Austin FC vs St. Louis City predictions, May 03, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

5 months ago

MLS, on Sunday, 5:30 pm ET

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Austin FC prepares to host St. Louis City SC on May 3, 2026, both teams enter the match with contrasting recent forms that could influence the outcome. Austin FC has struggled significantly, failing to secure a victory in their last five matches, which may weigh heavily on their confidence as they look to improve their standings. The team’s recent struggles mean they will need to reassess their tactical approach, potentially focusing on tightening their defense and capitalizing on counter-attacks.

In contrast, St. Louis City SC has managed to clinch two wins in their last five outings, showcasing a more resilient and effective approach on the pitch. Their ability to find the back of the net suggests a well-coordinated attack that could exploit any defensive vulnerabilities exposed by Austin.

Bookmakers favor the home side with odds at 2.21, reflecting a potential home advantage. Our model suggests a 41.5% probability of an Austin victory, 27.1% for a draw, and 31% favoring St. Louis in an away win scenario. While a tightly contested match is anticipated, the pressure on Austin combined with St. Louis’s recent form makes this encounter difficult to predict. Fans can expect a strategic battle as both teams vie for crucial points.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-27T16:52:02+00:00.

Austin
37.8%

Draw
27.6%

St. Louis City
34.7%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of MLS St. Louis City: 0.79% Austin FC: 0.79%

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Watch and Bet Austin – St. Louis City available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1	X	2
2.58	3.55	2.7
2.58	3.45	2.68
2.64	3.51	2.72	Watch and Bet
2.5	3.2	2.6
2.54	3.49	2.64
2.21	3.45	3.15

Latest Results

25.04.26 Austin FC – Houston Dynamo – 2:0
22.04.26 San Jose Earthquakes – Austin FC – 5:1
18.04.26 Toronto FC – Austin FC – 3:3
14.04.26 Louisville City FC – Austin FC – 2:1
11.04.26 Austin FC – Los Angeles Galaxy – 1:2

25.04.26 St. Louis City SC – San Jose Earthquakes – 2:3
18.04.26 Seattle Sounders FC – St. Louis City SC – 4:1
15.04.26 St. Louis City SC – FC Tulsa – 4:0
11.04.26 FC Dallas – St. Louis City SC – 1:1
04.04.26 New York City FC – St. Louis City SC – 1:1

Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1.

Recent form of Austin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. Louis City‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St. Louis City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).

Latest Head To Head

04.10.25 Austin FC – St. Louis City SC – 1:3
30.03.25 St. Louis City SC – Austin FC – 0:1
14.04.24 St. Louis City SC – Austin FC – 1:0
09.03.24 Austin FC – St. Louis City SC – 2:2
20.08.23 St. Louis City SC – Austin FC – 6:3

Standings

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Jose Earthquakes	10	9	0	1	25:6	19	27
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	9	8	0	1	25:5	20	24
3	Los Angeles FC	10	6	2	2	17:6	11	20
4	Seattle Sounders	8	6	1	1	12:4	8	19
5	Minnesota United	10	5	2	3	11:14	-3	17
6	Real Salt Lake	9	5	1	3	17:14	3	16
7	Colorado Rapids	10	4	1	5	22:18	4	13
8	FC Dallas	10	3	4	3	18:15	3	13
9	Houston Dynamo	9	4	0	5	12:18	-6	12
10	Los Angeles Galaxy	10	3	3	4	15:16	-1	12
11	San Diego FC	10	3	2	5	17:17	0	11
12	Portland Timbers	9	3	1	5	13:19	-6	10
13	Austin FC	10	2	4	4	14:19	-5	10
14	St. Louis City	9	1	3	5	9:16	-7	6
15	Sporting Kansas City	9	1	1	7	7:25	-18	4

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nashville SC	9	7	1	1	21:6	15	22
2	Inter Miami	10	5	4	1	19:15	4	19
3	Chicago Fire	9	5	2	2	17:8	9	17
4	New England Revolution	9	5	1	3	17:12	5	16
5	Charlotte	10	4	2	4	18:18	0	14
6	Toronto FC	10	3	4	3	17:19	-2	13
7	New York City	10	3	3	4	19:16	3	12
8	Columbus Crew	10	3	3	4	14:13	1	12
9	FC Cincinnati	10	3	3	4	19:23	-4	12
10	DC United	10	3	3	4	11:15	-4	12
11	New York Red Bulls	10	3	3	4	16:25	-9	12
12	CF Montreal	9	3	0	6	13:20	-7	9
13	Atlanta Utd	10	2	1	7	9:17	-8	7
14	Orlando City	10	2	1	7	12:29	-17	7
15	Philadelphia Union	10	1	2	7	9:17	-8	5

MLS Outrights

1. Inter Miami: 5.7 (13.94%)

2. Los Angeles FC: 7.8 (10.19%)

3. Vancouver Whitecaps: 7.8 (10.19%)

4. Nashville SC: 14.4 (5.52%)

5. FC Cincinnati: 19 (4.18%)

6. San Jose Earthquakes: 19 (4.18%)

7. Seattle Sounders: 19.4 (4.1%)

8. New York City: 19.8 (4.01%)

9. Cincinnati: 20 (3.97%)

10. San Diego FC: 22.6 (3.52%)

11. Columbus Crew: 29.2 (2.72%)

12. Charlotte FC: 34.67 (2.29%)

13. New York Red Bulls: 34.8 (2.28%)

14. Chicago Fire: 34.8 (2.28%)

15. Toronto FC: 34.8 (2.28%)

16. Charlottenlund: 35 (2.27%)

17. Charlotte Eagles: 35 (2.27%)

18. Houston Dynamo: 42.8 (1.86%)

19. Minnesota United: 42.8 (1.86%)

20. Orlando City: 44.2 (1.8%)

21. Real Salt Lake: 44.2 (1.8%)

22. Los Angeles Galaxy: 44.2 (1.8%)

23. FC Dallas: 69.4 (1.15%)

24. Philadelphia Union: 72.2 (1.1%)

25. Colorado Rapids: 77.4 (1.03%)

26. New England Revolution: 78.2 (1.02%)

27. DC United: 81.4 (0.98%)

28. Austin: 100 (0.79%)

29. Portland Timbers: 100.2 (0.79%)

30. CF Montreal: 100.2 (0.79%)

31. Atlanta United: 100.2 (0.79%)

32. St. Louis City: 100.2 (0.79%)

33. Austin FC: 101 (0.79%)

34. Sporting Kansas City: 120.2 (0.66%)

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