Bahia vs Cruzeiro predictions, May 09, 2026

Score, Highlights

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As EC Bahia prepares to host Cruzeiro MG on May 9, 2026, fans can expect an intriguing matchup in the Brazilian Serie A. Bahia has struggled recently, securing only one win from their last five matches, which has placed them in a precarious position. Their defense will need to tighten against a Cruzeiro side that has enjoyed a resurgence, winning three of their last five encounters.

Tactically, Bahia will likely focus on enhancing their ball possession to control the game tempo, while Cruzeiro’s recent form suggests they may adopt a more aggressive approach, leveraging quick transitions and counter-attacks to exploit any defensive vulnerabilities.

The bookmakers offer odds of 2.19 for a Bahia win, contrasting with 3.23 for an away victory, highlighting the competitive nature of this fixture. Our model predicts a closely contested match, favoring a 43.8% probability for a home win, a 30.6% chance for a draw, and a 27.4% likelihood for an away triumph, with a projected final score of 1:1.

Ultimately, this match promises to be a critical encounter for both teams, and fans should anticipate a fiercely fought battle on the pitch.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-03T13:52:03+00:00.

Bahia 42.3%

Draw 29.3%

Cruzeiro 28.4%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A Bahia: 2.3% Cruzeiro: 0.51%

Watch and Bet Bahia – Cruzeiro available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.2	3.2
	2.24	3.34	3.38	Watch and Bet
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.26	3.16	3.42
	2.21	3.25	3.3

Latest Results

25.04.26 EC Bahia – Santos FC – 2:2 22.04.26 EC Bahia – Clube Do Remo – 1:3 19.04.26 Flamengo RJ – EC Bahia – 2:0 11.04.26 Mirassol – EC Bahia – 1:2 05.04.26 EC Bahia – Palmeiras – 1:2

02.05.26 Cruzeiro MG – Atlético Mineiro – 1:3 28.04.26 Cruzeiro MG – Boca Juniors – 1:0 25.04.26 Clube Do Remo – Cruzeiro MG – 0:1 22.04.26 Goiás EC – Cruzeiro MG – 2:2 18.04.26 Cruzeiro MG – Grêmio RS – 2:0

Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 1.

Bahia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cruzeiro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bahia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).

Latest Head To Head

15.09.25 EC Bahia – Cruzeiro MG – 1:2 17.04.25 Cruzeiro MG – EC Bahia – 3:0 18.10.24 Cruzeiro MG – EC Bahia – 1:1 23.06.24 EC Bahia – Cruzeiro MG – 4:1 25.10.23 Cruzeiro MG – EC Bahia – 3:0

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palmeiras	14	10	3	1	24:11	13	33
2	Flamengo RJ	12	8	2	2	24:10	14	26
3	Fluminense	13	8	2	3	23:16	7	26
4	Sao Paulo	13	7	2	4	17:11	6	23
5	Athletico-PR	14	7	2	5	20:15	5	23
6	Bahia	12	6	3	3	17:14	3	21
7	Coritiba	14	5	4	5	16:17	-1	19
8	Vitoria	13	5	3	5	16:18	-2	18
9	Bragantino	13	5	2	6	15:15	0	17
10	Botafogo RJ	13	5	2	6	25:26	-1	17
11	Atletico-MG	14	5	2	7	17:20	-3	17
12	Gremio	14	4	5	5	15:16	-1	17
13	Vasco	13	4	4	5	18:19	-1	16
14	Cruzeiro	14	4	4	6	18:24	-6	16
15	Corinthians	13	3	6	4	9:11	-2	15
16	Santos	14	3	6	5	19:22	-3	15
17	Internacional	13	3	5	5	12:14	-2	14
18	Remo	14	2	5	7	15:24	-9	11
19	Mirassol	12	2	3	7	13:18	-5	9
20	Chapecoense-SC	12	1	5	6	12:24	-12	8

Brazilian Serie A Outrights

1. Flamengo RJ: 2 (42.22%)

2. Palmeiras: 2.03 (41.63%)

3. Fluminense: 11.29 (7.48%)

4. Bahia: 36.71 (2.3%)

5. Sao Paulo: 51.57 (1.64%)

6. Botafogo RJ: 128.71 (0.66%)

7. Atletico-MG: 140.2 (0.6%)

8. Cruzeiro: 164.43 (0.51%)

9. Athletico-PR: 200.14 (0.42%)

10. Corinthians: 293 (0.29%)

11. Bragantino: 357.29 (0.24%)

12. Coritiba: 378.71 (0.22%)

13. Gremio: 385.86 (0.22%)

14. Vasco: 385.86 (0.22%)

15. Internacional: 393 (0.21%)

16. Santos: 393 (0.21%)

17. Mirassol: 414.43 (0.2%)

18. Vitoria: 414.43 (0.2%)

19. CA Metropolitano: 450 (0.19%)

20. Remo: 485.86 (0.17%)

21. Chapecoense-SC: 557.29 (0.15%)

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