AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax predictions, Jan 14, 2025

Jan 08, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Dutch KNVB Beker, on Tuesday,

AZ

Ajax

Score, Highlights

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The upcoming match between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax Amsterdam in the Dutch KNVB Beker is shaping up to be an exciting clash between two top teams.

AZ Alkmaar, who will be playing at home, have been in good form recently, winning 4 out of their last 5 matches. On the other hand, Ajax Amsterdam have also been performing well, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

The bookmakers have very close odds for this match, with coefficients of 2.62 for AZ Alkmaar and 2.48 for Ajax. Our ML estimation gives a slight edge to Ajax, with a probability of 40.3% for them to win, 34.3% for AZ Alkmaar, and 27% for a draw.

The most likely result according to the bookmakers is a 1-1 draw, indicating that this could be a closely contested match with both teams evenly matched. Fans can expect an intense and competitive game between these two top Dutch teams.

AZ 36% Draw 25.8% Ajax 38.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Dutch KNVB Beker Ajax: 17.15% AZ Alkmaar: 7.23%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 2.65 3.6 2.45
MarathonBet 2.62 3.7 2.48
WilliamHill 2.6 3.5 2.45
Pinnacle 2.5 3.7 2.41
Best for US Customers 2.65 3.6 2.45

Latest Results

21.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – FC Twente – 1:0
18.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – FC Groningen – 3:1
15.12.24 NAC Breda – AZ Alkmaar – 1:2
12.12.24 Ludogorets Razgrad – AZ Alkmaar – 2:2
08.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax Amsterdam – 2:1		 05.01.25 VfB Stuttgart – Ajax Amsterdam – 2:2
22.12.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax Amsterdam – 0:2
19.12.24 Ajax Amsterdam – SC Telstar – 2:0
15.12.24 Ajax Amsterdam – Almere City FC – 3:0
12.12.24 Ajax Amsterdam – SS Lazio – 1:3

Facts

  • Last 5 head-to-head matches AZ won 4.
  • AZ in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins – 4).
  • Ajax is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 3).
  • Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent – last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
  • Last 20 head-to-head matches AZ won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:34 (average 1.1:1.7).
  • Including matches at home between the teams AZ won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.2:1.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    08.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax Amsterdam – 2:1
    25.02.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax Amsterdam – 2:0
    08.10.23 Ajax Amsterdam – AZ Alkmaar – 1:2
    06.05.23 Ajax Amsterdam – AZ Alkmaar – 0:0
    18.09.22 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax Amsterdam – 2:1

    Standings

    Draw

    2024/25

    1/128-finals

    1 De Graafschap Bye
    4 Bye Oss
    5 Sparta Nijkerk Laar 6 : 0
    6 Achilles Veen Harkemase Boys 2 : 1
    7 HV & CV Quick UNA 4 : 1
    8 Capelle HSC ’21 3 : 1
    9 Gemert Excelsior 31 4 : 0
    10 Winterswijk Blauw Wit 2 : 0
    12 Bye Heracles
    13 Nijmegen Bye
    16 Bye Zwolle
    17 Quick Boys Bye
    20 Bye Almere City
    21 De Treffers Bye
    24 Bye Sittard
    25 Kozakken Boys VVSB 1 : 2
    26 Kloetinge KVV Quick 20 1 : 2
    27 ASWH SVBO 3 : 1
    28 Bye Hardenberg
    29 ACV Assen Bye
    30 SteDoCo IJsselmeervogels 2 : 3
    32 Bye Heerenveen
    33 TOGB Noordwijk 0 : 4
    34 Hoek Putten 2 : 1
    36 Bye Dordrecht
    37 Meerssen Genemuiden 0 : 1
    38 ADO 20 Heemskerk Schaijk 2 : 0
    40 Bye Willem II
    41 HVV Hollandia UDI’19 0 : 1
    42 De Bilt Eemdijk 2 : 4
    43 DVS ’33 Ermelo Rosmalen 1 : 2
    44 Elinkwijk Olde Veste 1 : 2
    45 Barendrecht Bye
    46 TEC Urk 4 : 2
    48 Bye NAC Breda
    49 GOES USV Hercules 2 : 4
    50 Huizen Excelsior Maassluis 1 : 2
    52 Bye Sparta Rotterdam
    56 Bye G.A. Eagles
    57 Spakenburg Bye
    60 Bye Katwijk
    64 Bye Twente
    65 Rijnsburgse Boys Bye
    66 Raalte Sportlust 0 : 4
    68 Bye Roda
    69 FC ‘s-Gravenzande RKAVV Leidschendam 0 : 2
    70 VV DOVO Scheveningen 2 : 1
    72 Bye FC Volendam
    73 Maastricht Bye
    76 Bye Den Bosch
    80 Bye Feyenoord
    81 AZ Alkmaar Bye
    85 DEM Ajax (Am) 1 : 2
    86 HBC Kolping Boys 3 : 4
    88 Bye Groningen
    89 Ajax Bye
    93 Telstar Bye
    96 Bye Helmond
    97 PSV Bye
    101 SV Poortugaal ONS Sneek 3 : 1
    102 Bye HFC
    104 Bye FC Emmen
    105 EVV RKVV Zwaluw 0 : 1
    106 Rijnvogels Forum Sport 2 : 0
    108 Bye Eindhoven FC
    109 Excelsior Bye
    112 Bye Venlo
    113 Waalwijk Bye
    116 Bye Vitesse
    117 Den Haag Bye
    120 Bye Cambuur
    121 AFC Bye
    122 Bye GVVV
    123 RKAV Volendam Bye
    124 Heerjansdam Blauw Geel 1 : 4
    125 SV Juliana Geldrop 4 : 2
    126 Smitshoek Lisse 1 : 2
    128 Bye Utrecht

    1/64-finals

    1 De Graafschap Bye
    2 Bye Oss
    3 Sparta Nijkerk Achilles Veen 4 : 2
    4 HV & CV Quick Capelle 0 : 3
    5 Gemert Winterswijk 0 : 2
    6 Bye Heracles
    7 Nijmegen Bye
    8 Bye Zwolle
    9 Quick Boys Bye
    10 Bye Almere City
    11 De Treffers Bye
    12 Bye Sittard
    13 VVSB KVV Quick 20 1 : 2
    14 ASWH Hardenberg 1 : 0
    15 ACV Assen IJsselmeervogels 2 : 5
    16 Bye Heerenveen
    17 Noordwijk Hoek 2 : 0
    18 Bye Dordrecht
    19 Genemuiden ADO 20 Heemskerk 1 : 0
    20 Bye Willem II
    21 UDI’19 Eemdijk 1 : 2
    22 Rosmalen Olde Veste 2 : 1
    23 Barendrecht TEC 4 : 0
    24 Bye NAC Breda
    25 USV Hercules Excelsior Maassluis 3 : 2
    26 Bye Sparta Rotterdam
    28 Bye G.A. Eagles
    29 Spakenburg Bye
    30 Bye Katwijk
    32 Bye Twente
    33 Rijnsburgse Boys Sportlust 1 : 0
    34 Bye Roda
    35 RKAVV Leidschendam VV DOVO 0 : 1
    36 Bye FC Volendam
    37 Maastricht Bye
    38 Bye Den Bosch
    40 Bye Feyenoord
    41 AZ Alkmaar Bye
    43 Ajax (Am) Kolping Boys 1 : 2
    44 Bye Groningen
    45 Ajax Bye
    47 Telstar Bye
    48 Bye Helmond
    49 PSV Bye
    51 SV Poortugaal HFC 1 : 3
    52 Bye FC Emmen
    53 RKVV Zwaluw Rijnvogels 1 : 4
    54 Bye Eindhoven FC
    55 Excelsior Bye
    56 Bye Venlo
    57 Waalwijk Bye
    58 Bye Vitesse
    59 Den Haag Bye
    60 Bye Cambuur
    61 AFC GVVV 3 : 0
    62 RKAV Volendam Blauw Geel 2 : 3
    63 SV Juliana Lisse 1 : 2
    64 Bye Utrecht

    1/32-finals

    1 De Graafschap Oss 4 : 1
    2 Sparta Nijkerk Capelle 5 : 1
    3 Winterswijk Heracles 0 : 1
    4 Nijmegen Zwolle 4 : 3
    5 Quick Boys Almere City 3 : 0
    6 De Treffers Sittard 1 : 4
    7 KVV Quick 20 ASWH 0 : 2
    8 IJsselmeervogels Heerenveen 2 : 3
    9 Noordwijk Dordrecht 2 : 1
    10 Genemuiden Willem II 2 : 3
    11 Eemdijk Rosmalen 2 : 1
    12 Barendrecht NAC Breda 2 : 1
    13 USV Hercules Sparta Rotterdam 1 : 6
    14 Bye G.A. Eagles
    15 Spakenburg Katwijk 2 : 4
    16 Bye Twente
    17 Rijnsburgse Boys Roda 3 : 1
    18 VV DOVO FC Volendam 1 : 5
    19 Maastricht Den Bosch 2 : 1
    20 Bye Feyenoord
    21 AZ Alkmaar Bye
    22 Kolping Boys Groningen 1 : 5
    23 Ajax Bye
    24 Telstar Helmond 3 : 0
    25 PSV Bye
    26 HFC FC Emmen 1 : 0
    27 Rijnvogels Eindhoven FC 0 : 7
    28 Excelsior Venlo 2 : 1
    29 Waalwijk Vitesse 3 : 1
    30 Den Haag Cambuur 1 : 4
    31 AFC Blauw Geel 3 : 1
    32 Lisse Utrecht 1 : 2

    1/16-finals

    1 De Graafschap Sparta Nijkerk 4 : 0
    2 Heracles Nijmegen 1 : 0
    3 Quick Boys Sittard 3 : 1
    4 ASWH Heerenveen 0 : 1
    5 Noordwijk Willem II 2 : 1
    6 Eemdijk Barendrecht 1 : 6
    7 Sparta Rotterdam G.A. Eagles 1 : 2
    8 Katwijk Twente 2 : 3
    9 Rijnsburgse Boys FC Volendam 2 : 0
    10 Maastricht Feyenoord 1 : 2
    11 AZ Alkmaar Groningen 3 : 1
    12 Ajax Telstar 2 : 0
    13 PSV HFC 8 : 0
    14 Eindhoven FC Excelsior 1 : 3
    15 Waalwijk Cambuur 4 : 1
    16 AFC Utrecht 0 : 8

    1/8-finals

    1 De Graafschap Heracles
    2 Quick Boys Heerenveen
    3 Noordwijk Barendrecht
    4 G.A. Eagles Twente
    5 Rijnsburgse Boys Feyenoord
    6 AZ Alkmaar Ajax
    7 PSV Excelsior
    8 Waalwijk Utrecht

    Dutch KNVB Beker Outrights

    1. PSV: 2.75 (28.06%)

    2. Feyenoord: 3.2 (24.11%)

    3. Ajax: 4.5 (17.15%)

    4. AZ Alkmaar: 10.67 (7.23%)

    5. Twente: 11.67 (6.61%)

    6. Heerenveen: 16.67 (4.63%)

    7. Utrecht: 16.67 (4.63%)

    8. G.A. Eagles: 25.67 (3.01%)

    9. Heracles: 49 (1.57%)

    10. Waalwijk: 97.33 (0.79%)

    11. De Graafschap: 97.33 (0.79%)

    12. Excelsior: 97.33 (0.79%)

    13. Jong PSV: 251.8 (0.31%)

    14. Ajax (Am): 252.7 (0.31%)

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