Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio predictions, May 02, 2026

Brazilian Serie A, on Saturday,

Athletico PR

Grêmio

Score, Highlights

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As Athletico Paranaense prepares to host Grêmio on May 2, 2026, at their home stadium, both teams will be looking to capitalize on recent form as they clash in the Brazilian Serie A. Athletico Paranaense has struggled lately, securing only 1 victory in their last 5 matches. This indicates potential vulnerabilities in their setup, particularly in attack, where creating scoring opportunities has been challenging.

Conversely, Grêmio comes into this match with a slightly more favorable trajectory, having won 2 of their last 5 outings. Their ability to convert chances will be crucial, as they aim to exploit any defensive lapses from the home side. The bookmakers’ odds reflect the competitive nature of this fixture, with Athletico Paranaense at 2.03 for a home win, while Grêmio is positioned at 3.58 for an away victory.

Model predictions suggest a probability of 44.3% for a home win, 28.3% for a draw, and 26.3% for an away victory. A predicted final score of 1:1 indicates a tight contest, and with both teams displaying inconsistent form, fans can expect a closely-matched encounter where tactical execution will ultimately prove decisive.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-26T04:52:03+00:00.

Athletico PR
46%
Draw
28.5%
Grêmio
25.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Watch Watch and Bet Athletico PR – Grêmio available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 2.02 3.35 3.55
MarathonBet 2.1 3.35 3.75 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 2.05 3.1 3.5
Pinnacle 2.03 3.39 3.78

Latest Results

23.04.26 Athletico Paranaense – Atlético Goianiense – 0:0
19.04.26 Palmeiras – Athletico Paranaense – 1:0
12.04.26 Athletico Paranaense – Chapecoense-SC – 2:0
05.04.26 Atlético Mineiro – Athletico Paranaense – 2:1
01.04.26 EC Bahia – Athletico Paranaense – 3:0
21.04.26 Grêmio RS – AD Confiança Aracaju – 2:0
18.04.26 Cruzeiro MG – Grêmio RS – 2:0
14.04.26 Grêmio RS – Deportivo Riestra – 1:0
11.04.26 Internacional RS – Grêmio RS – 0:0
08.04.26 Montevideo City Torque – Grêmio RS – 1:0

Facts

  • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 2.
  • Athletico PR has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Grêmio‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Athletico PR will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    04.08.24 Athletico Paranaense – Grêmio RS – 0:2
    17.04.24 Grêmio RS – Athletico Paranaense – 2:0
    18.10.23 Grêmio RS – Athletico Paranaense – 1:2
    27.05.23 Athletico Paranaense – Grêmio RS – 1:2
    26.09.21 Athletico Paranaense – Grêmio RS – 4:2

    Standings

    2026

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Palmeiras 12 9 2 1 22:10 12 29
    2 Flamengo RJ 11 7 2 2 20:10 10 23
    3 Fluminense 12 7 2 3 21:15 6 23
    4 Sao Paulo 13 7 2 4 17:11 6 23
    5 Bahia 12 6 3 3 17:14 3 21
    6 Athletico-PR 12 6 1 5 17:14 3 19
    7 Coritiba 12 5 4 3 15:12 3 19
    8 Bragantino 12 5 2 5 15:14 1 17
    9 Botafogo RJ 12 5 2 5 24:24 0 17
    10 Vasco 12 4 4 4 18:18 0 16
    11 Cruzeiro 13 4 4 5 17:21 -4 16
    12 Vitoria 11 4 3 4 11:14 -3 15
    13 Atletico-MG 12 4 2 6 14:15 -1 14
    14 Internacional 13 3 5 5 12:14 -2 14
    15 Santos 13 3 5 5 18:21 -3 14
    16 Gremio 12 3 4 5 14:16 -2 13
    17 Corinthians 12 2 6 4 8:11 -3 12
    18 Mirassol 12 2 3 7 13:18 -5 9
    19 Remo 13 1 5 7 13:23 -10 8
    20 Chapecoense-SC 11 1 5 5 11:22 -11 8

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