Bahia vs Vitória Salvador predictions, Mar 11, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

7 months ago

Brazilian Serie A, on Wednesday, 7:00 pm ET

Score, Highlights

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As EC Bahia prepares to host EC Vitória Salvador on March 11, 2026, both teams are keen to secure valuable points in the Brazilian Serie A. Bahia enters this match with a mixed record, having won 2 of their last 5 matches, signaling some inconsistency. However, their home advantage could play a crucial role in boosting their performance against a local rival.

On the other hand, EC Vitória Salvador has shown a solid recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 outings. This confidence could provide them with a tactical edge, allowing them to exploit any defensive lapses from Bahia. With the bookmakers offering odds of 1.73 for a Bahia win and 4.65 for a Vitória victory, the game appears to lean slightly toward the home side.

Predictions suggest a 55.3% probability of a home win, given Bahia’s familiarity with their venue, while a draw holds a 27.8% chance and an away win rests at 19.2%. Ultimately, while Bahia’s home advantage is significant, Vitória’s recent form cannot be underestimated. Fans should brace for a tightly contested match, where tactical discipline and execution will be paramount for both sides.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-05T07:52:02+00:00.

Bahia
54.2%

Draw
26.1%

Vitória
19.7%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A Bahia: 8.23% Vitoria: 0.69%

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Betting Odds

1	X	2
1.75	3.75	4.87
1.75	3.55	4.45
1.76	3.69	4.94	Watch and Bet
1.73	3.5	4.5
1.73	3.72	4.85
1.74	3.65	4.8

Latest Results

28.02.26 EC Bahia – SD Juazeirense – 4:2
25.02.26 EC Bahia – OHiggins – 2:2 penalties
21.02.26 Atlético de Alagoinhas – EC Bahia – 2:4
18.02.26 OHiggins – EC Bahia – 1:0
14.02.26 EC Bahia – EC Jacuipense – 2:2

01.03.26 EC Vitória Salvador – EC Jacuipense – 2:1 penalties
22.02.26 EC Vitória Salvador – Galícia EC – 3:0
18.02.26 EC Vitória Salvador – Bahia de Feira – 1:0
10.02.26 EC Vitória Salvador – Flamengo RJ – 1:2
07.02.26 AD Jequié – EC Vitória Salvador – 2:2

Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.

Bahia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vitória is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vitória has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bahia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1:0.5).

Latest Head To Head

25.01.26 EC Vitória Salvador – EC Bahia – 0:1
16.10.25 EC Vitória Salvador – EC Bahia – 2:1
18.05.25 EC Bahia – EC Vitória Salvador – 2:1
23.03.25 EC Vitória Salvador – EC Bahia – 1:1
16.03.25 EC Bahia – EC Vitória Salvador – 2:0

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palmeiras	4	3	1	0	12:5	7	10
2	Sao Paulo	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
3	Corinthians	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
4	Bahia	3	2	1	0	4:2	2	7
5	Fluminense	4	2	1	1	5:4	1	7
6	Athletico-PR	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
7	Bragantino	4	2	1	1	3:3	0	7
8	Gremio	4	2	0	2	8:8	0	6
9	Chapecoense-SC	3	1	2	0	8:6	2	5
10	Mirassol	3	1	2	0	6:5	1	5
11	Flamengo RJ	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4
12	Coritiba	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
13	Santos	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4
14	Botafogo RJ	3	1	0	2	7:6	1	3
15	Vitoria	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3
16	Remo	4	0	3	1	6:8	-2	3
17	Atletico-MG	4	0	2	2	6:8	-2	2
18	Internacional	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2
19	Cruzeiro	4	0	2	2	4:9	-5	2
20	Vasco	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1

Brazilian Serie A Outrights

1. Palmeiras: 2.84 (28.54%)

2. Flamengo RJ: 3.08 (26.26%)

3. Fluminense: 9 (9%)

4. Bahia: 9.83 (8.23%)

5. Cruzeiro: 17.33 (4.67%)

6. Sao Paulo: 18.33 (4.42%)

7. Botafogo RJ: 19.67 (4.12%)

8. Corinthians: 24 (3.37%)

9. Gremio: 36.33 (2.23%)

10. Mirassol: 65.67 (1.23%)

11. Bragantino: 67 (1.21%)

12. Atletico-MG: 70.33 (1.15%)

13. Santos: 83.67 (0.97%)

14. Internacional: 100.33 (0.81%)

15. Athletico-PR: 100.33 (0.81%)

16. Coritiba: 117 (0.69%)

17. Vitoria: 117 (0.69%)

18. Vasco: 117 (0.69%)

19. Chapecoense-SC: 158.67 (0.51%)

20. Remo: 200.33 (0.4%)

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