Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona predictions, Feb 12, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

8 months ago

Spanish Copa del Rey, on Thursday, 3:00 pm ET

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Atlético Madrid prepares to host FC Barcelona in the Spanish Copa del Rey on February 12, 2026, both teams are in contrasting form. Atlético Madrid has experienced a challenging run, securing just 2 victories from their last 5 matches. This inconsistency may impact their morale as they face a Barcelona side that is in superb shape, having won all 5 of their recent encounters.

From a tactical standpoint, Atlético Madrid will rely on their well-organized defense and counter-attacking prowess, often utilizing their home advantage at Wanda Metropolitano. However, Barcelona is known for their possession-based approach, which has proven effective against many opponents. Their current momentum makes them formidable foes, likely to exploit any defensive lapses from Atlético.

The bookmakers have given the edge to Barcelona with odds of 2.32 compared to Atlético’s 2.78, reflecting their recent success. Probability models suggest a slight favor toward Barcelona with a 41.3% chance of winning, while Atlético holds a 34.1% chance of securing a home win.

With both teams showcasing distinct strategies and forms heading into this critical cup clash, fans can expect a competitive and tactical battle, although outcomes remain uncertain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-06T23:52:03+00:00.

Atlético
34.2%

Draw
24.6%

Barcelona
41.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Spanish Copa del Rey Barcelona: 51.53% Atl. Madrid: 18.14%

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Betting Odds

1	X	2
2.84	3.95	2.35
2.7	3.6	2.25
2.71	3.8	2.28

Latest Results

05.02.26 Real Betis – Atlético Madrid – 0:5
31.01.26 Levante UD – Atlético Madrid – 0:0
28.01.26 Atlético Madrid – Bodø Glimt – 1:2
25.01.26 Atlético Madrid – RCD Mallorca – 3:0
21.01.26 Galatasaray – Atlético Madrid – 1:1

03.02.26 Albacete Balompié – FC Barcelona – 1:2
31.01.26 Elche CF – FC Barcelona – 1:3
28.01.26 FC Barcelona – FC Copenhagen – 4:1
25.01.26 FC Barcelona – Real Oviedo – 3:0
21.01.26 SK Slavia Prague – FC Barcelona – 2:4

Facts

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 1.

In recent matches, Atlético has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barcelona is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Latest Head To Head

02.12.25 FC Barcelona – Atlético Madrid – 3:1
02.04.25 Atlético Madrid – FC Barcelona – 0:1
16.03.25 Atlético Madrid – FC Barcelona – 2:4
25.02.25 FC Barcelona – Atlético Madrid – 4:4
21.12.24 FC Barcelona – Atlético Madrid – 1:2

Standings

Draw

2025/26

1/128-finals

1	Mutilvera	Bye
2	Bye	Zaragoza
3	Atl. Tordesillas	Bye
4	Bye	Burgos CF
5	Navalcarnero	Bye
6	Bye	AD Merida
7	Inter de Valdemoro	Univ. Julio Suarez	3 : 1, 1 : 1
8	Bye	Getafe
9	Atl. Astorga	Bye
10	Bye	Mirandes
11	Caudal Deportivo	Bye
12	Bye	Gijon
13	Puente Genil	Bye
14	Bye	FC Cartagena SAD
15	Sporting Ceuta	Maracena	0 : 2, 1 : 1
16	Bye	Valencia
17	Tropezon	Bye
18	Bye	Cultural Leonesa
19	Valle Egues	Bye
20	Bye	Andorra
21	Ciudad Cieza	Bye
22	Bye	Cordoba
23	Orihuela	Bye
24	Bye	Levante
25	Ourense CF	Bye
26	Bye	Oviedo
27	Constancia	Bye
28	Bye	Girona
32	Bye	Ath Bilbao
33	Portugalete	Bye
34	Bye	Valladolid
35	Deportivo Getxo	Betis Valladolid	2 : 1, 0 : 0
36	Bye	Alaves
37	CD Extremadura	Bye
38	Bye	Las Palmas
39	Toledo	Bye
40	Bye	Sevilla
41	RSD Alcala	Bye
42	Bye	Tenerife
43	Roda	Bye
44	Bye	Granada CF
45	Real Avila	Bye
46	Bye	Real Aviles
47	Campanario	CD Yuncos	0 : 2, 0 : 0
48	Bye	Rayo Vallecano
49	Jaen	Bye
50	Bye	Eldense
51	Lorca Deportiva	Bye
52	Bye	Almeria
53	Reus FCR	Bye
54	Bye	CE Europa
55	Textil Escudo	SD Negreira	0 : 4, 2 : 1
56	Bye	Real Sociedad
57	Langreo	Bye
58	Bye	Racing Club Ferrol
59	Utebo FC	Bye
60	Bye	Huesca
61	Ebro	Bye
62	Bye	Tarazona
63	CD Sant Jordi	Lourdes	3 : 1, 1 : 0
64	Bye	Osasuna
65	Azuaga	Bye
66	Bye	Leganes
67	San Fernando	Bye
68	Bye	Albacete
69	Sant Andreu	Bye
70	Bye	Teruel
71	Puerto de Vega	CCD Alberite	1 : 1, 4 : 0
72	Bye	Celta Vigo
73	Rayo Majadahonda	Bye
74	Bye	CF Talavera
75	CD Estepona	Bye
76	Bye	Malaga
80	Bye	Real Madrid
81	UD Logrones	Bye
82	Bye	Ponferradina
83	SD Logrones	Bye
84	Bye	Racing Santander
85	Antoniano	Bye
86	Bye	Castellon
87	Ciudad de Lucena	Bye
88	Bye	Villarreal
89	Guadalajara	Bye
90	Bye	Cacereno
91	La Union	Bye
92	Bye	Ceuta
96	Bye	Barcelona
97	Murcia	Bye
98	Bye	Antequera
99	UCAM Murcia	Bye
100	Bye	Cadiz CF
101	Torrent	Bye
102	Bye	Torremolinos
103	Atletico Melilla	Palma del Rio	0 : 5, 0 : 5
104	Bye	Betis
105	UD Ourense	Bye
106	Bye	Pontevedra
107	Naxara	Bye
108	Bye	Eibar
109	Quintanar del Rey	Bye
110	Bye	UD Ibiza
111	Manises	UD Los Garres	0 : 4, 2 : 0
112	Bye	Elche
113	Poblense	Bye
114	Bye	Sabadell
115	UD Samano	Bye
116	Bye	Dep. La Coruna
117	Numancia	Bye
118	Bye	Arenas Getxo
119	Sant Just	Atletico Calatayud	4 : 1, 3 : 0
120	Bye	Mallorca
121	Baleares	Bye
122	Bye	Gimnastic
123	Atletic Lleida	Bye
124	Bye	Espanyol
128	Bye	Atl. Madrid

1/64-finals

1	Mutilvera	Zaragoza	1 : 3
2	Atl. Tordesillas	Burgos CF	1 : 2
3	Navalcarnero	AD Merida	2 : 1
4	Inter de Valdemoro	Getafe	0 : 11
5	Atl. Astorga	Mirandes	1 : 2
6	Caudal Deportivo	Gijon	0 : 1
7	Puente Genil	FC Cartagena SAD	0 : 1
8	Maracena	Valencia	0 : 5
9	Tropezon	Cultural Leonesa	1 : 3
10	Valle Egues	Andorra	1 : 5
11	Ciudad Cieza	Cordoba	1 : 0
12	Orihuela	Levante	3 : 4
13	Ourense CF	Oviedo	4 : 2
14	Constancia	Girona	2 : 3
16	Bye	Ath Bilbao
17	Portugalete	Valladolid	1 : 0
18	Deportivo Getxo	Alaves	0 : 7
19	CD Extremadura	Las Palmas	3 : 1
20	Toledo	Sevilla	1 : 4
21	RSD Alcala	Tenerife	0 : 4
22	Roda	Granada CF	1 : 5
23	Real Avila	Real Aviles	1 : 0
24	CD Yuncos	Rayo Vallecano	1 : 6
25	Jaen	Eldense	1 : 3
26	Lorca Deportiva	Almeria	0 : 2
27	Reus FCR	CE Europa	3 : 2
28	SD Negreira	Real Sociedad	0 : 3
29	Langreo	Racing Club Ferrol	0 : 1
30	Utebo FC	Huesca	0 : 3
31	Ebro	Tarazona	2 : 1
32	CD Sant Jordi	Osasuna	0 : 5
33	Azuaga	Leganes	1 : 4
34	San Fernando	Albacete	0 : 3
35	Sant Andreu	Teruel	2 : 1
36	Puerto de Vega	Celta Vigo	0 : 2
37	Rayo Majadahonda	CF Talavera	1 : 4
38	CD Estepona	Malaga	1 : 3
40	Bye	Real Madrid
41	UD Logrones	Ponferradina	1 : 3
42	SD Logrones	Racing Santander	0 : 4
43	Antoniano	Castellon	1 : 0
44	Ciudad de Lucena	Villarreal	0 : 6
45	Guadalajara	Cacereno	2 : 1
46	La Union	Ceuta	0 : 2
48	Bye	Barcelona
49	Murcia	Antequera	2 : 1
50	UCAM Murcia	Cadiz CF	1 : 3
51	Torrent	Torremolinos	3 : 1
52	Palma del Rio	Betis	1 : 7
53	UD Ourense	Pontevedra	1 : 2
54	Naxara	Eibar	2 : 4
55	Quintanar del Rey	UD Ibiza	2 : 1
56	UD Los Garres	Elche	0 : 4
57	Poblense	Sabadell	1 : 2
58	UD Samano	Dep. La Coruna	1 : 5
59	Numancia	Arenas Getxo	3 : 0
60	Sant Just	Mallorca	0 : 2
61	Baleares	Gimnastic	2 : 0
62	Atletic Lleida	Espanyol	1 : 2
64	Bye	Atl. Madrid

1/32-finals

1	Zaragoza	Burgos CF	0 : 1
2	Navalcarnero	Getafe	2 : 3
3	Mirandes	Gijon	0 : 2
4	FC Cartagena SAD	Valencia	1 : 2
5	Cultural Leonesa	Andorra	4 : 2
6	Ciudad Cieza	Levante	0 : 1
7	Ourense CF	Girona	2 : 1
8	Bye	Ath Bilbao
9	Portugalete	Alaves	0 : 3
10	CD Extremadura	Sevilla	1 : 2
11	Tenerife	Granada CF	0 : 1
12	Real Avila	Rayo Vallecano	1 : 2
13	Eldense	Almeria	2 : 1
14	Reus FCR	Real Sociedad	0 : 2
15	Racing Club Ferrol	Huesca	0 : 2
16	Ebro	Osasuna	3 : 5
17	Leganes	Albacete	1 : 2
18	Sant Andreu	Celta Vigo	1 : 2
19	CF Talavera	Malaga	2 : 1
20	Bye	Real Madrid
21	Ponferradina	Racing Santander	1 : 2
22	Antoniano	Villarreal	1 : 2
23	Guadalajara	Ceuta	1 : 0
24	Bye	Barcelona
25	Murcia	Cadiz CF	3 : 2
26	Torrent	Betis	1 : 4
27	Pontevedra	Eibar	0 : 3
28	Quintanar del Rey	Elche	1 : 2
29	Sabadell	Dep. La Coruna	0 : 2
30	Numancia	Mallorca	2 : 3
31	Baleares	Espanyol	1 : 0
32	Bye	Atl. Madrid

1/16-finals

1	Burgos CF	Getafe	3 : 1
2	Gijon	Valencia	0 : 2
3	Cultural Leonesa	Levante	1 : 0
4	Ourense CF	Ath Bilbao	0 : 1
5	Alaves	Sevilla	1 : 0
6	Granada CF	Rayo Vallecano	1 : 3
7	Eldense	Real Sociedad	1 : 2
8	Huesca	Osasuna	2 : 4
9	Albacete	Celta Vigo	3 : 2
10	CF Talavera	Real Madrid	2 : 3
11	Racing Santander	Villarreal	2 : 1
12	Guadalajara	Barcelona	0 : 2
13	Murcia	Betis	0 : 2
14	Eibar	Elche	0 : 1
15	Dep. La Coruna	Mallorca	1 : 0
16	Baleares	Atl. Madrid	2 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Burgos CF	Valencia	0 : 2
2	Cultural Leonesa	Ath Bilbao	3 : 4
3	Alaves	Rayo Vallecano	2 : 0
4	Real Sociedad	Osasuna	3 : 2
5	Albacete	Real Madrid	3 : 2
6	Racing Santander	Barcelona	0 : 2
7	Betis	Elche	2 : 1
8	Dep. La Coruna	Atl. Madrid	0 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Valencia	Ath Bilbao	1 : 2
2	Alaves	Real Sociedad	2 : 3
3	Albacete	Barcelona	1 : 2
4	Betis	Atl. Madrid	0 : 5

Semi-finals

1	Ath Bilbao	Real Sociedad
2	Barcelona	Atl. Madrid

Final

TBD #1

TBD #2

Spanish Copa del Rey Outrights

1. Barcelona: 1.76 (51.53%)

2. Atl. Madrid: 5 (18.14%)

3. Real Sociedad: 5.5 (16.49%)

4. Ath Bilbao: 6.55 (13.85%)

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