Atlético Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellín predictions, Nov 03, 2024

Oct 29, 2024 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Colombian Primera A, on Sunday,

Atlético Bucaramanga

Independiente Medellín

Score, Highlights

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In this match between Atlético Bucaramanga and Independiente Medellín, both teams are evenly matched based on their recent form. Atlético Bucaramanga has won 2 out of their last 5 matches, while Independiente Medellín has won 3 out of their last 5 matches.

The bookmakers have given slightly higher odds to Atlético Bucaramanga, with coefficients of 2.42 compared to 3.33 for Independiente Medellín. However, our ML estimation gives a slight edge to Atlético Bucaramanga with a probability of 38.8% compared to 33.2% for a draw and 28.1% for Independiente Medellín.

The most likely result according to bookmakers is a 1-1 draw, indicating that this could be a closely contested match with both teams having a strong chance of scoring. With both teams in decent form, this match has the potential to be an exciting and competitive encounter for fans of Colombian soccer.

Bucaramanga 38.7% Draw 33.1% Independiente Medellín 28.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Colombian Primera A Bucaramanga: 2.31% Ind. Medellin: 1.91%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 2.42 2.82 3.34
MarathonBet 2.42 2.85 3.31

Latest Results

27.10.24 Deportivo Cali – Atlético Bucaramanga – 1:0
24.10.24 Atlético Bucaramanga – Deportivo Pasto – 0:0
20.10.24 Rionegro Águilas – Atlético Bucaramanga – 1:3
17.10.24 Deportivo Pasto – Atlético Bucaramanga – 1:2
12.10.24 Atlético Bucaramanga – Deportivo Pereira – 1:1		 28.10.24 Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba – 4:1
25.10.24 Independiente Medellín – Boyacá Chicó – 4:0 penalties
21.10.24 Boyacá Chicó – Independiente Medellín – 1:4
18.10.24 Independiente Santa Fe – Independiente Medellín – 1:1
14.10.24 América de Cali – Independiente Medellín – 1:0

Facts

  • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 11).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 1.
  • Recent matches Bucaramanga is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins – 2).
  • Independiente Medellín is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 3).
  • Bucaramanga will have a small advantage in this match.
  • Last 19 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 15:31 (average 0.8:1.6).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Bucaramanga won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.3:1.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    14.04.24 Independiente Medellín – Atlético Bucaramanga – 1:0
    25.09.23 Independiente Medellín – Atlético Bucaramanga – 2:0
    16.04.23 Atlético Bucaramanga – Independiente Medellín – 1:2
    19.10.22 Independiente Medellín – Atlético Bucaramanga – 1:2
    23.04.22 Atlético Bucaramanga – Independiente Medellín – 2:3

    Standings

    Clausura

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 America De Cali 15 10 3 2 23:12 11 33
    2 Once Caldas 15 9 3 3 20:12 8 30
    3 Santa Fe 15 8 5 2 20:10 10 29
    4 Atl. Nacional 15 9 2 4 24:16 8 29
    5 Millonarios 15 8 3 4 21:12 9 27
    6 Deportes Tolima 15 7 4 4 19:10 9 25
    7 Junior 15 7 4 4 23:16 7 25
    8 Fortaleza 15 5 6 4 19:17 2 21
    9 Bucaramanga 15 6 3 6 13:13 0 21
    10 Dep. Pasto 14 6 2 6 13:11 2 20
    11 Ind. Medellin 15 4 7 4 15:12 3 19
    12 Aguilas 14 4 6 4 16:19 -3 18
    13 La Equidad 14 4 6 4 11:15 -4 18
    14 Pereira 14 4 4 6 10:13 -3 16
    15 Patriotas 15 3 5 7 16:22 -6 14
    16 Dep. Cali 15 3 5 7 13:21 -8 14
    17 Alianza 15 3 4 8 12:18 -6 13
    18 Jaguares de Cordoba 15 2 5 8 6:18 -12 11
    19 Envigado 14 2 3 9 8:19 -11 9
    20 Chico 14 2 2 10 9:25 -16 8

    Colombian Primera A Outrights

    1. America De Cali: 4.9 (15.58%)

    2. Atl. Nacional: 6.25 (12.21%)

    3. Millonarios: 6.25 (12.21%)

    4. Once Caldas: 6.75 (11.31%)

    5. Junior: 7.75 (9.85%)

    6. Santa Fe: 7.75 (9.85%)

    7. Deportes Tolima: 9.5 (8.04%)

    8. La Equidad: 16 (4.77%)

    9. Fortaleza: 19 (4.02%)

    10. Aguilas Doradas: 33 (2.31%)

    11. Dep. Pasto: 33 (2.31%)

    12. Bucaramanga: 33 (2.31%)

    13. Ind. Medellin: 40 (1.91%)

    14. Dep. Pereira: 50 (1.53%)

    15. Alianza: 175 (0.44%)

    16. Dep. Cali: 175 (0.44%)

    17. Chico: 250 (0.31%)

    18. Jaguares de Cordoba: 250 (0.31%)

    19. Envigado: 250 (0.31%)

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