Carlisle United vs Swindon Town predictions, Feb 01, 2025

Jan 25, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

English League Two, on Saturday,

Carlisle

Swindon

Score, Highlights

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The upcoming match between Carlisle United and Swindon Town in the English League Two on February 01, 2025, promises to be an exciting and evenly matched encounter. Both teams have had similar recent form, with Carlisle United winning 2 out of their last 5 matches and Swindon Town also winning 2 out of their last 5 matches.

The bookmakers have slightly favored Carlisle United with coefficients of 2.1, compared to Swindon Town’s 3.31. However, our ML estimation indicates a closer contest, with probabilities of 45.6% for Carlisle United to win, 28.1% for a draw, and 27.5% for Swindon Town to come out victorious.

The most likely result according to the bookmakers is a 1-1 draw, indicating that this game could be a tightly contested affair with both teams fighting hard for the three points. With both teams in similar form and the odds and probabilities close, this match could go either way and will surely be one to watch for fans of both teams.

Carlisle 44.5% Draw 27.4% Swindon 28.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of English League Two Swindon: 0.06% Carlisle: 0.03%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 2.13 3.44 3.28
Pinnacle 2.07 3.39 3.26

Latest Results

25.01.25 Fleetwood Town – Carlisle United – 1:2
18.01.25 Carlisle United – Bradford City – 0:1
04.01.25 Tranmere Rovers – Carlisle United – 1:0
01.01.25 Crewe Alexandra – Carlisle United – 3:2
29.12.24 Carlisle United – Accrington Stanley – 2:1		 24.01.25 Newport County – Swindon Town – 1:2
18.01.25 Swindon Town – Barrow – 2:0
14.01.25 Swindon Town – Birmingham City – 1:2
11.01.25 Swindon Town – Crewe Alexandra – 0:0
04.01.25 Notts County – Swindon Town – 2:0

Facts

  • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 18).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 3.
  • Both teams are now playing unstable.
  • Swindon could have advantage in physics – more days for rest in last days.
  • Carlisle will have a small advantage in this match.
  • Last 15 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:22 (average 1.4:1.5).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).

    Latest Head To Head

    21.09.24 Swindon Town – Carlisle United – 0:2
    11.03.23 Swindon Town – Carlisle United – 1:2
    13.08.22 Carlisle United – Swindon Town – 1:1
    19.02.22 Carlisle United – Swindon Town – 0:3
    14.08.21 Swindon Town – Carlisle United – 1:2

    Standings

    2024/25

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Walsall 26 18 4 4 52:26 26 58
    2 Crewe 27 12 10 5 34:23 11 46
    3 Doncaster 27 13 7 7 37:30 7 46
    4 Port Vale 27 12 9 6 33:28 5 45
    5 AFC Wimbledon 25 13 5 7 37:19 18 44
    6 Notts Co 26 12 8 6 42:27 15 44
    7 Bradford City 26 12 8 6 37:27 10 44
    8 Salford 26 12 6 8 30:23 7 42
    9 Grimsby 27 12 2 13 37:44 -7 38
    10 Chesterfield 26 9 9 8 40:31 9 36
    11 Bromley 26 8 11 7 36:32 4 35
    12 MK Dons 26 10 5 11 39:37 2 35
    13 Colchester 27 7 13 7 30:28 2 34
    14 Cheltenham 26 9 7 10 36:39 -3 34
    15 Fleetwood 25 8 9 8 33:31 2 33
    16 Barrow 26 8 7 11 26:28 -2 31
    17 Gillingham 25 9 4 12 23:26 -3 31
    18 Swindon 28 7 10 11 35:42 -7 31
    19 Harrogate 28 8 5 15 23:38 -15 29
    20 Accrington 25 7 7 11 33:43 -10 28
    21 Newport 25 7 5 13 33:45 -12 26
    22 Tranmere 26 6 8 12 19:40 -21 26
    23 Carlisle 26 5 6 15 21:40 -19 21
    24 Morecambe 26 5 5 16 22:41 -19 20

    English League Two Outrights

    1. Walsall: 1.18 (72.7%)

    2. AFC Wimbledon: 17 (5.05%)

    3. Notts County: 20.5 (4.18%)

    4. Doncaster: 23 (3.73%)

    5. Bradford City: 29.5 (2.91%)

    6. Crewe: 29.5 (2.91%)

    7. Salford: 33.5 (2.56%)

    8. Port Vale: 33.5 (2.56%)

    9. Chesterfield: 125.5 (0.68%)

    10. Milton Keynes Dons: 138 (0.62%)

    11. Bromley: 225.5 (0.38%)

    12. Fleetwood Town: 225.5 (0.38%)

    13. Grimsby: 300.5 (0.29%)

    14. Colchester: 375.5 (0.23%)

    15. Cheltenham: 500.5 (0.17%)

    16. Barrow: 500.5 (0.17%)

    17. Gillingham: 500.5 (0.17%)

    18. Accrington: 1501 (0.06%)

    19. Swindon: 1501 (0.06%)

    20. Tranmere: 1501 (0.06%)

    21. Harrogate: 2001 (0.04%)

    22. Newport: 2501 (0.03%)

    23. Carlisle: 2501 (0.03%)

    24. Morecambe: 3001 (0.03%)

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