Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli predictions, Jan 17, 2026

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On January 17, 2026, Borussia Dortmund will host FC St. Pauli in an intriguing Bundesliga clash at Signal Iduna Park. Both teams come into this match having won two of their last five fixtures, reflecting a phase of moderate form.

Borussia Dortmund, with a historical pedigree in the Bundesliga, will look to leverage their home advantage. The team has shown flashes of brilliance, relying on their attacking prowess to unlock opposing defenses. Their odds of 1.36 suggest strong confidence in a home victory, supported by a model prediction indicating a 72.1% chance of winning. Dortmund’s tactical approach is likely to emphasize high pressing and swift transitions, aiming to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities.

On the other hand, FC St. Pauli, listed at odds of 9.01 for an away victory, will need to adopt a resilient strategy. They have demonstrated the capability to snatch points away, focusing on a compact defensive setup and quick counter-attacks.

Given the recent form, venue, and tactical nuances, a predicted score of 2:0 in favor of Dortmund seems plausible. However, in football, surprises can occur, making this encounter an essential watch for fans and bettors alike.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-12T03:52:02+00:00.

Borussia D 69.7%

Draw 19.3%

St. Pauli 11%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

Outrights of German Bundesliga Dortmund: 2.76% St. Pauli: 0.09%

Watch and Bet Borussia D – St. Pauli available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.95	9.3
	1.4	5.08	9.45	Watch and Bet
	1.36	4.6	8
	1.36	5.13	8.33
	1.35	5	8.5

Latest Results

09.01.26 Eintracht Frankfurt – Borussia Dortmund – 3:3 19.12.25 Borussia Dortmund – Borussia Mönchengladbach – 2:0 14.12.25 SC Freiburg – Borussia Dortmund – 1:1 10.12.25 Borussia Dortmund – Bodø Glimt – 2:2 07.12.25 Borussia Dortmund – TSG Hoffenheim – 2:0

04.01.26 FC St. Pauli – Werder Bremen – 0:0 21.12.25 Mainz 05 – FC St. Pauli – 0:0 13.12.25 FC St. Pauli – 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 2:1 06.12.25 1. FC Köln – FC St. Pauli – 1:1 02.12.25 Borussia Mönchengladbach – FC St. Pauli – 1:2

Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Borussia D is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Latest Head To Head

23.08.25 FC St. Pauli – Borussia Dortmund – 3:3 01.03.25 FC St. Pauli – Borussia Dortmund – 0:2 18.10.24 Borussia Dortmund – FC St. Pauli – 2:1 18.01.22 FC St. Pauli – Borussia Dortmund – 2:1 14.07.16 Borussia Dortmund – FC St. Pauli – 3:2

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	16	14	2	0	63:12	51	44
2	Dortmund	16	9	6	1	29:15	14	33
3	RB Leipzig	15	9	2	4	30:19	11	29
4	Bayer Leverkusen	16	9	2	5	34:24	10	29
5	Stuttgart	16	9	2	5	29:23	6	29
6	Hoffenheim	15	8	3	4	29:20	9	27
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	16	7	5	4	33:33	0	26
8	Freiburg	16	6	5	5	27:27	0	23
9	Union Berlin	16	6	4	6	22:25	-3	22
10	B. Monchengladbach	16	5	4	7	22:24	-2	19
11	FC Koln	16	4	5	7	24:26	-2	17
12	Werder Bremen	15	4	5	6	18:28	-10	17
13	Hamburger SV	16	4	4	8	17:27	-10	16
14	Wolfsburg	16	4	3	9	24:36	-12	15
15	Augsburg	16	4	2	10	17:32	-15	14
16	St. Pauli	15	3	3	9	13:26	-13	12
17	Heidenheim	16	3	3	10	15:36	-21	12
18	Mainz	16	1	6	9	15:28	-13	9

German Bundesliga Outrights

1. Bayern Munich: 1.01 (92.32%)

2. Dortmund: 33.67 (2.76%)

3. RB Leipzig: 73.67 (1.26%)

4. Bayer Leverkusen: 98.67 (0.94%)

5. Hoffenheim: 230.2 (0.4%)

6. VfB Stuttgart: 275.33 (0.34%)

7. Eintracht Frankfurt: 275.33 (0.34%)

8. Freiburg: 280.2 (0.33%)

9. 1. FC Koln: 480.2 (0.19%)

10. Werder Bremen: 580.2 (0.16%)

11. Union Berlin: 580.2 (0.16%)

12. B. Monchengladbach: 580.2 (0.16%)

13. Hamburger: 680.2 (0.14%)

14. Wolfsburg: 880.2 (0.11%)

15. Augsburg: 980.2 (0.09%)

16. Mainz: 980.2 (0.09%)

17. Heidenheim: 980.2 (0.09%)

18. St. Pauli: 980.2 (0.09%)

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