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Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks predictions, Aug 07, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

AFL, on Friday,

Score, Highlights

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As the Brisbane Lions prepare to host the Hawthorn Hawks on August 7, 2026, both teams enter the clash in commendable form. The Lions have displayed dominance, securing victory in all of their last five matches, showcasing a potent offense and a solid defensive unit. This consistency highlights their ability to adapt and overcome, making them formidable at home.

Conversely, the Hawks, with four wins in their last five outings, have proven their resilience and tactical ingenuity. Their recent performances suggest a balanced approach, blending strong ball movement with a disciplined defensive structure, which will challenge the Lions’ attack.

Bookmakers have placed the odds at 1.5 for a home win and 2.44 for an away victory, reflecting the Lions’ favorable position. Our model indicates a 62.1% probability of a home win and 37.9% probability for an away win, underscoring the Lions’ advantage but also highlighting the competitive nature of the matchup.

In conclusion, while Brisbane appears to be the favorites based on form and statistics, Hawthorn’s recent successes suggest they can present a viable challenge. As with any sporting event, unpredictable dynamics may influence the outcome, making a close contest likely.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-08-01T04:52:02+00:00.

Brisbane
59.7%		 Draw
2.7%		 Hawthorn
37.6%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.52 100.00 2.40
1.52 2.38

Latest Results

25.07.26 Brisbane Lions – Port Adelaide Power – 126:67
18.07.26 West Coast Eagles – Brisbane Lions – 69:93
12.07.26 Brisbane Lions – Essendon Bombers – 149:59
02.07.26 Geelong Cats – Brisbane Lions – 101:123
25.06.26 Brisbane Lions – Sydney Swans – 126:83		 31.07.26 Hawthorn Hawks – North Melbourne Kangaroos – 99:83
25.07.26 Hawthorn Hawks – Essendon Bombers – 132:39
18.07.26 Richmond Tigers – Hawthorn Hawks – 52:122
11.07.26 Carlton Blues – Hawthorn Hawks – 39:103
03.07.26 Hawthorn Hawks – Melbourne Demons – 90:125

Facts

  • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.
  • Brisbane is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Hawthorn is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Hawthorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Brisbane will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • We predict that Brisbane will win today’s game, with odds of 1.53.
  • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1485:1624. (average 78.2:85.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 492:413. (average 82:68.8).

    Latest Head To Head

    24.08.25 Brisbane Lions – Hawthorn Hawks – 89:79
    24.05.25 Hawthorn Hawks – Brisbane Lions – 60:93
    25.05.24 Hawthorn Hawks – Brisbane Lions – 100:75
    09.06.23 Hawthorn Hawks – Brisbane Lions – 98:73
    22.05.22 Hawthorn Hawks – Brisbane Lions – 117:112

    Standings

    2026

    Pl W D L %% Pts
    1 Fremantle Dockers 20 18 0 2 1983:1346 147.33 72
    2 Sydney Swans 20 15 0 5 2141:1653 129.52 60
    3 Hawthorn Hawks 20 14 1 5 2003:1619 123.72 58
    4 Brisbane Lions 19 13 0 6 2042:1693 120.61 52
    5 Geelong Cats 20 12 0 8 1980:1689 117.23 48
    6 Adelaide Crows 19 12 0 7 1716:1509 113.72 48
    7 Melbourne Demons 19 12 0 7 1855:1721 107.79 48
    8 Western Bulldogs 20 12 0 8 1634:1723 94.83 48
    9 Collingwood Magpies 20 11 1 8 1716:1625 105.60 46
    10 St Kilda Saints 20 9 0 11 1794:1720 104.30 36
    11 Carlton Blues 19 9 0 10 1546:1674 92.35 36
    12 GWS Giants 19 8 0 11 1709:1739 98.27 32
    13 North Melbourne 20 8 0 12 1652:1850 89.30 32
    14 Gold Coast Suns 19 7 0 12 1671:1762 94.84 28
    15 Port Adelaide Power 19 6 0 13 1510:1579 95.63 24
    16 West Coast Eagles 19 4 0 15 1342:1914 70.11 16
    17 Essendon Bombers 19 2 0 17 1307:1999 65.38 8
    18 Richmond Tigers 19 2 0 17 1224:2010 60.90 8

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