Benfica vs Barcelona predictions, Jan 21, 2025

UEFA Champions League, on Tuesday,

Benfica

Barcelona

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

### UEFA Champions League Match Preview: SL Benfica vs. FC Barcelona

**Date:** January 21, 2025
**Location:** Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal

As two of Europe’s iconic football clubs prepare to clash in the UEFA Champions League, SL Benfica hosts FC Barcelona in what promises to be an exciting encounter. Both teams come into this match with positive momentum, having secured three victories in their last five matches.

#### Team Form

**SL Benfica:**
– Recent Performance: Benfica has shown promising form lately, winning 3 of their last 5 matches. Their attacking style and solid performances could serve them well against the formidable Barcelona side.
– Key Players: Watch out for their attacking talents who have been instrumental in securing wins and will look to exploit any defensive lapses from Barcelona.

**FC Barcelona:**
– Recent Performance: Similarly, Barcelona has also won 3 of their last 5 matches and will be keen to continue their strong showing in the tournament. With a deep squad and tactical flexibility, they pose a significant threat.
– Key Players: Barcelona’s star players are known for their ability to change the game at any moment, so maintaining discipline will be crucial for Benfica’s defense.

#### Head-to-Head
In recent encounters, Barcelona has historically had the upper hand against Benfica, often capitalizing on their superior technical ability and European experience. This match is an opportunity for Benfica to assert their strength on home soil.

#### Bookmakers’ Odds
According to betting markets, the bookmakers have set the odds at 3.39 for a Benfica victory, 1.97 for a Barcelona win, and an estimated draw at around 24.1%. The odds suggest Barcelona is favored to win, aligning with their strong track record in European competitions.

#### Probability Estimates
Based on statistical modeling, the probability distribution is estimated at 27.3% for Benfica winning, 24.1% for a draw, and 50.1% for a Barcelona victory. This highlights that while Barcelona is the favorite, Benfica has a respectable chance, especially playing at home.

#### Expected Result
The most likely outcome, as predicted by bookmakers and statistical analysis, points towards a narrow 2-1 victory for Barcelona. However, given Benfica’s home advantage and current form, an upset is certainly within the realm of possibility.

### Conclusion
As the players take the pitch at the iconic Estádio da Luz, fans can expect a thrilling match filled with skill, strategy, and intensity. Will Barcelona continue their dominance, or can Benfica deliver a statement performance at home? Only time will tell as the two teams battle it out on January 21, 2025.

Benfica 28.2% Draw 23.3% Barcelona 48.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of UEFA Champions League Barcelona: 9.77% Benfica: 0.81%

!!!!! Information about video stream is absent for now

Betting Odds

1 X 2
Bwin 3.3 3.9 2
bet_at_home 3.31 4.01 2.04
betsson 3.5 4.25 1.95
MarathonBet 3.52 4.25 2
WilliamHill 3.3 3.9 1.95
Pinnacle 3.39 4.21 1.95
Best for US Customers 3.5 4.25 1.95

Latest Results

14.01.25 SC Farense – SL Benfica – 1:3
11.01.25 Sporting Lisbon – SL Benfica – 1:2 penalties
08.01.25 SL Benfica – SC Braga – 3:0
04.01.25 SL Benfica – SC Braga – 1:2
29.12.24 Sporting Lisbon – SL Benfica – 1:0
12.01.25 Real Madrid – FC Barcelona – 2:5
08.01.25 Athletic Bilbao – FC Barcelona – 0:2
04.01.25 UD Barbastro – FC Barcelona – 0:4
21.12.24 FC Barcelona – Atlético Madrid – 1:2
15.12.24 FC Barcelona – CD Leganés – 0:1

Facts

  • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
  • Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent – last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • Barcelona will have a mini benefit in this match.
  • Last 4 head-to-head matches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    23.11.21 FC Barcelona – SL Benfica – 0:0
    29.09.21 SL Benfica – FC Barcelona – 3:0
    05.12.12 FC Barcelona – SL Benfica – 0:0
    02.10.12 SL Benfica – FC Barcelona – 0:2

    Standings

    League phase

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Liverpool 6 6 0 0 13:1 12 18
    2 Barcelona 6 5 0 1 21:7 14 15
    3 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 11:2 9 13
    4 Bayer Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 12:5 7 13
    5 Aston Villa 6 4 1 1 9:3 6 13
    6 Inter 6 4 1 1 7:1 6 13
    7 Brest 6 4 1 1 10:6 4 13
    8 Lille 6 4 1 1 10:7 3 13
    9 Dortmund 6 4 0 2 18:9 9 12
    10 Bayern Munich 6 4 0 2 17:8 9 12
    11 Atl. Madrid 6 4 0 2 14:10 4 12
    12 AC Milan 6 4 0 2 12:9 3 12
    13 Atalanta 6 3 2 1 13:4 9 11
    14 Juventus 6 3 2 1 9:5 4 11
    15 Benfica 6 3 1 2 10:7 3 10
    16 Monaco 6 3 1 2 12:10 2 10
    17 Sporting CP 6 3 1 2 11:9 2 10
    18 Feyenoord 6 3 1 2 14:15 -1 10
    19 Club Brugge KV 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
    20 Real Madrid 6 3 0 3 12:11 1 9
    21 Celtic 6 2 3 1 10:10 0 9
    22 Manchester City 6 2 2 2 13:9 4 8
    23 PSV 6 2 2 2 10:8 2 8
    24 D. Zagreb 6 2 2 2 10:15 -5 8
    25 PSG 6 2 1 3 6:6 0 7
    26 Stuttgart 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
    27 Shakhtar Donetsk 6 1 1 4 5:13 -8 4
    28 Sparta Prague 6 1 1 4 7:18 -11 4
    29 Sturm Graz 6 1 0 5 4:9 -5 3
    30 Girona 6 1 0 5 4:10 -6 3
    31 Crvena zvezda 6 1 0 5 10:19 -9 3
    32 Salzburg 6 1 0 5 3:18 -15 3
    33 Bologna 6 0 2 4 1:7 -6 2
    34 RB Leipzig 6 0 0 6 6:13 -7 0
    35 Slovan Bratislava 6 0 0 6 5:21 -16 0
    36 Young Boys 6 0 0 6 3:22 -19 0

    UEFA Champions League Outrights

    1. Liverpool: 5 (16.49%)

    2. Arsenal: 6.5 (12.68%)

    3. Real Madrid: 6.72 (12.27%)

    4. Bayern Munich: 8.01 (10.29%)

    5. Barcelona: 8.44 (9.77%)

    6. Manchester City: 9.01 (9.15%)

    7. Inter: 15.01 (5.49%)

    8. Bayer Leverkusen: 21.02 (3.92%)

    9. Atl. Madrid: 26.03 (3.17%)

    10. Atalanta: 34.41 (2.4%)

    11. PSG: 41.06 (2.01%)

    12. Juventus: 41.48 (1.99%)

    13. Aston Villa: 41.48 (1.99%)

    14. AC Milan: 51.57 (1.6%)

    15. Dortmund: 51.57 (1.6%)

    16. Sporting Lisbon: 102.14 (0.81%)

    17. Lille: 102.14 (0.81%)

    18. Benfica: 102.14 (0.81%)

    19. Monaco: 152.71 (0.54%)

    20. Brest: 203.24 (0.41%)

    21. PSV: 203.24 (0.41%)

    22. VfB Stuttgart: 253.8 (0.32%)

    23. Feyenoord: 253.8 (0.32%)

    24. Celtic: 253.8 (0.32%)

    25. Club Brugge: 506.47 (0.16%)

    26. Shakhtar: 1011.64 (0.08%)

    27. Din. Zagreb: 1011.64 (0.08%)

    28. Bologna: 2526.25 (0.03%)

    29. Girona: 5047.63 (0.02%)

    30. Salzburg: 5047.63 (0.02%)

    31. Crvena zvezda: 5047.63 (0.02%)

    32. Sparta Prague: 5047.63 (0.02%)

    33. Sturm Graz: 5047.63 (0.02%)

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