Basket Trento vs Ratiopharm Ulm predictions, Jan 14, 2025

Eurocup, on Tuesday,

Basket Trento

Ulm

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### Eurocup Basketball Match Preview: Basket Trento vs. Ratiopharm Ulm

#### Date: January 14, 2025
#### Venue: PalaTrento, Trento, Italy

Basket Trento hosts Ratiopharm Ulm in what promises to be an exciting Eurocup matchup. As the game approaches, both teams find themselves in contrasting forms, which could significantly impact the outcome.

#### Recent Form:
– **Basket Trento:** Unfortunately, Trento has been struggling, coming into this match with a disheartening record of 0 wins and 5 losses in their last five outings. This poor run has undoubtedly affected their confidence, and they will be looking to turn their fortunes around on home soil. The pressure will be on them to deliver a strong performance in front of their fans.

– **Ratiopharm Ulm:** On the other hand, Ulm is riding a wave of momentum, having secured 4 wins out of their last 5 games. This winning streak has positioned them as a formidable opponent, and they will be keen to continue their good form, particularly in a Eurocup matchup where every victory counts towards progression in the tournament.

#### Head-to-Head & Match Dynamics:
The historical performances indicate that Ulm has had an edge in recent encounters, but playing at home may provide Trento with the necessary boost. The environment in PalaTrento can be electric, and home court advantage can often influence the game’s dynamics positively for the local team.

#### Betting Odds:
– **Bookmakers’ Odds:** The odds indicate Ratiopharm Ulm as the favorites (1.69) compared to Basket Trento (2.14). This aligns with their recent performances where Ulm has established itself as a reliable team, whereas Trento struggles to find their rhythm.

#### Probabilities:
Using a machine learning estimation, the probabilities for this match are suggested as follows:
– **Basket Trento Win:** 43.3%
– **Draw:** N/A (not applicable in basketball)
– **Ratiopharm Ulm Win:** 56.7%

These probabilities illustrate that while Trento has a fighting chance, the betting and statistical analyses favor Ulm, who appears to be the more likely victor in this encounter.

#### Key Players to Watch:
– **Basket Trento:** Trento will need to rely on their star players to find solutions in scoring and defense. Look out for their playmakers who must step up to break Ulm’s rhythm.

– **Ratiopharm Ulm:** Ulm’s key scorers and playmakers are in great form, and they will look to exploit Trento’s defensive lapses. Their recent cohesive play makes them a tough adversary to break down.

#### Conclusion:
As Basket Trento seeks to halt their losing streak, they’ll face a challenging task against a confident Ratiopharm Ulm team. While home court advantage may provide Trento with some hope, Ulm’s current form suggests they will be the favorites heading into this crucial Eurocup fixture. Fans can expect a thrilling contest with plenty on the line for both teams.

Trento 44.1% Ulm 55.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 83:86

Outrights of Eurocup Ulm: 4.46% Trento: 0.34%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Bwin 2.15 1.65
betsson 2.14 1.69
MarathonBet 2.05 1.65
Best for US Customers 2.14 1.69

Latest Results

11.01.25 Basket Brescia – Basket Trento – 83:77
07.01.25 Hapoel Tel Aviv BC – Basket Trento – 89:68
05.01.25 Basket Trento – Vanoli-Braga Cremona – 76:80
03.01.25 Basket Trento – Bahcesehir Koleji Basketball – 69:73
29.12.24 Derthona Basket Tortona – Basket Trento – 91:77
11.01.25 Ratiopharm Ulm – Rostock Seawolves – 82:72
07.01.25 Ratiopharm Ulm – Gran Canaria 2014 – 76:83
04.01.25 Mitteldeutscher BC – Ratiopharm Ulm – 89:92
02.01.25 Brose Bamberg – Ratiopharm Ulm – 77:98
26.12.24 Ratiopharm Ulm – Besiktas Basketball – 104:87

Facts

  • Trento has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins – 0).
  • Ulm is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 4).
  • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Trento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 406:399 (average 81.2:79.8).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Trento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 160:151 (average 80:75.5).

    Latest Head To Head

    30.10.24 Ratiopharm Ulm – Basket Trento – 84:82
    06.12.23 Basket Trento – Ratiopharm Ulm – 83:85
    03.10.23 Ratiopharm Ulm – Basket Trento – 80:70
    27.12.17 Ratiopharm Ulm – Basket Trento – 84:94
    08.11.17 Basket Trento – Ratiopharm Ulm – 77:66

    Standings

    2024/25

    Group A

    Pl W L PCT
    1 Bahcesehir Kol 14 12 2 1164:1024 0.857
    2 Gran Canaria 14 10 4 1090:1026 0.714
    3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv 14 9 5 1228:1101 0.643
    4 Ulm 14 9 5 1219:1220 0.643
    5 Besiktas 14 7 7 1200:1190 0.500
    6 BC Wolves 14 7 7 1159:1216 0.500
    7 Buducnost 14 6 8 1162:1167 0.429
    8 Joventut Badalona 14 5 9 1109:1165 0.357
    9 Trento 14 4 10 1082:1178 0.286
    10 Trefl Sopot 14 1 13 1061:1187 0.071

    Group B

    Pl W L PCT
    1 Valencia 14 12 2 1352:1140 0.857
    2 Hapoel Jerusalem 14 9 5 1197:1115 0.643
    3 Cedevita Olimpija 13 8 5 1104:1084 0.615
    4 Venezia 14 8 6 1140:1160 0.571
    5 Turk Telekom 14 8 6 1129:1154 0.571
    6 JL Bourg 14 7 7 1216:1170 0.500
    7 Cluj-Napoca 14 7 7 1240:1242 0.500
    8 Lietkabelis 13 4 9 1055:1110 0.308
    9 Aris 14 3 11 1067:1150 0.214
    10 Hamburg 14 3 11 1087:1262 0.214

    Eurocup Outrights

    1. Valencia: 3 (25.74%)

    2. Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 4.5 (17.16%)

    3. Bahcesehir Koleji: 7 (11.03%)

    4. Gran Canaria: 9 (8.58%)

    5. Hapoel Jerusalem: 15.67 (4.93%)

    6. Ulm: 17.33 (4.46%)

    7. Turk Telekom: 18 (4.29%)

    8. Cedevita Olimpija: 22.33 (3.46%)

    9. Besiktas: 22.33 (3.46%)

    10. Venezia: 26 (2.97%)

    11. BC Wolves: 27.5 (2.81%)

    12. CSU Cluj Napoca: 31.33 (2.46%)

    13. Wolves: 32.75 (2.36%)

    14. JL Bourg: 36.33 (2.13%)

    15. Buducnost: 51 (1.51%)

    16. Joventut Badalona: 61 (1.27%)

    17. Lietkabelis: 184.33 (0.42%)

    18. Trento: 226 (0.34%)

    19. Aris: 251 (0.31%)

    20. Hamburg Towers: 251 (0.31%)

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