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Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays predictions, May 09, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

MLB, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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As the Boston Red Sox prepare to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays on May 9, 2026, fans can expect an intriguing match-up between two teams in contrasting recent forms. The Red Sox have managed to secure victories in 3 of their last 5 contests, showcasing a resilient offense and a solid home-field advantage. However, the Rays are riding a remarkable wave of momentum, with a flawless record in their last 5 games, characterized by a potent lineup and strong pitching performances.

The odds reflect a competitive atmosphere, with bookmakers listing the Red Sox at 1.64 for a home victory and the Rays at 2.32. Our model gives a slight edge to Boston, predicting a 58% probability of a home win, while Tampa Bay is calculated at 42%.

Tactically, the Red Sox will look to leverage their home turf, relying on a combination of power hitting and strategic base running to capitalize on any pitching errors from the Rays. Conversely, Tampa Bay will aim to maintain their winning streak through aggressive starting pitching and firm defensive plays.

While both teams have their strengths, predicting the outcome remains complex, and a close contest is anticipated.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-08T19:52:03+00:00.

Boston
58.6%		 Tampa Bay
41.4%

Outrights of MLB Tampa Bay Rays: 2.01% Boston Red Sox: 1.61%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.63 2.27
1.67 2.38
1.62 2.3

Latest Results

07.05.26 Boston Red Sox – Tampa Bay Rays – 4:8
06.05.26 Detroit Tigers – Boston Red Sox – 0:4
05.05.26 Detroit Tigers – Boston Red Sox – 3:10
04.05.26 Detroit Tigers – Boston Red Sox – 4:5
03.05.26 Boston Red Sox – Houston Astros – 3:6		 07.05.26 Boston Red Sox – Tampa Bay Rays – 4:8
06.05.26 Tampa Bay Rays – Toronto Blue Jays – 3:0
05.05.26 Tampa Bay Rays – Toronto Blue Jays – 4:3
04.05.26 Tampa Bay Rays – Toronto Blue Jays – 5:1
03.05.26 Tampa Bay Rays – San Francisco Giants – 5:1

Facts

  • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 3.
  • In recent matches, Boston has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Tampa Bay is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
  • Boston is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 81:96. (average 4.1:4.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 49:41. (average 4.5:3.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    07.05.26 Boston Red Sox – Tampa Bay Rays – 4:8
    20.03.26 Tampa Bay Rays – Boston Red Sox – 2:0
    13.03.26 Boston Red Sox – Tampa Bay Rays – 7:6
    07.03.26 Boston Red Sox – Tampa Bay Rays – 2:0
    26.02.26 Boston Red Sox – Tampa Bay Rays – 7:5

    Standings

    Main

    American League

    Pl W L PCT
    1 New York Yankees 38 26 12 209:128 0.684
    2 Tampa Bay Rays 37 25 12 167:148 0.676
    3 Athletics 37 19 18 165:175 0.514
    4 Cleveland Guardians 39 20 19 162:166 0.513
    5 Detroit Tigers 38 18 20 165:159 0.474
    6 Seattle Mariners 38 18 20 153:149 0.474
    7 Chicago White Sox 37 17 20 155:171 0.459
    8 Texas Rangers 37 17 20 139:145 0.459
    9 Kansas City Royals 38 17 21 157:173 0.447
    10 Baltimore Orioles 38 17 21 174:211 0.447
    11 Toronto Blue Jays 37 16 21 147:169 0.432
    12 Boston Red Sox 38 16 22 153:164 0.421
    13 Minnesota Twins 38 16 22 183:195 0.421
    14 Los Angeles Angels 38 15 23 170:184 0.395
    15 Houston Astros 38 15 23 185:222 0.395

    National League

    Pl W L PCT
    1 Atlanta Braves 38 26 12 213:134 0.684
    2 Chicago Cubs 38 26 12 208:158 0.684
    3 Los Angeles Dodgers 37 23 14 196:119 0.622
    4 St.Louis Cardinals 37 22 15 176:176 0.595
    5 San Diego Padres 37 22 15 163:157 0.595
    6 Pittsburgh Pirates 38 21 17 185:160 0.553
    7 Milwaukee Brewers 35 19 16 181:135 0.543
    8 Cincinnati Reds 38 20 18 156:186 0.526
    9 Washington Nationals 38 18 20 205:215 0.474
    10 Arizona Diamondbacks 36 17 19 161:186 0.472
    11 Philadelphia Phillies 38 17 21 148:190 0.447
    12 Miami Marlins 38 17 21 161:167 0.447
    13 Colorado Rockies 38 15 23 163:188 0.395
    14 New York Mets 37 14 23 134:162 0.378
    15 San Francisco Giants 37 14 23 115:157 0.378

    MLB Outrights

    1. Los Angeles Dodgers: 2.9 (28.39%)

    2. New York Yankees: 6 (13.72%)

    3. Chicago Cubs: 11 (7.48%)

    4. Atlanta Braves: 12 (6.86%)

    5. Seattle Mariners: 13 (6.33%)

    6. Philadelphia Phillies: 23 (3.58%)

    7. Toronto Blue Jays: 26 (3.17%)

    8. Detroit Tigers: 26 (3.17%)

    9. Texas Rangers: 29 (2.84%)

    10. Milwaukee Brewers: 36 (2.29%)

    11. Baltimore Orioles: 36 (2.29%)

    12. San Diego Padres: 41 (2.01%)

    13. Cleveland Guardians: 41 (2.01%)

    14. Tampa Bay Rays: 41 (2.01%)

    15. New York Mets: 51 (1.61%)

    16. Boston Red Sox: 51 (1.61%)

    17. Pittsburgh Pirates: 51 (1.61%)

    18. Kansas City Royals: 61 (1.35%)

    19. Houston Astros: 67 (1.23%)

    20. Cincinnati Reds: 67 (1.23%)

    21. Athletics: 67 (1.23%)

    22. Arizona Diamondbacks: 101 (0.82%)

    23. Minnesota Twins: 126 (0.65%)

    24. St.Louis Cardinals: 126 (0.65%)

    25. San Francisco Giants: 151 (0.55%)

    26. Miami Marlins: 201 (0.41%)

    27. Los Angeles Angels: 251 (0.33%)

    28. Chicago White Sox: 251 (0.33%)

    29. Washington Nationals: 501 (0.16%)

    30. Colorado Rockies: 1001 (0.08%)

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