Bologna vs Roma predictions, Mar 12, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

7 months ago

UEFA Europa League, on Thursday, 1:45 pm ET

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Bologna FC prepares to host AS Roma in the UEFA Europa League on March 12, 2026, the home side enters the match with a remarkable run of form, having secured victories in all of their last five matches. This resurgence reflects Bologna’s tactical cohesion and a solid game plan, characterized by disciplined defending and efficient attacking transitions.

In contrast, AS Roma has experienced a more mixed performance, winning only two of their last five encounters. While the Giallorossi possess individual brilliance and attacking flair, their inconsistent results suggest vulnerabilities that Bologna might exploit. The away side’s recent games have seen them struggle to maintain defensive solidity against high-pressing teams, which could pose challenges in this matchup.

Bookmakers provide interesting odds, with Bologna at 3.16 for a home win and Roma favored at 2.44. Our model indicates a probability spread of 28.4% for a Bologna victory, 32.9% for a draw, and 41.3% favoring an away win.

With both teams eyeing pivotal points in the group stage, fans can expect a keenly contested match. Ultimately, while Bologna’s current form may give them an edge, Roma’s experience could swing the outcome, leaving the match finely balanced and unpredictable.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-05T17:52:03+00:00.

Bologna
30.2%

Draw
31%

Roma
38.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of UEFA Europa League AS Roma: 9.33% Bologna: 6.46%

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Betting Odds

1	X	2
3.25	3.2	2.46
3.2	3.1	2.5
3.3	3.15	2.53
3	2.9	2.45
3.16	3.07	2.44

Latest Results

02.03.26 AC Pisa – Bologna FC – 0:1
26.02.26 Bologna FC – SK Brann – 1:0
23.02.26 Bologna FC – Udinese Calcio – 1:0
19.02.26 SK Brann – Bologna FC – 0:1
15.02.26 Torino FC – Bologna FC – 1:2

01.03.26 AS Roma – Juventus – 3:3
22.02.26 AS Roma – US Cremonese – 3:0
15.02.26 SSC Napoli – AS Roma – 2:2
09.02.26 AS Roma – Cagliari Calcio – 2:0
02.02.26 Udinese Calcio – AS Roma – 1:0

Facts

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 3.

Bologna is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Roma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Latest Head To Head

23.08.25 AS Roma – Bologna FC – 1:0
12.01.25 Bologna FC – AS Roma – 2:2
10.11.24 AS Roma – Bologna FC – 2:3
22.04.24 AS Roma – Bologna FC – 1:3
17.12.23 Bologna FC – AS Roma – 2:0

Standings

Draw

Play Offs

1/16-finals

1	Ludogorets (22)	Ferencvaros (12)	0 : 2, 2 : 1
2	Braga (6)	Bye
3	Panathinaikos (20)	Plzen (14)	2 : 1, 2 : 2
4	Betis (4)	Bye
5	Din. Zagreb (23)	Genk (9)	3 : 3, 1 : 3
6	Freiburg (7)	Bye
7	PAOK (17)	Celta Vigo (16)	0 : 1, 1 : 2
8	Lyon (1)	Bye
9	Celtic (21)	Stuttgart (11)	1 : 0, 1 : 4
10	FC Porto (5)	Bye
11	Fenerbahce (19)	Nottingham (13)	2 : 1, 0 : 3
12	Midtjylland (3)	Bye
13	Brann (24)	Bologna (10)	0 : 1, 0 : 1
14	AS Roma (8)	Bye
15	Lille (18)	Crvena zvezda (15)	2 : 0, 0 : 1
16	Aston Villa (2)	Bye

1/8-finals

1	Ferencvaros (12)	Braga (6)
2	Panathinaikos (20)	Betis (4)
3	Genk (9)	Freiburg (7)
4	Celta Vigo (16)	Lyon (1)
5	Stuttgart (11)	FC Porto (5)
6	Nottingham (13)	Midtjylland (3)
7	Bologna (10)	AS Roma (8)
8	Lille (18)	Aston Villa (2)

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

TBD #1

TBD #2

UEFA Europa League Outrights

1. Aston Villa: 4 (20.99%)

2. Lyon: 8 (10.5%)

3. Betis: 9 (9.33%)

4. AS Roma: 9 (9.33%)

5. FC Porto: 10 (8.4%)

6. Nottingham: 11 (7.63%)

7. Bologna: 13 (6.46%)

8. VfB Stuttgart: 13 (6.46%)

9. Celta Vigo: 23 (3.65%)

10. Freiburg: 23 (3.65%)

11. Lille: 29 (2.9%)

12. Braga: 29 (2.9%)

13. Genk: 34 (2.47%)

14. Ferencvaros: 41 (2.05%)

15. Midtjylland: 51 (1.65%)

16. Panathinaikos: 51 (1.65%)

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