 CD Leganés – Villarreal CF – 2:5 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 19.09.24 CD Leganés – Athletic Bilbao – 0:2 16.07.20 Athletic Bilbao – CD Leganés – 0:2 25.09.19 CD Leganés – Athletic Bilbao – 1:1 24.04.19 CD Leganés – Athletic Bilbao – 0:1 20.08.18 Athletic Bilbao – CD Leganés – 2:1 |
Standings
2024/25
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47:20 | 27 | 46 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34:13 | 21 | 44 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52:23 | 29 | 39 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31:18 | 13 | 39 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34:31 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17:14 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | Girona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:29 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | Betis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 25 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25:33 | -8 | 22 |
| 15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:29 | -10 | 22 |
| 16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14:17 | -3 | 20 |
| 17 | Alaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 20 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19:32 | -13 | 19 |
| 19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 20 | Valladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14:39 | -25 | 15 |
Spanish LaLiga Outrights
1. Real Madrid: 1.55 (58.5%)
2. Barcelona: 4.22 (21.51%)
3. Atl. Madrid: 5.23 (17.36%)
4. Ath Bilbao: 104.5 (0.87%)
5. Villarreal: 375.75 (0.24%)
6. Real Sociedad: 413.25 (0.22%)
7. Girona: 438.25 (0.21%)
8. Betis: 688.25 (0.13%)
9. Rayo Vallecano: 750.67 (0.12%)
10. Osasuna: 750.75 (0.12%)
11. Celta Vigo: 875.75 (0.1%)
12. Sevilla: 938.25 (0.1%)
13. Mallorca: 938.25 (0.1%)
14. Alaves: 1084 (0.08%)
15. Getafe: 1084 (0.08%)
16. Leganes: 1417.33 (0.06%)
17. Valencia: 1917.33 (0.05%)
18. Las Palmas: 1917.33 (0.05%)
19. Valladolid: 1917.33 (0.05%)
20. Espanyol: 1917.33 (0.05%)
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