Birmingham City vs Leeds United predictions, Feb 15, 2026

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As Birmingham City prepares to host Leeds United in the FA Cup on February 15, 2026, both teams arrive with encouraging recent form. Birmingham City has clinched victories in 3 of their last 5 outings, showcasing a resilient and competitive spirit. Conversely, Leeds United mirrors this momentum, also recording 3 wins in their previous 5 matches, indicating their capability to perform under pressure.

Analyzing the bookmakers’ odds reveals a favoring tilt towards Leeds, with odds of 2.05 for an away win compared to Birmingham’s home win odds at 3.46. This suggests a perception of Leeds’ greater ability to capitalize on visiting conditions. Our model estimates a 26.7% chance of a home victory for Birmingham, a 27.7% likelihood of a draw, and ultimately a 46.3% probability of an away win for Leeds.

Both sides exhibit robust tactical strengths, with Birmingham’s solid defensive structure coupled with Leeds’ dynamic attacking style, promising an engaging contest. While predictions forecast a potential 1:1 draw, the unpredictable nature of cup competitions means that both teams possess paths to victory. Fans can expect an exciting clash as they vie for progression in the FA Cup.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-08T12:52:02+00:00.

Birmingham 27.2%

Draw 26.7%

Leeds 46.1%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of English FA Cup Leeds: 2.87% Birmingham: 0.68%

Watch and Bet Birmingham – Leeds available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	3.51	3.57	2.06
	3.45	3.55	2.08
	3.5	3.5	2.02	Watch and Bet
	3.3	3.3	2
	3.48	3.62	2.05
	3.4	3.5	1.96

Latest Results

07.02.26 Birmingham City – Leicester City – 2:1 31.01.26 Oxford United – Birmingham City – 0:2 24.01.26 Birmingham City – Stoke City – 1:1 20.01.26 Sheffield Wednesday – Birmingham City – 0:2 17.01.26 Swansea City – Birmingham City – 1:1

06.02.26 Leeds United – Nottingham Forest – 3:1 31.01.26 Leeds United – Arsenal FC – 0:4 26.01.26 Everton – Leeds United – 1:1 17.01.26 Leeds United – Fulham FC – 1:0 11.01.26 Derby County – Leeds United – 1:3

Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Leeds could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).

Latest Head To Head

01.01.24 Leeds United – Birmingham City – 3:0 12.08.23 Birmingham City – Leeds United – 1:0 29.12.19 Birmingham City – Leeds United – 4:5 19.10.19 Leeds United – Birmingham City – 1:0 06.04.19 Birmingham City – Leeds United – 1:0

Standings

Draw

Main

1/128-finals

1	Liverpool	Bye
3	Peterborough	Cardiff	1 : 0
4	Barnsley	York City	3 : 2
5	Manchester Utd	Bye
8	Bye	Brighton
9	Stoke	Bye
12	Bye	Coventry
13	Fulham	Bye
16	Bye	Middlesbrough
17	Colchester	MK Dons	2 : 3
18	Oldham	Northampton	3 : 1
20	Bye	Oxford Utd
21	Everton	Bye
24	Bye	Sunderland
25	Stevenage	Chesterfield	0 : 1
26	Crewe	Doncaster	1 : 2
28	Bye	Southampton
29	Cheltenham	Bradford City	1 : 0
30	Buxton	Chatham	2 : 1
32	Bye	Leicester
33	Wrexham	Bye
36	Bye	Nottingham
37	Ipswich	Bye
39	Blackpool	Scunthorpe	1 : 0
40	Reading	Carlisle	2 : 3
41	Portsmouth	Bye
44	Bye	Arsenal
45	Preston	Bye
47	Wigan	Hemel Hempstead	2 : 1
48	Spennymoor	Barrow	0 : 2
49	Hull	Bye
52	Bye	Blackburn
53	Charlton	Bye
56	Bye	Chelsea
57	Boreham Wood	Crawley	3 : 0
58	Newport	Gillingham	3 : 2
59	Brackley Town	Notts Co	3 : 2
60	Burton	St. Albans	6 : 0
61	West Ham	Bye
64	Bye	QPR
65	Burnley	Bye
68	Bye	Millwall
69	Sheffield Utd	Bye
71	Gainsborough	Accrington	1 : 2
72	Mansfield	Harrogate	3 : 2
73	Norwich	Bye
75	AFC Wimbledon	Gateshead	0 : 2
76	Eastleigh	Walsall	0 : 3
77	Swansea	Bye
80	Bye	West Brom
81	Port Vale	Maldon & Tiptree	5 : 1
82	Bromley	Bristol Rovers	1 : 2
83	Fleetwood	Barnet	2 : 1
84	Luton	Forest Green	4 : 3
85	Bristol City	Bye
88	Bye	Watford
89	Grimsby	Ebbsfleet	3 : 1
90	Wealdstone	Southend	1 : 0
91	Chelmsford	Braintree	4 : 1
92	Weston-super-Mare	Aldershot	2 : 1
93	Wolves	Bye
95	Sutton	AFC Telford	2 : 1
96	South Shields	Shrewsbury	1 : 3
97	Tottenham	Bye
100	Bye	Aston Villa
101	Newcastle	Bye
104	Bye	Bournemouth
105	Manchester City	Bye
107	FC Halifax	Exeter	0 : 2
108	Wycombe	Plymouth	2 : 0
109	Salford	Lincoln	2 : 1
110	Tamworth	Leyton Orient	0 : 1
111	Rotherham	Swindon	1 : 2
112	Bolton	Huddersfield	2 : 1
113	Slough	Altrincham	2 : 1
114	Macclesfield	AFC Totton	6 : 3
116	Bye	Crystal Palace
117	Sheffield Wed	Bye
120	Bye	Brentford
121	Tranmere	Stockport County	1 : 3
122	Cambridge Utd	Chester	3 : 0
124	Bye	Birmingham
125	Derby	Bye
128	Bye	Leeds

1/64-finals

1	Liverpool	Bye
2	Peterborough	Barnsley	0 : 1
3	Manchester Utd	Bye
4	Bye	Brighton
5	Stoke	Bye
6	Bye	Coventry
7	Fulham	Bye
8	Bye	Middlesbrough
9	MK Dons	Oldham	3 : 1
10	Bye	Oxford Utd
11	Everton	Bye
12	Bye	Sunderland
13	Chesterfield	Doncaster	1 : 2
14	Bye	Southampton
15	Cheltenham	Buxton	6 : 2
16	Bye	Leicester
17	Wrexham	Bye
18	Bye	Nottingham
19	Ipswich	Bye
20	Blackpool	Carlisle	4 : 1
21	Portsmouth	Bye
22	Bye	Arsenal
23	Preston	Bye
24	Wigan	Barrow	3 : 2
25	Hull	Bye
26	Bye	Blackburn
27	Charlton	Bye
28	Bye	Chelsea
29	Boreham Wood	Newport	3 : 0
30	Brackley Town	Burton	1 : 3
31	West Ham	Bye
32	Bye	QPR
33	Burnley	Bye
34	Bye	Millwall
35	Sheffield Utd	Bye
36	Accrington	Mansfield	2 : 3
37	Norwich	Bye
38	Gateshead	Walsall	0 : 2
39	Swansea	Bye
40	Bye	West Brom
41	Port Vale	Bristol Rovers	1 : 0
42	Fleetwood	Luton	3 : 2
43	Bristol City	Bye
44	Bye	Watford
45	Grimsby	Wealdstone	4 : 0
46	Chelmsford	Weston-super-Mare	0 : 2
47	Wolves	Bye
48	Sutton	Shrewsbury	1 : 2
49	Tottenham	Bye
50	Bye	Aston Villa
51	Newcastle	Bye
52	Bye	Bournemouth
53	Manchester City	Bye
54	Exeter	Wycombe	4 : 0
55	Salford	Leyton Orient	4 : 0
56	Swindon	Bolton	4 : 0
57	Slough	Macclesfield	1 : 3
58	Bye	Crystal Palace
59	Sheffield Wed	Bye
60	Bye	Brentford
61	Stockport County	Cambridge Utd	0 : 1
62	Bye	Birmingham
63	Derby	Bye
64	Bye	Leeds

1/32-finals

1	Liverpool	Barnsley	4 : 1
2	Manchester Utd	Brighton	1 : 2
3	Stoke	Coventry	1 : 0
4	Fulham	Middlesbrough	3 : 1
5	MK Dons	Oxford Utd	1 : 2
6	Everton	Sunderland	1 : 2
7	Doncaster	Southampton	2 : 3
8	Cheltenham	Leicester	0 : 2
9	Wrexham	Nottingham	4 : 3
10	Ipswich	Blackpool	2 : 1
11	Portsmouth	Arsenal	1 : 4
12	Preston	Wigan	0 : 1
13	Hull	Blackburn	1 : 0
14	Charlton	Chelsea	1 : 5
15	Boreham Wood	Burton	0 : 5
16	West Ham	QPR	2 : 1
17	Burnley	Millwall	5 : 1
18	Sheffield Utd	Mansfield	3 : 4
19	Norwich	Walsall	5 : 1
20	Swansea	West Brom	2 : 3
21	Port Vale	Fleetwood	1 : 0
22	Bristol City	Watford	5 : 1
23	Grimsby	Weston-super-Mare	3 : 2
24	Wolves	Shrewsbury	6 : 1
25	Tottenham	Aston Villa	1 : 2
26	Newcastle	Bournemouth	4 : 3
27	Manchester City	Exeter	10 : 1
28	Salford	Swindon	3 : 2
29	Macclesfield	Crystal Palace	2 : 1
30	Sheffield Wed	Brentford	0 : 2
31	Cambridge Utd	Birmingham	2 : 3
32	Derby	Leeds	1 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Liverpool	Brighton
2	Stoke	Fulham
3	Oxford Utd	Sunderland
4	Southampton	Leicester
5	Wrexham	Ipswich
6	Arsenal	Wigan
7	Hull	Chelsea
8	Burton	West Ham
9	Burnley	Mansfield
10	Norwich	West Brom
11	Port Vale	Bristol City
12	Grimsby	Wolves
13	Aston Villa	Newcastle
14	Manchester City	Salford
15	Macclesfield	Brentford
16	Birmingham	Leeds

English FA Cup Outrights

1. Manchester City: 4.5 (17.65%)

2. Arsenal: 4.93 (16.1%)

3. Liverpool: 7 (11.34%)

4. Chelsea: 8.03 (9.88%)

5. Aston Villa: 11.33 (7.01%)

6. Newcastle Utd: 14 (5.67%)

7. Brighton: 17.33 (4.58%)

8. Brentford: 23 (3.45%)

9. Fulham: 26.67 (2.98%)

10. Leeds: 27.67 (2.87%)

11. Sunderland: 32 (2.48%)

12. Wolves: 38.67 (2.05%)

13. West Ham: 41 (1.94%)

14. Burnley: 45 (1.76%)

15. Ipswich: 75.67 (1.05%)

16. Southampton: 87 (0.91%)

17. Wrexham: 93.67 (0.85%)

18. Stoke City: 93.67 (0.85%)

19. Norwich: 117 (0.68%)

20. West Brom: 117 (0.68%)

21. Birmingham: 117 (0.68%)

22. Bristol City: 117 (0.68%)

23. Leicester: 117 (0.68%)

24. Hull City: 133.67 (0.59%)

25. Oxford Utd: 150.33 (0.53%)

26. Wigan: 233.67 (0.34%)

27. Port Vale: 233.67 (0.34%)

28. Burton: 233.67 (0.34%)

29. Mansfield: 233.67 (0.34%)

30. Salford: 317 (0.25%)

31. Grimsby: 317 (0.25%)

32. Macclesfield: 400.33 (0.2%)

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