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Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar predictions, Jun 29, 2026

ATP Wimbledon, on Monday,

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As the ATP Wimbledon approaches, Camilo Ugo Carabelli faces off against Daniel Merida Aguilar in a highly anticipated match set for June 29, 2026. Playing on home soil, Carabelli will look to leverage the support of the local crowd, although he enters this match with mixed form, having won only 2 of his last 5 encounters. Despite this, he boasts a solid all-around game known for effective baseline play and strategic shot placement.

On the other hand, Aguilar has found a stronger footing in recent weeks, clinching victory in 3 of his last 5 matches. His aggressive style and powerful serve could pose significant challenges for Carabelli, particularly on the grass surface, which often favors players with strong serve-and-volley skills.

According to bookmakers, odds lean slightly in favor of Carabelli at 1.64 for a home win, compared to 2.07 for Aguilar. Predictive models suggest a 58.9% likelihood of a home victory, juxtaposed with a 41.1% chance for Aguilar to pull an upset. While the odds favor Carabelli marginally, the unpredictable nature of tennis means that both players have paths to success, making this matchup a fascinating contest for spectators and bettors alike.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-06-26T18:52:02+00:00.

Ugo Carabelli
54.4%
Merida Aguilar
45.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:1

Watch and Bet Ugo Carabelli – Merida Aguilar available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.72 2.07
1.77 2.2 Watch and Bet
1.72 2.05
1.7 2.07
1.73 2.08

Latest Results

22.06.26 Jack Pinnington Jones – Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Canceled
27.05.26 Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Andrey Rublev – 1:3
25.05.26 Emilio Nava – Camilo Ugo Carabelli – 0:3
21.05.26 Aleksandar Kovacevic – Camilo Ugo Carabelli – 2:1
20.05.26 Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Francis Tiafoe – 2:0
13.06.26 Martin Damm – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 2:0
07.06.26 Henrique Rocha – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 2:0
06.06.26 Daniel Merida Aguilar – Andrea Pellegrino – 2:1
05.06.26 Pablo Llamas Ruiz – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 0:2
03.06.26 Liam Broady – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 0:2

Facts

  • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 57. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 82.
  • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
  • Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
  • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
  • Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Qualification

    Quarter-finals

    1 Comesana F. (1) Moro Canas A. 1 : 2
    2 Moreno De Alboran N. Mayot H. 0 : 2
    3 Sanchez Izquierdo N. Kwon S. 0 : 2
    4 Brancaccio R. Gea A. (18) 0 : 2
    5 Faria J. (2) Grenier H. 2 : 0
    6 Lajal M. Pavlovic L. 0 : 2
    7 Chidekh C. Dougaz A. 0 : 2
    8 Matusevich A. (WC) Sakamoto R. (27) 1 : 2
    9 Bu Y. (3) Dellien H. 2 : 0
    10 Gomez F. A. Tabur C. 0 : 2
    11 Giustino L. Onclin G. 0 : 2
    12 Sachko V. Mochizuki S. (21) 0 : 2
    13 Wong C. (4) Gojo B. 0 : 2
    14 Andrade A. Smith C. 1 : 2
    15 Djere L. Houkes M. 2 : 0
    16 Squire H. Zheng M. (26) 0 : 2
    17 Gaston H. (5) Midon L. 2 : 1
    18 Cadenasso G. Cina F. 0 : 2
    19 Smith K. Ficovich J. P. 2 : 0
    20 Butvilas E. Echargui M. (29) 1 : 2
    21 Basilashvili N. (6) Ymer E. 1 : 2
    22 Skatov T. Barrena A. 2 : 0
    23 Guerrieri A. Goffin D. 2 : 1
    24 Boscardin Dias P. Jacquet K. (25) 0 : 2
    25 Llamas Ruiz P. (7) Added D. 2 : 0
    26 Bailly G. A. Martin Tiffon P. 0 : 2
    27 Boyer T. Olivieri G. A. 2 : 0
    28 Clarke J. Pellegrino A. (17) 1 : 2
    29 Budkov Kjaer N. (8) Reis Da Silva J. 2 : 1
    30 Dodig M. Ferreira Silva F. 2 : 1
    31 Noguchi R. Nardi L. 0 : 2
    32 Virtanen O. Martinez P. (19) 2 : 1
    33 Rocha H. (9) Mejia N. 1 : 2
    34 Tseng C. H. Heide G. 0 : 2
    35 Prado Angelo J. C. Evans D. 0 : 2
    36 Monday J. (WC) Schoolkate T. (28) 0 : 2
    37 Maestrelli F. (10) Basing M. (WC) 1 : 2
    38 Gentzsch T. Kolar Z. 2 : 0
    39 Draxl L. Bertola R. 1 : 2
    40 Crawford O. Rodionov J. (30) 0 : 2
    41 Sweeny D. (11) Roncadelli F. 2 : 0
    42 Blanch Dar. Jianu F. C. (Alt) 2 : 0
    43 Herbert P. Jubb P. (WC) 0 : 2
    44 Cecchinato M. Barrios Vera T. (20) 0 : 2
    45 Diaz Acosta F. (12) Galarneau A. 0 : 2
    46 Tarvet O. (WC) Bolt A. 2 : 0
    47 Coria F. Bonding O. (WC) 2 : 0
    48 Hsu Y. H. Sakellaridis S. (31) 0 : 2
    49 McDonald M. (13) Meligeni Alves F. 2 : 1
    50 Ceban M. (WC) Carballes Baena R. 0 : 2
    51 Uchida K. Tomic B. 0 : 2
    52 Schwaerzler J. J. O’Connell C. (32) 0 : 2
    53 Gaubas V. (14) Mmoh M. 2 : 1
    54 Zhang Z. Searle H. (WC) 0 : 2
    55 Bax F. Rodesch C. 1 : 2
    56 Neumayer L. Lajovic D. (22) 0 : 2
    57 Safiullin R. (15) McCabe J. 2 : 0
    58 Glinka D. Coppejans K. 0 : 2
    59 Kym J. Bueno G. 2 : 1
    60 Broady L. Holmgren A. (24) 1 : 2
    61 Travaglia S. (16) Mikrut L. 2 : 0
    62 Den Ouden G. Zhou Y. 0 : 2
    63 Piros Z. Ivanov I. (WC) 2 : 0
    64 Napolitano S. Harris B. (23) 0 : 2

    Semi-finals

    1 Moro Canas A. Mayot H. 2 : 0
    2 Kwon S. Gea A. (18) 2 : 1
    3 Faria J. (2) Pavlovic L. 2 : 0
    4 Dougaz A. Sakamoto R. (27) 0 : 2
    5 Bu Y. (3) Tabur C. 1 : 2
    6 Onclin G. Mochizuki S. (21) 1 : 2
    7 Gojo B. Smith C. 0 : 2
    8 Djere L. Zheng M. (26) 0 : 2
    9 Gaston H. (5) Cina F. 2 : 0
    10 Smith K. Echargui M. (29) 1 : 2
    11 Ymer E. Skatov T. 0 : 2
    12 Guerrieri A. Jacquet K. (25) 0 : 2
    13 Llamas Ruiz P. (7) Martin Tiffon P. 2 : 0
    14 Boyer T. Pellegrino A. (17) 2 : 0
    15 Budkov Kjaer N. (8) Dodig M. 2 : 0
    16 Nardi L. Virtanen O. 0 : 2
    17 Mejia N. Heide G. 2 : 0
    18 Evans D. Schoolkate T. (28) 0 : 2
    19 Basing M. Gentzsch T. 2 : 0
    20 Bertola R. Rodionov J. (30) 2 : 1
    21 Sweeny D. (11) Blanch Dar. (RET.) 1 : 1
    22 Jubb P. Barrios Vera T. (20) 1 : 2
    23 Galarneau A. Tarvet O. 0 : 2
    24 Coria F. Sakellaridis S. (31) 0 : 2
    25 McDonald M. (13) Carballes Baena R. 2 : 0
    26 Tomic B. O’Connell C. (32) 0 : 2
    27 Gaubas V. (14) Searle H. 2 : 0
    28 Rodesch C. Lajovic D. (22) 0 : 2
    29 Safiullin R. (15) Coppejans K. 2 : 0
    30 Kym J. Holmgren A. (24) 2 : 0
    31 Travaglia S. (16) Zhou Y. 0 : 2
    32 Piros Z. Harris B. (23) 0 : 2

    Final

    1 Moro Canas A. Kwon S. 0 : 3
    2 Faria J. (2) Sakamoto R. (27) 3 : 1
    3 Tabur C. Mochizuki S. (21) 2 : 3
    4 Smith C. Zheng M. (26) 1 : 3
    5 Gaston H. (5) Echargui M. (29) 3 : 1
    6 Skatov T. Jacquet K. (25) 0 : 3
    7 Llamas Ruiz P. (7) Boyer T. 1 : 3
    8 Budkov Kjaer N. (8) Virtanen O. 1 : 3
    9 Mejia N. Schoolkate T. (28) 3 : 0
    10 Basing M. Bertola R. 3 : 2
    11 Sweeny D. (11) Barrios Vera T. (20) 3 : 2
    12 Tarvet O. Sakellaridis S. (31) 3 : 0
    13 McDonald M. (13) O’Connell C. (32) 3 : 0
    14 Gaubas V. (14) Lajovic D. (22) 3 : 2
    15 Safiullin R. (15) Kym J. 3 : 2
    16 Zhou Y. Harris B. (23) 1 : 3

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    4. Zverev Alexander: 10.13 (4.04%)

    5. Fritz Taylor: 19.67 (2.08%)

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    7. Draper Jack: 26.67 (1.53%)

    8. Mensik Jakub: 30.67 (1.33%)

    9. Medvedev Daniil: 33.33 (1.23%)

    10. Fonseca Joao: 35.67 (1.15%)

    11. Jodar Rafael: 40.6 (1.01%)

    12. Berrettini Matteo: 41 (1%)

    13. De Minaur Alex: 47 (0.87%)

    14. Bublik Alexander: 48.67 (0.84%)

    15. Lehecka Jiri: 50.33 (0.81%)

    16. Cobolli Flavio: 52 (0.79%)

    17. Paul Tommy: 57 (0.72%)

    18. Hurkacz Hubert: 65.67 (0.62%)

    19. Musetti Lorenzo: 67 (0.61%)

    20. Fils Arthur: 71.17 (0.58%)

    21. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 71.33 (0.57%)

    22. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 88.67 (0.46%)

    23. Mpetshi Perricard Giovanni: 90.33 (0.45%)

    24. Tiafoe Frances: 92 (0.44%)

    25. Diallo Gabriel: 97 (0.42%)

    26. Kouame Moise: 100 (0.41%)

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    28. Struff Jan-Lennard: 100.2 (0.41%)

    29. Blockx Alexander: 100.2 (0.41%)

    30. Majchrzak Kamil: 100.2 (0.41%)

    31. Shimabukuro Sho: 100.2 (0.41%)

    32. Humbert Ugo: 100.33 (0.41%)

    33. Rublev Andrey: 102.83 (0.4%)

    34. Brooksby Jenson: 105.2 (0.39%)

    35. Tien Learner: 108.67 (0.38%)

    36. Nakashima Brandon: 110.2 (0.37%)

    37. Wawrinka Stan: 110.2 (0.37%)

    38. Pinnington Jones Jack: 110.2 (0.37%)

    39. Rinderknech Arthur: 110.2 (0.37%)

    40. Prizmic Dino: 110.2 (0.37%)

    41. Ruud Casper: 112.83 (0.36%)

    42. Dimitrov Grigor: 112.83 (0.36%)

    43. Khachanov Karen: 112.83 (0.36%)

    44. Cerundolo Francisco: 113.67 (0.36%)

    45. Fearnley Jacob: 117 (0.35%)

    46. Sonego Lorenzo: 117 (0.35%)

    47. Michelsen Alex: 117 (0.35%)

    48. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 117 (0.35%)

    49. Jarry Nicolas: 120.2 (0.34%)

    50. Wendelken Harry: 120.2 (0.34%)

    51. Gill Felix: 120.2 (0.34%)

    52. Samuel Toby: 120.2 (0.34%)

    53. Fucsovics Marton: 120.2 (0.34%)

    54. Collignon Raphael: 120.2 (0.34%)

    55. Landaluce Martin: 120.2 (0.34%)

    56. Muller Alexandre: 120.2 (0.34%)

    57. De Jong Jesper: 120.2 (0.34%)

    58. Molcan Alex: 120.2 (0.34%)

    59. Droguet Titouan: 120.2 (0.34%)

    60. Svrcina Dalibor: 120.2 (0.34%)

    61. Norrie Cameron: 125.33 (0.33%)

    62. Cilic Marin: 125.33 (0.33%)

    63. Korda Sebastian: 126 (0.32%)

    64. Kyrgios Nick: 126 (0.32%)

    65. Medjedovic Hamad: 130.2 (0.31%)

    66. Shapovalov Denis: 130.2 (0.31%)

    67. Altmaier Daniel: 130.2 (0.31%)

    68. Quinn Ethan: 130.2 (0.31%)

    69. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 130.2 (0.31%)

    70. Griekspoor Tallon: 133.67 (0.31%)

    71. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 140.2 (0.29%)

    72. Royer Valentin: 140.2 (0.29%)

    73. Kopriva Vit: 140.2 (0.29%)

    74. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 140.2 (0.29%)

    75. Bergs Zizou: 150.33 (0.27%)

    76. Popyrin Alexei: 150.33 (0.27%)

    77. Thompson Jordan: 160.2 (0.26%)

    78. Fery Arthur: 175.33 (0.23%)

    79. Evans Daniel: 180.2 (0.23%)

    80. Borges Nuno: 180.2 (0.23%)

    81. Tabilo Alejandro: 180.2 (0.23%)

    82. Bautista-Agut Roberto: 180.2 (0.23%)

    83. Merida Aguilar Daniel: 180.2 (0.23%)

    84. Marozsan Fabian: 180.2 (0.23%)

    85. Walton Adam: 180.2 (0.23%)

    86. Wu Yibing: 180.2 (0.23%)

    87. Dzumhur Damir: 180.2 (0.23%)

    88. Giron Marcos: 180.2 (0.23%)

    89. Kokkinakis Thanasi: 180.2 (0.23%)

    90. Bonzi Benjamin: 180.2 (0.23%)

    91. Shevchenko Alexander: 180.2 (0.23%)

    92. Spizzirri Eliot: 180.2 (0.23%)

    93. Hijikata Rinky: 180.2 (0.23%)

    94. Munar Jaume: 180.2 (0.23%)

    95. Carreno-Busta Pablo: 180.2 (0.23%)

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    97. Halys Quentin: 180.2 (0.23%)

    98. Kovacevic Aleksandar: 180.2 (0.23%)

    99. Svajda Zachary: 180.2 (0.23%)

    100. Choinski Jan: 180.2 (0.23%)

    101. Kypson Patrick: 180.2 (0.23%)

    102. van Assche Luca: 180.2 (0.23%)

    103. Ofner Sebastian: 180.2 (0.23%)

    104. Darderi Luciano: 180.2 (0.23%)

    105. Arnaldi Matteo: 180.2 (0.23%)

    106. Kecmanovic Miomir: 180.2 (0.23%)

    107. Vukic Aleksandar: 180.2 (0.23%)

    108. Buse Ignacio: 180.2 (0.23%)

    109. Mannarino Adrian: 180.2 (0.23%)

    110. Vallejo Adolfo Daniel: 180.2 (0.23%)

    111. Trungelliti Marco: 180.2 (0.23%)

    112. Nava Emilio: 180.2 (0.23%)

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    114. Cerundolo Juan Manuel: 180.2 (0.23%)

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    116. Duckworth James: 180.2 (0.23%)

    117. Atmane Terence: 180.2 (0.23%)

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