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Benfica vs Real Madrid predictions, Feb 17, 2026

UEFA Champions League, on Tuesday,

Score, Highlights

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As SL Benfica prepares to host Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on February 17, 2026, both teams arrive with contrasting recent forms that could dictate the match’s outcome. Benfica has secured victories in three of their last five matches, displaying resilience and tactical discipline, especially at home. Their approach emphasizes solid defensive organization coupled with counter-attacking threats, which may create opportunities against a quality opponent.

Real Madrid, on the other hand, boasts an impressive record, winning four out of their last five games. Known for their attacking prowess and high press, Madrid often capitalizes on mistakes made by opponents, allowing them to dominate possession and create scoring chances. Their ability to exploit the wings and utilize pace can pose significant challenges for Benfica’s backline.

Bookmakers currently favor Real Madrid with odds of 1.91 for an away win, reflecting a probability of 51.6% based on predictive models. In contrast, Benfica sits at 3.67 for a home win, with a probability of 25.5%. The predicted final score is 1:2, indicating a tight affair but favoring the visitors. While both teams have their strengths, the outcome remains uncertain in this competitive clash.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-11T07:52:03+00:00.

Benfica
25.6%
Draw
24.2%
Real
50.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of UEFA Champions League Real Madrid: 6.89% Benfica: 0.81%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
3.61 3.98 1.91
3.7 4.05 1.92
3.86 4.06 1.96
3.6 3.7 1.91
3.69 4.12 1.93
3.66 4 1.86

Latest Results

08.02.26 SL Benfica – FC Alverca – 2:1
01.02.26 CD Tondela – SL Benfica – 0:0
28.01.26 SL Benfica – Real Madrid – 4:2
25.01.26 SL Benfica – Estrela da Amadora – 4:0
21.01.26 Juventus – SL Benfica – 2:0
08.02.26 CF Valencia – Real Madrid – 0:2
01.02.26 Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano – 2:1
28.01.26 SL Benfica – Real Madrid – 4:2
24.01.26 Villarreal CF – Real Madrid – 0:2
20.01.26 Real Madrid – AS Monaco – 6:1

Facts

  • First leg.
  • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
  • Real will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 4.5:2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 4.5:2).

    Latest Head To Head

    28.01.26 SL Benfica – Real Madrid – 4:2
    27.07.12 SL Benfica – Real Madrid – 5:2

    Standings

    League phase

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 23:4 19 24
    2 Bayern Munich 8 7 0 1 22:8 14 21
    3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 20:8 12 18
    4 Tottenham 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
    5 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 22:14 8 16
    6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
    7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
    8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 15:9 6 16
    9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21:12 9 15
    10 Inter 8 5 0 3 15:7 8 15
    11 PSG 8 4 2 2 21:11 10 14
    12 Newcastle 8 4 2 2 17:7 10 14
    13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 14:10 4 13
    14 Atl. Madrid 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
    15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
    16 Bayer Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 13:14 -1 12
    17 Dortmund 8 3 2 3 19:17 2 11
    18 Olympiacos Piraeus 8 3 2 3 10:14 -4 11
    19 Club Brugge KV 8 3 1 4 15:17 -2 10
    20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
    21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 8:14 -6 10
    22 Qarabag 8 3 1 4 13:21 -8 10
    23 Bodo/Glimt 8 2 3 3 14:15 -1 9
    24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 10:12 -2 9
    25 Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
    26 Pafos 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
    27 Royale Union SG 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
    28 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
    29 Ath Bilbao 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
    30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
    31 FC Copenhagen 8 2 2 4 12:21 -9 8
    32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
    33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
    34 Slavia Prague 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
    35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
    36 Kairat Almaty 8 0 1 7 7:22 -15 1

    UEFA Champions League Outrights

    1. Arsenal: 4.5 (18.12%)

    2. Bayern Munich: 5.53 (14.73%)

    3. Manchester City: 8.07 (10.11%)

    4. Barcelona: 8.07 (10.11%)

    5. PSG: 9.33 (8.73%)

    6. Liverpool: 10.47 (7.79%)

    7. Real Madrid: 11.83 (6.89%)

    8. Chelsea: 18.17 (4.49%)

    9. Inter: 29.33 (2.78%)

    10. Tottenham: 34 (2.4%)

    11. Atl. Madrid: 36.17 (2.25%)

    12. Newcastle Utd: 40.83 (2%)

    13. Sporting CP: 58.67 (1.39%)

    14. Juventus: 71 (1.15%)

    15. Dortmund: 76.83 (1.06%)

    16. Atalanta: 80.17 (1.02%)

    17. Bayer Leverkusen: 83.5 (0.98%)

    18. Benfica: 100.17 (0.81%)

    19. Galatasaray: 108.5 (0.75%)

    20. Monaco: 112.67 (0.72%)

    21. Club Brugge: 150.17 (0.54%)

    22. Olympiacos Piraeus: 183.5 (0.44%)

    23. Bodo/Glimt: 208.5 (0.39%)

    24. Qarabag Agdam: 233.5 (0.35%)

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