Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows predictions, Sep 12, 2026

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As the Brisbane Lions prepare to face the Adelaide Crows on September 12, 2026, both teams bring contrasting recent forms into this high-stakes matchup. The Lions have managed to secure victory in 3 of their last 5 games, showcasing a tenacity that could make them competitive on their home turf. However, they will be challenged by an Adelaide Crows side that has been in exceptional form, winning 4 out of their last 5 matches, highlighting their strong momentum as they approach this clash.

Tactically, the Lions will need to leverage their home advantage and focus on aggressive ball movement to disrupt the Crows’ defensive setups. In contrast, Adelaide will likely rely on their disciplined structure and fast transitions, elements that have contributed to their recent success.

Bookmaker odds favor the Lions at 1.34 for a home win, suggesting confidence in their ability to capitalize on home conditions, while the Crows are positioned at 3.1 for an away victory. Our model predicts a probability of 36.2% for a Lions win, 0.6% for a draw, and notably, 56.8% for the Crows winning. This matchup promises an intriguing contest, where both teams will seek to assert their dominance. Ultimately, while recent form and statistical models suggest clear narratives, the unpredictable nature of AFL ensures an exciting encounter is on the horizon.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-09-05T21:52:03+00:00.

Brisbane 66.8%

Draw 3.6%

Adelaide 29.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 99:81

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Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	1.36	75.00	2.95
	1.33		3

Latest Results

05.09.26 Sydney Swans – Brisbane Lions – 141:88 21.08.26 Collingwood Magpies – Brisbane Lions – 96:159 15.08.26 Brisbane Lions – Gold Coast Suns – 95:53 07.08.26 Brisbane Lions – Hawthorn Hawks – 125:58 01.08.26 Carlton Blues – Brisbane Lions – 154:78

05.09.26 Adelaide Crows – Western Bulldogs – 90:68 22.08.26 Adelaide Crows – Greater Western Sydney Giants – 157:101 14.08.26 Fremantle Dockers – Adelaide Crows – 112:88 08.08.26 Adelaide Crows – Richmond Tigers – 63:54 02.08.26 Essendon Bombers – Adelaide Crows – 73:145

Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.

In recent matches, Brisbane has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Adelaide is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Brisbane is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 1580:1896. (average 79:94.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 950:1068. (average 79.2:89).

Latest Head To Head

26.04.26 Brisbane Lions – Adelaide Crows – 127:75 06.06.25 Adelaide Crows – Brisbane Lions – 68:63 27.02.25 Brisbane Lions – Adelaide Crows – 94:97 07.07.24 Brisbane Lions – Adelaide Crows – 97:86 12.05.24 Adelaide Crows – Brisbane Lions – 90:90

Standings

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Fremantle Dockers (1)	Hawthorn Hawks (4)	40 : 72
3	Fremantle Dockers	Bye
4	Geelong Cats (5)	Carlton Blues (10)	107 : 74
5	Sydney Swans (2)	Brisbane Lions (3)	141 : 88
7	Brisbane Lions	Bye
8	Adelaide Crows (6)	Western Bulldogs (8)	90 : 68

Quarter-finals

1	Hawthorn Hawks (4)	Bye
2	Fremantle Dockers (1)	Geelong Cats (5)
3	Sydney Swans (2)	Bye
4	Brisbane Lions (3)	Adelaide Crows (6)

Semi-finals

1	Hawthorn Hawks (4)	TBD #2
2	Sydney Swans (2)	TBD #4

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